CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 1 · Sat Sep 5 · 7:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
CLEM 33.4%66.6% LSU
Projected margin
LSU by 6.9
Projected total
46
80% outcome range
CLEM 14 to LSU 27
Win probability
LSU 66.6%
FinalCLEM 10 · LSU 51model had +6.9, off by 34.1

Current team profiles

Clemson
LSU

When Clemson has the ball

Passing

LSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
CLEM offense
#123
LSU defense
#3
EPA comparison
0.00
#123
-0.13
#3
Pass EPA

Rushing

LSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
CLEM offense
#88
LSU defense
#29
EPA comparison
0.06
#88
-0.06
#29
Rush EPA

Drive success

LSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
CLEM offense
#129
LSU defense
#3
Success rates
36%
#129
32%
#3
Success rate
More metrics
-0.04
#128
-0.10
#10
EPA / play
1.21
#88
1.21
#67
Explosiveness
18%
#124
21%
#8
Havoc

When LSU has the ball

Passing

LSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
CLEM defense
#26
LSU offense
#24
EPA comparison
0.01
#26
0.40
#24
Pass EPA

Rushing

LSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
CLEM defense
#128
LSU offense
#42
EPA comparison
0.21
#128
0.17
#42
Rush EPA

Drive success

LSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
CLEM defense
#98
LSU offense
#14
Success rates
43%
#98
50%
#14
Success rate
More metrics
0.07
#74
0.26
#27
EPA / play
1.18
#51
1.24
#62
Explosiveness
16%
#74
16%
#88
Havoc

Current key players

Clemson
QBTrent Pearman
— yds · — TD · — INT
69.2168/729
LBC.J. Kubah-Taylor
6 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
74.7
Coverage
73.6
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
7
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
78.1118/1796
CBAshton Hampton
13 tkl · 9 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
52.3
Coverage
81.5
Targets allowed
29
Rec allowed
11
Yards allowed
167
Passer rating allowed
54.8
Missed tackles
6
77.3113/2969
RBDavid Eziomume
11 yds · 1 TD · 11.0 YPC
75.5166/1044
CBBranden Strozier
6 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
69.2
Coverage
69.4
Targets allowed
3
Rec allowed
2
Yards allowed
30
Passer rating allowed
138.9
Missed tackles
0
70.7400/2969
CBElliot Washington II
19 tkl · 4 PD · 3 INT
Player detail
Run defense
64.7
Coverage
69.6
Targets allowed
21
Rec allowed
11
Yards allowed
166
Passer rating allowed
70.8
Missed tackles
5
69.5472/2969
Availability reports · 7
  • David Eziomume · RBout · 2026-09-28

    Eziomume is liad up with a leg injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season.

  • Corian Gipson · CBout · 2026-09-25

    Gipson is dealing with an Undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against California on Friday, September 25th.

  • Peyton Streko · RBout · 2026-08-11

    Streko has been out of commission due to an undisclosed injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.

  • Cole Turner · WRout · 2026-08-21

    Turner is dealing with some personal reasons, and he is without a definitive timetable for return.

  • Keil McGriff · WRout · 2026-09-17

    McGriff is battling with an undisclsoed injury, and it is not anticipated that he will suit up against North Carolina on Saturday.

  • Jay Haynes · RBout · 2026-10-02

    Haynes is nursing an undisclosed injury, and he is not projected to play against Miami on Saturday, October 3rd.

  • Christopher Vizzina · QBQues. · 2026-09-30

    Vizzina is dealing with an elbow injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against the Hurricanes on Saturday, October 3rd.

LSU
QBSam Leavitt
1220 yds · 8 TD · 7 INT
84.150/729
LBTJ Dottery
30 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
74.7
Coverage
90.5
Pressures
10
Pass-rush snaps
23
Missed tackles
3
Forced fumbles
2
90.211/1796
STamarcus Cooley
12 tkl · 2 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
56.2
Coverage
90.6
Targets allowed
13
Rec allowed
7
Yards allowed
69
Passer rating allowed
29.5
Missed tackles
2
90.09/2969
LBTylen Singleton
8 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
85.8
Coverage
71.3
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
2
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
84.644/1796
WRCorey Barber Jr.
8 rec · 98 yds · 2 TD
77.090/2069
CBMichael Turner Jr.
4 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
57.0
Coverage
79.7
Targets allowed
3
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
6
Passer rating allowed
2.8
Missed tackles
1
76.0159/2969
Availability reports · 4
  • Phillip Wright III · WRout · 2026-09-21

    Wright III is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and he is likely to miss the remainder of the season.

  • Dashawn Spears · Sout · 2026-09-21

    Spears has been sidelined due to a torn ACL, and he is likely to miss the remainder of the season.

  • Trey'Dez Green · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Green is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will play against Bulldogs on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Raycine Guillory Jr. · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Guillory Jr. is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Bulldogs on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

CLEM
LSU
vs
Offense
69.2
#105 of 138
QB
84.1
#44 of 138
72.9
#98 of 138
RB
73.9
#84 of 138
66.1
#127 of 138
WR
74.8
#34 of 138
61.4
#108 of 138
TE
72.7
#48 of 138
63.3
#112 of 138
OL
68.5
#63 of 138
Defense
73.1
#69 of 138
DL
78.6
#19 of 138
70.5
#100 of 138
LB
84.5
#6 of 138
70.9
#85 of 138
DB
76.8
#20 of 138
Common opponents