CFB
Model
All rankings
SEC

LSU

Tigers4-24th in SEC
Tiger Stadium (LA) · Baton Rouge, LA · 102,321
TeamWell-rounded
OffenseGrinding · strongweak point: avoiding disruption, 88th
DefenseHavoc-driven · elite · built to defend the pass

The season

Best win
W 35-6 vs #28 Texas A&M
Wk 4 · Sep 26 · model had 68%
Worst loss
L 34-35 @ #40 Kentucky
Wk 6 · Oct 10 · lost as a 72% favorite

Schedule

model 4/6 straight up

Opponent ranks use the selected season's current or final board.

  1. Week 1 · Sep 5
    vsClemson
    W 51–10
    Win chance 70%Model margin +6.9Game details
  2. Week 2 · Sep 12
    vsLouisiana Tech
    W 45–14
    Win chance 96%Model margin +23.6Game details
  3. Week 3 · Sep 19
    atOle Miss
    L 24–32
    Win chance 67%Model margin +5.9Game details
  4. Week 4 · Sep 26
    vsTexas A&M
    W 35–6
    Win chance 68%Model margin +6.3Game details
  5. Week 5 · Oct 3
    vsMcNeese
    W 63–14
    Win chance >99%Model margin +59.7Game details
  6. Week 6 · Oct 10
    atKentucky
    L 34–35
    Win chance 72%Model margin +7.7Game details
  7. Week 7 · Oct 17
    vsMississippi State
    Win chance 77%Model margin +10.0Game details
  8. Week 8 · Oct 24
    atAuburn
    Win chance 60%Model margin +3.4Game details
  9. Week 10 · Nov 7
    vsAlabama
    Win chance 31%Model margin -6.6Game details
  10. Week 11 · Nov 14
    vsTexas
    Win chance 49%Model margin -0.4Game details
  11. Week 12 · Nov 21
    atTennessee
    Win chance 38%Model margin -4.1Game details
  12. Week 13 · Nov 28
    atArkansas
    Win chance 85%Model margin +14.0Game details

Profile

Team DNA

rank of 138
Offense efficiency
75
#21 of 138
Defense efficiency
95
#4 of 138
Efficiency
#270.26
EPA / play
#10-0.10
#240.40
Pass
#3-0.13
#420.17
Rush
#29-0.06
#1450%
Success
#332%
Big plays & havoc
#621.24
Explosive
#671.21
#8816%
Havoc
#821%
Position groupsby overall player grade
QB44th
RB84th
WR34th
TE48th
OL63rd
DL19th
LB6th
DB20th

Roster

Core lineup

overall grade
Offense
QB
Sam LeavittJR
1220 yds · 8 TD · 7 INT
84.1
50th QB
RB
Stacy GageSO
166 yds · 2 TD · 7.9 YPC
75.7
159th RB
WR
Corey Barber Jr.FR
8 rec · 98 yds · 2 TD
77.0
90th WR
WR
Winston Watkins Jr.SO
23 rec · 354 yds · 2 TD
73.8
153rd WR
TE
Trey'Dez GreenJR
14 rec · 222 yds · 1 TD
72.7
59th TE
Defense
LB
TJ DotterySR
30 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
90.2
11th LB
LB
Tylen SingletonSO
8 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
84.6
44th LB
S
Tamarcus CooleyJR
12 tkl · 2 PD · 2 INT
90.0
9th DB
CB
Michael Turner Jr.SO
4 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
76.0
159th DB
CB
Ja'Keem JacksonJR
3 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
73.3
259th DB

Injury report

2 out
out
Phillip Wright IIIWR

Wright III is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and he is likely to miss the remainder of the season.

72.509-21
out
Dashawn SpearsS

Spears has been sidelined due to a torn ACL, and he is likely to miss the remainder of the season.

67.009-21
Ques.
Trey'Dez GreenTE

Green is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will play against Bulldogs on Saturday, October 17th.

72.710-11
Ques.
Raycine Guillory Jr.RB

Guillory Jr. is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Bulldogs on Saturday, October 17th.

58.7202510-11

Ahead

From the full-season Monte Carlo

Playoff impact

Playoff chances in the published season simulation, depending on each game’s result. Games follow the remaining schedule.

  1. Week 7 · Oct 17
    vsMississippi State
    Playoff chance if win
    29.0%
    Playoff chance if loss
    11.4%
  2. Week 8 · Oct 24
    atAuburn
    Playoff chance if win
    31.9%
    Playoff chance if loss
    14.0%
  3. Week 10 · Nov 7
    vsAlabama
    Playoff chance if win
    39.6%
    Playoff chance if loss
    16.8%
  4. Week 11 · Nov 14
    vsTexas
    Playoff chance if win
    35.2%
    Playoff chance if loss
    14.2%
  5. Week 12 · Nov 21
    atTennessee
    Playoff chance if win
    37.2%
    Playoff chance if loss
    16.1%
  6. Week 13 · Nov 28
    atArkansas
    Playoff chance if win
    27.5%
    Playoff chance if loss
    11.3%

Past seasons

Year by year
+0.0 points since 2022
5063758810070.0202280.3202374.3202470.02025
2022 70.02023 80.32024 74.32025 70.0

2025

7-5
D-I rank
#31
Rating
70.0
Listed games · 12
WWWWLWLLLWWL
262 pts scored220 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 at ClemsonW 17–10
  2. W2 vs Louisiana TechW 23–7
  3. W3 vs FloridaW 20–10
  4. W4 vs SE LouisianaW 56–10
  5. W5 at Ole MissL 19–24
  6. W7 vs South CarolinaW 20–10
  7. W8 at VanderbiltL 24–31
  8. W9 vs Texas A&ML 25–49
  9. W11 at AlabamaL 9–20
  10. W12 vs ArkansasW 23–22
  11. W13 vs Western KentuckyW 13–10
  12. W14 at OklahomaL 13–17

2024

8-4
D-I rank
#14
Rating
74.3
Listed games · 12
LWWWWWWLLLWW
352 pts scored285 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs USCL 20–27
  2. W2 vs NichollsW 44–21
  3. W3 at South CarolinaW 36–33
  4. W4 vs UCLAW 34–17
  5. W5 vs South AlabamaW 42–10
  6. W7 vs Ole MissW 29–26
  7. W8 at ArkansasW 34–10
  8. W9 at Texas A&ML 23–38
  9. W11 vs AlabamaL 13–42
  10. W12 at FloridaL 16–27
  11. W13 vs VanderbiltW 24–17
  12. W14 vs OklahomaW 37–17

2023

9-3
D-I rank
#7
Rating
80.3
Listed games · 12
LWWWLWWWLWWW
557 pts scored333 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs Florida StateL 24–45
  2. W2 vs GramblingW 72–10
  3. W3 at Mississippi StateW 41–14
  4. W4 vs ArkansasW 34–31
  5. W5 at Ole MissL 49–55
  6. W6 at MissouriW 49–39
  7. W7 vs AuburnW 48–18
  8. W8 vs ArmyW 62–0
  9. W10 at AlabamaL 28–42
  10. W11 vs FloridaW 52–35
  11. W12 vs Georgia StateW 56–14
  12. W13 vs Texas A&MW 42–30

2022

9-4
D-I rank
#27
Rating
70.0
Listed games · 13
LWWWWLWWWWWLL
420 pts scored308 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs Florida StateL 23–24
  2. W2 vs SouthernW 65–17
  3. W3 vs Mississippi StateW 31–16
  4. W4 vs New MexicoW 38–0
  5. W5 at AuburnW 21–17
  6. W6 vs TennesseeL 13–40
  7. W7 at FloridaW 45–35
  8. W8 vs Ole MissW 45–20
  9. W10 vs AlabamaW 32–31
  10. W11 at ArkansasW 13–10
  11. W12 vs UABW 41–10
  12. W13 at Texas A&ML 23–38
  13. W14 vs GeorgiaL 30–50