CFB
Model
All rankings
SEC

Tennessee

Volunteers5-18th in SEC
Neyland Stadium · Knoxville, TN · 102,455
TeamCarried by the defense
OffenseMethodical running attack · solidweak point: passing game, 98th
DefenseHavoc-driven · elite · built to defend the pass

The season

Best win
W 24-14 vs #42 Auburn
Wk 5 · Oct 3 · model had 53%
Worst loss
L 17-20 vs #7 Texas
Wk 4 · Sep 26 · model had 22%

Schedule

model 6/6 straight up

Opponent ranks use the selected season's current or final board.

  1. Week 1 · Sep 5
    vsFurman
    W 56–9
    Win chance >99%Model margin +48.6Game details
  2. Week 2 · Sep 12
    atGeorgia Tech
    W 45–24
    Win chance 57%Model margin +2.4Game details
  3. Week 3 · Sep 19
    vsKennesaw State
    W 42–9
    Win chance 99%Model margin +34.2Game details
  4. Week 4 · Sep 26
    vsTexas
    L 17–20
    Win chance 22%Model margin -10.6Game details
  5. Week 5 · Oct 3
    vsAuburn
    W 24–14
    Win chance 53%Model margin +1.0Game details
  6. Week 6 · Oct 10
    atArkansas
    W 24–17
    Win chance 86%Model margin +14.7Game details
  7. Week 7 · Oct 17
    vsAlabama
    Win chance 35%Model margin -5.2Game details
  8. Week 8 · Oct 24
    atSouth Carolina
    Win chance 69%Model margin +6.8Game details
  9. Week 10 · Nov 7
    vsKentucky
    Win chance 87%Model margin +15.5Game details
  10. Week 11 · Nov 14
    atTexas A&M
    Win chance 46%Model margin -1.2Game details
  11. Week 12 · Nov 21
    vsLSU
    Win chance 62%Model margin +4.1Game details
  12. Week 13 · Nov 28
    atVanderbilt
    Win chance 66%Model margin +5.5Game details

Profile

Team DNA

rank of 138
Offense efficiency
55
#57 of 138
Defense efficiency
85
#14 of 138
Efficiency
#500.20
EPA / play
#12-0.08
#980.12
Pass
#3-0.13
#60.29
Rush
#730.05
#5045%
Success
#4638%
Big plays & havoc
#871.21
Explosive
#111.06
#9816%
Havoc
#622%
Position groupsby overall player grade
QB57th
RB23rd
WR81st
TE60th
OL36th
DL10th
LB70th
DB50th

Roster

Core lineup

overall grade
Offense
QB
George MacIntyreFR
148 yds · 1 TD · 0 INT
79.6
73rd QB
RB
DeSean BishopJR
540 yds · 7 TD · 6.1 YPC
82.7
51st RB
WR
Nathan RobertsJR
2 rec · 16 yds · 0 TD
72.4
183rd WR
WR
Deon HardinSR
1 rec · 11 yds · 0 TD
70.2
264th WR
TE
Luca WolfFR
1 rec · 9 yds · 0 TD
70.8
82nd TE
Defense
LB
Jeremiah TelanderSR
20 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
77.9
121st LB
LB
Amare CampbellSR
31 tkl · 4.0 TFL · 2.0 sk
72.9
259th LB
DB
Dejuan LaneJR
17 tkl · 2 PD · 2 INT
80.4
57th DB
DB
Ty RedmondSO
18 tkl · 4 PD · 0 INT
76.8
132nd DB
DB
Jamyan TheodoreFR
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
72.9
283rd DB

Injury report

2 out
out
Wendell Moe Jr.OG

Moe Jr has been shut down for the remainder of the season due to an undisclosed injury.

64.809-30
out
Jaedon HarmonLB

Harmon has been shut down for the remainder of the season due to ACL tear.

61.5202509-07
Ques.
Javin GordonRB

Gordon is dealing with a leg injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Crimson Tide on Saturday, October 17th.

72.410-11
Ques.
Bennett BradyLS

Brady is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will suit up against Crimson Tide on Saturday, October

34.010-11

Ahead

From the full-season Monte Carlo

Playoff impact

Playoff chances in the published season simulation, depending on each game’s result. Games follow the remaining schedule.

  1. Week 7 · Oct 17
    vsAlabama
    Playoff chance if win
    51.7%
    Playoff chance if loss
    27.1%
  2. Week 8 · Oct 24
    atSouth Carolina
    Playoff chance if win
    43.7%
    Playoff chance if loss
    21.1%
  3. Week 10 · Nov 7
    vsKentucky
    Playoff chance if win
    40.0%
    Playoff chance if loss
    16.7%
  4. Week 11 · Nov 14
    atTexas A&M
    Playoff chance if win
    48.8%
    Playoff chance if loss
    25.4%
  5. Week 12 · Nov 21
    vsLSU
    Playoff chance if win
    45.9%
    Playoff chance if loss
    21.8%
  6. Week 13 · Nov 28
    atVanderbilt
    Playoff chance if win
    44.1%
    Playoff chance if loss
    22.3%

Past seasons

Year by year
-7.3 points since 2022
606875839079.5202274.3202378.2202472.22025
2022 79.52023 74.32024 78.22025 72.2

2025

8-4
D-I rank
#23
Rating
72.2
Listed games · 12
WWLWWWLWLWWL
489 pts scored345 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs SyracuseW 45–26
  2. W2 vs East Tennessee StateW 72–17
  3. W3 vs GeorgiaL 41–44
  4. W4 vs UABW 56–24
  5. W5 at Mississippi StateW 41–34
  6. W7 vs ArkansasW 34–31
  7. W8 at AlabamaL 20–37
  8. W9 at KentuckyW 56–34
  9. W10 vs OklahomaL 27–33
  10. W12 vs New Mexico StateW 42–9
  11. W13 at FloridaW 31–11
  12. W14 vs VanderbiltL 24–45

2024

10-2
D-I rank
#10
Rating
78.2
Listed games · 12
WWWWLWWWWLWW
447 pts scored167 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs ChattanoogaW 69–3
  2. W2 vs NC StateW 51–10
  3. W3 vs Kent StateW 71–0
  4. W4 at OklahomaW 25–15
  5. W6 at ArkansasL 14–19
  6. W7 vs FloridaW 23–17
  7. W8 vs AlabamaW 24–17
  8. W10 vs KentuckyW 28–18
  9. W11 vs Mississippi StateW 33–14
  10. W12 at GeorgiaL 17–31
  11. W13 vs UTEPW 56–0
  12. W14 at VanderbiltW 36–23

2023

8-4
D-I rank
#17
Rating
74.3
Listed games · 12
WWLWWWLWWLLW
378 pts scored264 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs VirginiaW 49–13
  2. W2 vs Austin PeayW 30–13
  3. W3 at FloridaL 16–29
  4. W4 vs UTSAW 45–14
  5. W5 vs South CarolinaW 41–20
  6. W7 vs Texas A&MW 20–13
  7. W8 at AlabamaL 20–34
  8. W9 at KentuckyW 33–27
  9. W10 vs UConnW 59–3
  10. W11 at MissouriL 7–36
  11. W12 vs GeorgiaL 10–38
  12. W13 vs VanderbiltW 48–24

2022

10-2
D-I rank
#5
Rating
79.5
Listed games · 12
WWWWWWWWLWLW
568 pts scored282 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs Ball StateW 59–10
  2. W2 at PittsburghW 34–27
  3. W3 vs AkronW 63–6
  4. W4 vs FloridaW 38–33
  5. W6 at LSUW 40–13
  6. W7 vs AlabamaW 52–49
  7. W8 vs UT MartinW 65–24
  8. W9 vs KentuckyW 44–6
  9. W10 at GeorgiaL 13–27
  10. W11 vs MissouriW 66–24
  11. W12 at South CarolinaL 38–63
  12. W13 at VanderbiltW 56–0