CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 7 · Sat Oct 17 · 3:30 PM ET
Deep South's Oldest Rivalry
Away
Auburn
3-2
20p
Home
Georgia
6-0
35p
Forecast win probability
AUB 15.4%84.6% UGA
Projected margin
UGA by 15.9
Projected total
54
80% outcome range
AUB 3 to UGA 35
Win probability
UGA 84.6%

Current team profiles

Auburn
Georgia

When Auburn has the ball

Passing

UGA defense
Higher-ranked profile
AUB offense
#119
UGA defense
#49
EPA comparison
0.04
#119
0.08
#49
Pass EPA

Rushing

UGA defense
Higher-ranked profile
AUB offense
#39
UGA defense
#5
EPA comparison
0.18
#39
-0.22
#5
Rush EPA

Drive success

UGA defense
Higher-ranked profile
AUB offense
#86
UGA defense
#27
Success rates
42%
#86
35%
#27
Success rate
More metrics
0.07
#98
-0.05
#25
EPA / play
1.26
#55
1.23
#76
Explosiveness
16%
#102
19%
#24
Havoc

When Georgia has the ball

Passing

UGA offense
Higher-ranked profile
AUB defense
#41
UGA offense
#3
EPA comparison
0.07
#41
0.62
#3
Pass EPA

Rushing

UGA offense
Higher-ranked profile
AUB defense
#73
UGA offense
#12
EPA comparison
0.05
#73
0.26
#12
Rush EPA

Drive success

UGA offense
Higher-ranked profile
AUB defense
#50
UGA offense
#6
Success rates
38%
#50
52%
#6
Success rate
More metrics
0.01
#44
0.40
#3
EPA / play
1.18
#45
1.28
#38
Explosiveness
17%
#57
12%
#24
Havoc

Current key players

Auburn
QBByrum Brown
1052 yds · 7 TD · 7 INT
83.056/729
LBMichael Matthews-Canty
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
78.3
Coverage
72.0
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
84.447/1796
RBOmar Mabson II
213 yds · 1 TD · 6.5 YPC
77.0133/1044
LBXavier Atkins
37 tkl · 7.5 TFL · 3.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
68.8
Coverage
55.6
Pressures
19
Pass-rush snaps
57
Missed tackles
10
Forced fumbles
0
75.1180/1796
SSylvester Smith-Reed
13 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
69.1
Coverage
72.2
Targets allowed
12
Rec allowed
7
Yards allowed
48
Passer rating allowed
32.6
Missed tackles
2
72.5302/2969
WRKeshaun Singleton
29 rec · 322 yds · 1 TD
71.2220/2069
Availability reports · 2
  • Nykahi Davenport · RBout · 2026-09-20

    Davenport is managing with an undisclosed injury, and there is no time table for his return.

  • Hunter Herring · TEQues. · 2026-09-20

    Herring is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will be available against Commodores on Saturday, September 26th.

Georgia
QBGunner Stockton
1049 yds · 13 TD · 1 INT
92.53/729
RBDwight Phillips Jr.
160 yds · 1 TD · 8.0 YPC
90.66/1044
TEElyiss Williams
6 rec · 71 yds · 2 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
74.3
Run blocking
78.3
Penalties
0
88.94/1017
LBChris Cole
22 tkl · 4.5 TFL · 1.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
90.6
Coverage
67.1
Pressures
12
Pass-rush snaps
59
Missed tackles
3
Forced fumbles
0
88.517/1796
DBKJ Bolden
15 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
80.3
Coverage
82.5
Targets allowed
11
Rec allowed
7
Yards allowed
94
Passer rating allowed
83.1
Missed tackles
2
84.229/2969
WRLandon Roldan
4 rec · 80 yds · 1 TD
83.927/2069
Availability reports · 3
  • Dante Dowdell · RBout · 2026-09-05

    Dowdell has been sidelined due an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.

  • Isiah Canion · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Conan is dealing with a leg injury, and it is unclear if he will face Tigers on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Thomas Blackshear · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Blackshear is dealing with a upper-body injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against the Tigers on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

AUB
UGA
vs
Offense
83.0
#49 of 138
QB
92.5
#4 of 138
73.9
#83 of 138
RB
90.5
#2 of 138
68.1
#106 of 138
WR
82.8
#4 of 138
63.5
#100 of 138
TE
88.9
#4 of 138
63.8
#105 of 138
OL
75.5
#15 of 138
Defense
69.2
#115 of 138
DL
78.6
#20 of 138
78.2
#35 of 138
LB
81.2
#15 of 138
66.7
#131 of 138
DB
78.9
#5 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Auburn
opponent
Georgia
A-18.0
ALA#3
+3.0A
H+6.0
VAN#58
+24.0H
H-5.0
FLA#22
+12.6N
H+13.2
ARK#71
+28.0A
A-6.4
MISS#14
+6.9A