AVRCFB Model
All rankings
SEC

LSU

Tigers0-08th in SEC
Tiger Stadium (LA) · Baton Rouge, LA · 102,321
Rank —
20
Rating
68.3
TeamBlue-chip roster
OffenseUnprovenweak point: offensive line, 111th
DefenseStrong front seven, experienced secondary

The season ahead

12 games scheduled

Schedule

12 games
WkOpponentWin probDateProjectedGame page
1
vs#27Clemson
91%
Sep 535-17p›
2
vs#94Louisiana Tech
95%
Sep 1236-13p›
3
at#14Ole MissMagnolia Bowl Trophy
29%
Sep 1923-30p›
4
vs#8Texas A&M
31%
Sep 2623-30p›
5
vsMcNeese
100%
Oct 348-8p›
6
at#67Kentucky
82%
Oct 1032-19p›
7
vs#45Mississippi State
78%
Oct 1731-21p›
8
at#31Auburn
55%
Oct 2425-23p›
10
vs#12Alabama
40%
Nov 724-28p›
11
vs#9Texas
34%
Nov 1421-27p›
12
at#17Tennessee
32%
Nov 2126-32p›
13
at#40ArkansasGolden Boot
64%
Nov 2831-26p›

Profile

Team DNA

rank of 138
Personnel
#3474
Talent
#1778
Position groups2025 player ratings
QB54th
RB60th
WR5th
TE37th
OL111th
DL16th
LB55th
DB3rd

Starting eleven

11 personnel
11 of 11 named9 ratedavg 54.71 top-252025 ratings
X86.3
T. Brown
WR · JR11th
LT35.8
A. Bah
OL · SR196th
LG33.6
B. Moore
OL · SR206th
C7.3
B. Bordelon
OL · SR299th
RG—
J. Seaton
OT · JR
RT—
W. Davis
OT · SO
TE61.1
T. Green
TE · JR44th
SL70.8
J. Brown
WR · SR52nd
Z71.4
W. Watkins
WR · SO44th
QB64.7
S. Leavitt
QB · JR55th
RB61.0
C. Durham
RB · JR99th

Roster

Core lineup

2025 ratings
Offense
QB
Sam LeavittJR
64.7
55th QB
RB
Caden DurhamJR
61.0
99th RB
WR
Tre' BrownJR
86.3
11th WR
WR
Winston Watkins Jr.SO
71.4
44th WR
TE
Trey'Dez GreenJR
61.1
44th TE
Defense
LB
TJ DotterySR
69.2
159th LB
LB
Davhon KeysJR
67.7
181st LB
CB
DJ PickettSO
93.7
5th DB
CB
PJ WoodlandJR
88.8
18th DB
S
Dashawn SpearsJR
87.3
24th DB

Injury report

5 out · 2 starters
out
projected offensive starter
08-08
out
Jamal AdamsCB
08-17
out
Former LSU football star
08-18
out
Decision Means Losing
08-22
out
Daniels Finally Speaks
08-23
doubtful
Malik NabersWR
08-20
questionable
W. Watkins Jr.WR
08-12
probable
DJ PickettCBstarter
08-20
probable
Harlem BerryRB
08-20
probable
Lamar BrownDL
08-20
probable
Sam LeavittQBstarter
08-22

Ahead

From the full-season Monte Carlo

Playoff impact

1%–12% playoff odds, on these results

Ranked by how far the result is likely to move their playoff odds. A close game against a good team moves more than a near-certain win, even when losing that one would hurt more.

W11
vs#9Texas
2% lose11% win
±2.3
likely move
in odds
35% to win
W3
at#14Ole Miss
3% lose12% win
±2.2
likely move
in odds
31% to win
W10
vs#12Alabama
2% lose10% win
±2.1
likely move
in odds
40% to win
W4
vs#8Texas A&M
3% lose11% win
±2.1
likely move
in odds
32% to win
W12
at#17Tennessee
3% lose11% win
±2.0
likely move
in odds
33% to win
W8
at#31Auburn
2% lose8% win
±1.8
likely move
in odds
54% to win
W13
at#40Arkansas
2% lose7% win
±1.3
likely move
in odds
63% to win
W7
vs#45Mississippi State
2% lose7% win
±1.1
likely move
in odds
76% to win