AVRCFB Model
All predictionsWeek 12 · Sat Nov 21 · 8:30 PM
Away
Samford
—
9p
#31Home
Auburn
0-0 · AVR 62.1
44p
SAM 1%99% AUB
Spread
AUB -35.4
Total
53
Moneyline
SAM—AUB—
Margin σ
14.1

Key players

Top-rated players, and who is out
Auburn
LBXavier Atkins
93.44/878
WRKeshaun Singleton
86.79/777
WRJeremiah Koger
83.116/777
QBByrum Brown
81.319/308
RBJeremiah Cobb
78.729/514
LBColeman Granberry
78.082/878

also out — Fly, Tai Buster (OL), tight end (TE), Auburn Linebacker Likely, Auburn edge rusher (DL), Auburn linebacker (LB), J.J. Faulk (EDGE), Auburn RB (RB) +3 more

Projected margin

80% between 19 and 52
-7-3+3+7+14PKAUB +35.495% interval: 12.1 to 58.780% interval: 18.5 to 52.3+19+52SAM wins 1%AUB wins 99%

Scorelines

Brighter is likelier
most likely ≈ AUB 46–11 SAMAUB 42–35 SAM neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesAUB 46–32 SAM neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesAUB 49–28 SAM neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesAUB 53–25 SAM neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesAUB 56–21 SAM neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesAUB 60–18 SAM neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesAUB 63–14 SAM neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesAUB 67–11 SAM neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesAUB 70–7 SAM neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesAUB 39–32 SAM neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesAUB 42–28 SAM neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesAUB 46–25 SAM neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesAUB 49–21 SAM neighborhood · ~2.6% of outcomesAUB 53–18 SAM neighborhood · ~2.9% of outcomesAUB 56–14 SAM neighborhood · ~2.6% of outcomesAUB 60–11 SAM neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesAUB 63–7 SAM neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesAUB 67–4 SAM neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesAUB 35–28 SAM neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesAUB 39–25 SAM neighborhood · ~1.1% of outcomesAUB 42–21 SAM neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesAUB 46–18 SAM neighborhood · ~3.1% of outcomesAUB 49–14 SAM neighborhood · ~3.6% of outcomesAUB 53–11 SAM neighborhood · ~3.2% of outcomesAUB 56–7 SAM neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesAUB 60–4 SAM neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesAUB 63–0 SAM neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesAUB 32–25 SAM neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesAUB 35–21 SAM neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesAUB 39–18 SAM neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesAUB 42–14 SAM neighborhood · ~3.4% of outcomesAUB 46–11 SAM neighborhood · ~3.9% of outcomesAUB 49–7 SAM neighborhood · ~3.5% of outcomesAUB 53–4 SAM neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesAUB 56–0 SAM neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)AUB 28–21 SAM neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesAUB 32–18 SAM neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesAUB 35–14 SAM neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesAUB 39–11 SAM neighborhood · ~3.4% of outcomesAUB 42–7 SAM neighborhood · ~3.9% of outcomesAUB 46–4 SAM neighborhood · ~3.5% of outcomesAUB 49–0 SAM neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)AUB 25–18 SAM neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesAUB 28–14 SAM neighborhood · ~1.1% of outcomesAUB 32–11 SAM neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesAUB 35–7 SAM neighborhood · ~3.0% of outcomesAUB 39–4 SAM neighborhood · ~3.5% of outcomesAUB 42–0 SAM neighborhood · ~3.1% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)AUB 21–14 SAM neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesAUB 25–11 SAM neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesAUB 28–7 SAM neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesAUB 32–4 SAM neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesAUB 35–0 SAM neighborhood · ~2.8% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)77706356494235totalAUB +7AUB +21AUB +35AUB +49AUB +63margin →