CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 4 · Sat Sep 26 · 4:15 PM ET
Forecast win probability
VAN 20.4%79.6% AUB
Projected margin
AUB by 12.6
Projected total
54
80% outcome range
VAN 7 to AUB 33
Win probability
AUB 79.6%
FinalVAN 15 · AUB 21model had +12.6, off by 6.6

Current team profiles

Vanderbilt
Auburn

When Vanderbilt has the ball

Passing

AUB defense
Higher-ranked profile
VAN offense
#76
AUB defense
#41
EPA comparison
0.20
#76
0.07
#41
Pass EPA

Rushing

AUB defense
Higher-ranked profile
VAN offense
#79
AUB defense
#73
EPA comparison
0.09
#79
0.05
#73
Rush EPA

Drive success

AUB defense
Higher-ranked profile
VAN offense
#102
AUB defense
#50
Success rates
40%
#102
38%
#50
Success rate
More metrics
0.05
#105
0.01
#44
EPA / play
1.25
#57
1.18
#45
Explosiveness
16%
#101
17%
#57
Havoc

When Auburn has the ball

Passing

VAN defense
Higher-ranked profile
VAN defense
#93
AUB offense
#119
EPA comparison
0.22
#93
0.04
#119
Pass EPA

Rushing

AUB offense
Higher-ranked profile
VAN defense
#81
AUB offense
#39
EPA comparison
0.06
#81
0.18
#39
Rush EPA

Drive success

AUB offense
Higher-ranked profile
VAN defense
#97
AUB offense
#86
Success rates
43%
#97
42%
#86
Success rate
More metrics
0.11
#92
0.07
#98
EPA / play
1.22
#72
1.26
#55
Explosiveness
15%
#83
16%
#102
Havoc

Current key players

Vanderbilt
QBWhit Muschamp
18 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
73.9121/729
TEMaurice Veney
1 rec · 20 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
75.9
Run blocking
78.6
Penalties
0
82.818/1017
SCJ Heard
40 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
70.9
Coverage
86.7
Targets allowed
15
Rec allowed
12
Yards allowed
116
Passer rating allowed
121.1
Missed tackles
4
80.951/2969
SMason Lewis
20 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
66.8
Coverage
83.7
Targets allowed
15
Rec allowed
10
Yards allowed
72
Passer rating allowed
77.6
Missed tackles
3
79.274/2969
LBBryan Longwell
31 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
80.5
Coverage
65.1
Pressures
7
Pass-rush snaps
42
Missed tackles
4
Forced fumbles
0
75.7163/1796
SRicardo Jones
22 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
64.7
Coverage
80.4
Targets allowed
11
Rec allowed
6
Yards allowed
43
Passer rating allowed
94.1
Missed tackles
5
75.1190/2969
Availability reports · 2
  • Kahden Smith · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Smith has been out of the lineup due to a leg injury, and it is undetermined if he will play against Razorbacks on Saturday, October 17th.

  • J. Curtis · LBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Curtis is nursing an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Razorbacks on Saturday, October 17th.

Auburn
QBByrum Brown
1052 yds · 7 TD · 7 INT
83.056/729
LBMichael Matthews-Canty
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
78.3
Coverage
72.0
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
84.447/1796
RBOmar Mabson II
213 yds · 1 TD · 6.5 YPC
77.0133/1044
LBXavier Atkins
37 tkl · 7.5 TFL · 3.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
68.8
Coverage
55.6
Pressures
19
Pass-rush snaps
57
Missed tackles
10
Forced fumbles
0
75.1180/1796
SSylvester Smith-Reed
13 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
69.1
Coverage
72.2
Targets allowed
12
Rec allowed
7
Yards allowed
48
Passer rating allowed
32.6
Missed tackles
2
72.5302/2969
WRKeshaun Singleton
29 rec · 322 yds · 1 TD
71.2220/2069
Availability reports · 2
  • Nykahi Davenport · RBout · 2026-09-20

    Davenport is managing with an undisclosed injury, and there is no time table for his return.

  • Hunter Herring · TEQues. · 2026-09-20

    Herring is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will be available against Commodores on Saturday, September 26th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

VAN
AUB
vs
Offense
73.9
#86 of 138
QB
83.0
#49 of 138
69.7
#123 of 138
RB
73.9
#83 of 138
66.9
#122 of 138
WR
68.1
#106 of 138
82.8
#18 of 138
TE
63.5
#100 of 138
61.2
#126 of 138
OL
63.8
#105 of 138
Defense
71.4
#92 of 138
DL
69.2
#115 of 138
69.4
#107 of 138
LB
78.2
#35 of 138
76.1
#24 of 138
DB
66.7
#131 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Vanderbilt
opponent
Auburn
H-35.0
MISS#14
-6.4A
A-24.0
UGA#6
-15.9A
H-13.4
ALA#3
-18.0A
H-5.5
TENN#21
-10.0A
A-4.0
FLA#22
-5.0H
A-2.1
MSST#35
-1.4A
H+12.5
ARK#71
+13.2H