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SEC

Auburn

Tigers3-214th in SEC
Jordan-Hare Stadium · Auburn, AL · 87,451
TeamMiddle of the pack · underachieving the roster
OffenseRunning attack · weakweak point: passing game, 119th
DefenseBuilt to defend the pass · solid

The season

Best win
W 17-16 vs (N) #41 Baylor
Wk 1 · Sep 5 · model had 84%
Worst loss
L 39-44 vs #22 Florida
Wk 3 · Sep 19 · lost as a 67% favorite

Schedule

model 4/5 straight up

Opponent ranks use the selected season's current or final board.

  1. Week 1 · Sep 5
    vsBaylorNeutral
    W 17–16
    Win chance 84%Model margin +13.2Game details
  2. Week 2 · Sep 12
    vsSouthern Miss
    W 43–8
    Win chance 97%Model margin +26.3Game details
  3. Week 3 · Sep 19
    vsFlorida
    L 39–44
    Win chance 67%Model margin +5.9Game details
  4. Week 4 · Sep 26
    vsVanderbilt
    W 21–15
    Win chance 82%Model margin +12.6Game details
  5. Week 5 · Oct 3
    atTennessee
    L 14–24
    Win chance 47%Model margin -1.0Game details
  6. Week 7 · Oct 17
    atGeorgia
    Win chance 12%Model margin -15.9Game details
  7. Week 8 · Oct 24
    vsLSU
    Win chance 40%Model margin -3.4Game details
  8. Week 9 · Oct 31
    atOle Miss
    Win chance 32%Model margin -6.4Game details
  9. Week 10 · Nov 7
    vsArkansas
    Win chance 84%Model margin +13.2Game details
  10. Week 11 · Nov 14
    atMississippi State
    Win chance 46%Model margin -1.4Game details
  11. Week 12 · Nov 21
    vsSamford
    Win chance >99%Model margin +54.6Game details
  12. Week 13 · Nov 28
    atAlabama
    Win chance 9%Model margin -18.0Game details

Profile

Team DNA

rank of 138
Offense efficiency
42
#89 of 138
Defense efficiency
64
#46 of 138
Efficiency
#980.07
EPA / play
#440.01
#1190.04
Pass
#410.07
#390.18
Rush
#730.05
#8642%
Success
#5038%
Big plays & havoc
#551.26
Explosive
#451.18
#10216%
Havoc
#5717%
Position groupsby overall player grade
QB49th
RB83rd
WR106th
TE100th
OL105th
DL115th
LB35th
DB131st

Roster

Core lineup

overall grade
Offense
QB
Byrum BrownSR
1052 yds · 7 TD · 7 INT
83.0
56th QB
RB
Omar Mabson IISO
213 yds · 1 TD · 6.5 YPC
77.0
133rd RB
WR
Keshaun SingletonJR
29 rec · 322 yds · 1 TD
71.2
220th WR
WR
DeShawn SpencerFR
4 rec · 41 yds · 2 TD
67.8
350th WR
TE
Jake JohnsonSR
7 rec · 43 yds · 0 TD
63.5
184th TE
Defense
LB
Michael Matthews-CantyJR
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
84.4
47th LB
LB
Xavier AtkinsJR
37 tkl · 7.5 TFL · 3.0 sk
75.1
180th LB
S
Sylvester Smith-ReedSR
13 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
72.5
302nd DB
S
Kaleb HarrisJR
28 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
66.8
690th DB
CB
Gavin JenkinsSO
7 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
65.6
800th DB

Injury report

1 out
out
Nykahi DavenportRB

Davenport is managing with an undisclosed injury, and there is no time table for his return.

85.2202509-20
Ques.
Hunter HerringTE

Herring is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will be available against Commodores on Saturday, September 26th.

61.309-20

Ahead

From the full-season Monte Carlo

Playoff impact

Playoff chances in the published season simulation, depending on each game’s result. Games follow the remaining schedule.

  1. Week 7 · Oct 17
    atGeorgia
    Playoff chance if win
    3.4%
    Playoff chance if loss
    0.5%
  2. Week 8 · Oct 24
    vsLSU
    Playoff chance if win
    1.8%
    Playoff chance if loss
    0.3%
  3. Week 9 · Oct 31
    atOle Miss
    Playoff chance if win
    2.0%
    Playoff chance if loss
    0.4%
  4. Week 10 · Nov 7
    vsArkansas
    Playoff chance if win
    1.1%
    Playoff chance if loss
    0.1%
  5. Week 11 · Nov 14
    atMississippi State
    Playoff chance if win
    1.7%
    Playoff chance if loss
    0.2%
  6. Week 13 · Nov 28
    atAlabama
    Playoff chance if win
    3.0%
    Playoff chance if loss
    0.6%

Past seasons

Year by year
+6.0 points since 2022
506070809064.2202266.8202368.8202470.22025
2022 64.22023 66.82024 68.82025 70.2

2025

5-7
D-I rank
#30
Rating
70.2
Listed games · 12
WWWLLLLWLLWL
321 pts scored248 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 at BaylorW 38–24
  2. W2 vs Ball StateW 42–3
  3. W3 vs South AlabamaW 31–15
  4. W4 at OklahomaL 17–24
  5. W5 at Texas A&ML 10–16
  6. W7 vs GeorgiaL 10–20
  7. W8 vs MissouriL 17–23
  8. W9 at ArkansasW 33–24
  9. W10 vs KentuckyL 3–10
  10. W11 at VanderbiltL 38–45
  11. W13 vs MercerW 62–17
  12. W14 vs AlabamaL 20–27

2024

5-7
D-I rank
#34
Rating
68.8
Listed games · 12
WLWLLLLWLWWL
333 pts scored256 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs Alabama A&MW 73–3
  2. W2 vs CaliforniaL 14–21
  3. W3 vs New MexicoW 45–19
  4. W4 vs ArkansasL 14–24
  5. W5 vs OklahomaL 21–27
  6. W6 at GeorgiaL 13–31
  7. W8 at MissouriL 17–21
  8. W9 at KentuckyW 24–10
  9. W10 vs VanderbiltL 7–17
  10. W12 vs UL MonroeW 48–14
  11. W13 vs Texas A&MW 43–41
  12. W14 at AlabamaL 14–28

2023

6-6
D-I rank
#37
Rating
66.8
Listed games · 12
WWWLLLLWWWLL
327 pts scored263 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs MassachusettsW 59–14
  2. W2 at CaliforniaW 14–10
  3. W3 vs SamfordW 45–13
  4. W4 at Texas A&ML 10–27
  5. W5 vs GeorgiaL 20–27
  6. W7 at LSUL 18–48
  7. W8 vs Ole MissL 21–28
  8. W9 vs Mississippi StateW 27–13
  9. W10 at VanderbiltW 31–15
  10. W11 at ArkansasW 48–10
  11. W12 vs New Mexico StateL 10–31
  12. W13 vs AlabamaL 24–27

2022

5-7
D-I rank
#53
Rating
64.2
Listed games · 12
WWLWLLLLLWWL
297 pts scored354 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs MercerW 42–16
  2. W2 vs San José StateW 24–16
  3. W3 vs Penn StateL 12–41
  4. W4 vs MissouriW 17–14
  5. W5 vs LSUL 17–21
  6. W6 at GeorgiaL 10–42
  7. W7 at Ole MissL 34–48
  8. W9 vs ArkansasL 27–41
  9. W10 at Mississippi StateL 33–39
  10. W11 vs Texas A&MW 13–10
  11. W12 vs Western KentuckyW 41–17
  12. W13 at AlabamaL 27–49