Passing
ARK defense
Higher-ranked profile
- TENN offense
- #98
- ARK defense
- #84
EPA comparison
0.12
#98
0.19
#84
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 6 · Sat Oct 10 · 4:15 PM ET
Forecast win probability
TENN 83.0%17.0% ARK
- Projected margin
- TENN by 14.7
- Projected total
- 58
- 80% outcome range
- TENN 35 to ARK 5
- Win probability
- TENN 83.0%
FinalTENN 24 · ARK 17model had -14.7, off by 7.7
Current team profiles
TennesseeArkansasWhen Tennessee has the ball
Rushing
TENN offense
Higher-ranked profile
- TENN offense
- #6
- ARK defense
- #125
EPA comparison
0.29
#6
0.20
#125
Rush EPA
Drive success
TENN offense
Higher-ranked profile
- TENN offense
- #50
- ARK defense
- #100
Success rates
45%
#50
43%
#100
Success rate
More metrics
0.20
#50
0.17
#111
EPA / play
1.21
#87
1.16
#38
Explosiveness
16%
#98
13%
#111
Havoc
When Arkansas has the ball
Passing
TENN defense
Higher-ranked profile
- TENN defense
- #3
- ARK offense
- #88
EPA comparison
-0.13
#3
0.14
#88
Pass EPA
Rushing
TENN defense
Higher-ranked profile
- TENN defense
- #73
- ARK offense
- #134
EPA comparison
0.05
#73
-0.11
#134
Rush EPA
Drive success
TENN defense
Higher-ranked profile
- TENN defense
- #46
- ARK offense
- #96
Success rates
38%
#46
41%
#96
Success rate
More metrics
-0.08
#12
0.01
#120
EPA / play
1.06
#11
1.08
#129
Explosiveness
22%
#6
19%
#126
Havoc
Current key players
TennesseeQBGeorge MacIntyre
148 yds · 1 TD · 0 INT
79.673/729
RBDeSean Bishop
540 yds · 7 TD · 6.1 YPC
82.751/1044
DBDejuan Lane
17 tkl · 2 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 64.0
- Coverage
- 85.8
- Targets allowed
- 8
- Rec allowed
- 6
- Yards allowed
- 81
- Passer rating allowed
- 67.2
- Missed tackles
- 5
80.457/2969
LBJeremiah Telander
20 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 69.8
- Coverage
- 86.1
- Pressures
- 7
- Pass-rush snaps
- 59
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
77.9121/1796
DBTy Redmond
18 tkl · 4 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 63.7
- Coverage
- 78.9
- Targets allowed
- 21
- Rec allowed
- 11
- Yards allowed
- 105
- Passer rating allowed
- 66.6
- Missed tackles
- 3
76.8132/2969
LBAmare Campbell
31 tkl · 4.0 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 69.2
- Coverage
- 70.0
- Pressures
- 4
- Pass-rush snaps
- 12
- Missed tackles
- 6
- Forced fumbles
- 0
72.9259/1796
Availability reports · 4
- Wendell Moe Jr. · OGout · 2026-09-30
Moe Jr has been shut down for the remainder of the season due to an undisclosed injury.
- Jaedon Harmon · LBout · 2026-09-07
Harmon has been shut down for the remainder of the season due to ACL tear.
- Javin Gordon · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Gordon is dealing with a leg injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Crimson Tide on Saturday, October 17th.
- Bennett Brady · LSQues. · 2026-10-11
Brady is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will suit up against Crimson Tide on Saturday, October
ArkansasQBKJ Jackson
1038 yds · 6 TD · 4 INT
64.0225/729
WRChris Marshall
35 rec · 517 yds · 2 TD
81.246/2069
LBBen Bogle
36 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 85.7
- Coverage
- 58.6
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 11
- Missed tackles
- 4
- Forced fumbles
- 0
78.799/1796
DBShelton Lewis
13 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 62.7
- Coverage
- 81.3
- Targets allowed
- 7
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 45
- Passer rating allowed
- 64.6
- Missed tackles
- 1
78.584/2969
DBKhmori House
33 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 84.7
- Coverage
- 68.2
- Targets allowed
- 16
- Rec allowed
- 14
- Yards allowed
- 107
- Passer rating allowed
- 94.5
- Missed tackles
- 1
73.2266/2969
WRJelani Watkins
27 rush yds · 0 TD · 3 car
73.0164/2069
Availability reports · 2
- Maddox Lassiter · TEout · 2026-08-16
Lassiter has been shut down for the remainder of the season due to an upper body injury.
- H. Hendrix · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Hendrix is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Commodores on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
TENNTennessee
ARKArkansas
vs
Offense
79.6
#57 of 138
QB
Quarterback
64.0
#122 of 138
82.0
#23 of 138
RB
Running backs
67.0
#135 of 138
69.8
#81 of 138
WR
Receivers
72.9
#50 of 138
70.8
#60 of 138
TE
Tight ends
61.8
#107 of 138
71.9
#36 of 138
OL
Offensive line
64.3
#102 of 138
Defense
81.6
#10 of 138
DL
Defensive line
72.4
#79 of 138
74.0
#70 of 138
LB
Linebackers
70.2
#103 of 138
73.5
#50 of 138
DB
Secondary
70.2
#94 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Tennessee
opponent
Arkansas
Aaway-1.2
TA&MTexas A&M#28-27.0Aaway
Hhome+10.0
AUBAuburn#42-13.2Aaway
Hhome-3.0
TEXTexas#7-22.3Aaway
Hhome+4.1
LSULSU#11-14.0Hhome
Aaway+5.5
VANVanderbilt#58-12.5Aaway
Aaway+6.8
SCSouth Carolina#38-5.9Hhome