Passing
LSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- TA&M offense
- #125
- LSU defense
- #3
EPA comparison
-0.01
#125
-0.13
#3
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 4 · Sat Sep 26 · 7:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
TA&M 35.7%64.3% LSU
- Projected margin
- LSU by 6.3
- Projected total
- 53
- 80% outcome range
- TA&M 13 to LSU 27
- Win probability
- LSU 64.3%
FinalTA&M 6 · LSU 35model had +6.3, off by 22.7
Current team profiles
Texas A&MLSUWhen Texas A&M has the ball
Rushing
LSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- TA&M offense
- #70
- LSU defense
- #29
EPA comparison
0.11
#70
-0.06
#29
Rush EPA
Drive success
LSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- TA&M offense
- #91
- LSU defense
- #3
Success rates
42%
#91
32%
#3
Success rate
More metrics
0.04
#109
-0.10
#10
EPA / play
1.08
#130
1.21
#67
Explosiveness
15%
#77
21%
#8
Havoc
When LSU has the ball
Passing
LSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- TA&M defense
- #55
- LSU offense
- #24
EPA comparison
0.10
#55
0.40
#24
Pass EPA
Rushing
TA&M defense
Higher-ranked profile
- TA&M defense
- #37
- LSU offense
- #42
EPA comparison
-0.03
#37
0.17
#42
Rush EPA
Drive success
LSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- TA&M defense
- #44
- LSU offense
- #14
Success rates
37%
#44
50%
#14
Success rate
More metrics
0.00
#39
0.26
#27
EPA / play
1.28
#96
1.24
#62
Explosiveness
17%
#43
16%
#88
Havoc
Current key players
Texas A&MQBMarcel Reed
908 yds · 6 TD · 4 INT
59.6301/729
RBKJ Edwards
181 yds · 2 TD · 6.5 YPC
89.910/1044
TEKiotti Armstrong
2 rec · 62 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 71.7
- Run blocking
- 70.0
- Penalties
- 1
82.020/1017
LBTamarion Watkins
7 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 80.2
- Coverage
- 65.7
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 5
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
77.4129/1796
WRMario Craver
23 rec · 235 yds · 2 TD
73.9150/2069
LBDaymion Sanford
13 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 73.8
- Coverage
- 63.5
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 3
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
71.1326/1796
Availability reports · 4
- Terry Bussey · WRout · 2026-09-21
Bussey is tending to an undisclosed injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.
- Tiger Riden Jr. · RBout · 2026-08-27
Riden Jr. has suffered an undisclosed injury, and it is anticipated that he will miss the remainder of the season.
- Madden Williams · WRout · 2026-09-06
Williams has been out of commission due to an undisclosed injury, and it is anticipated that he will miss the remainder of the season.
- Blake Ivy · OGQues. · 2026-10-10
Ivy is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will play against Citadel on Saturday.
LSUQBSam Leavitt
1220 yds · 8 TD · 7 INT
84.150/729
LBTJ Dottery
30 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 74.7
- Coverage
- 90.5
- Pressures
- 10
- Pass-rush snaps
- 23
- Missed tackles
- 3
- Forced fumbles
- 2
90.211/1796
STamarcus Cooley
12 tkl · 2 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 56.2
- Coverage
- 90.6
- Targets allowed
- 13
- Rec allowed
- 7
- Yards allowed
- 69
- Passer rating allowed
- 29.5
- Missed tackles
- 2
90.09/2969
LBTylen Singleton
8 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 85.8
- Coverage
- 71.3
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 2
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
84.644/1796
WRCorey Barber Jr.
8 rec · 98 yds · 2 TD
77.090/2069
CBMichael Turner Jr.
4 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 57.0
- Coverage
- 79.7
- Targets allowed
- 3
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 6
- Passer rating allowed
- 2.8
- Missed tackles
- 1
76.0159/2969
Availability reports · 4
- Phillip Wright III · WRout · 2026-09-21
Wright III is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and he is likely to miss the remainder of the season.
- Dashawn Spears · Sout · 2026-09-21
Spears has been sidelined due to a torn ACL, and he is likely to miss the remainder of the season.
- Trey'Dez Green · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Green is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will play against Bulldogs on Saturday, October 17th.
- Raycine Guillory Jr. · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Guillory Jr. is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Bulldogs on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
TA&MTexas A&M
LSULSU
vs
Offense
59.6
#134 of 138
QB
Quarterback
84.1
#44 of 138
80.2
#36 of 138
RB
Running backs
73.9
#84 of 138
67.6
#114 of 138
WR
Receivers
74.8
#34 of 138
82.0
#20 of 138
TE
Tight ends
72.7
#48 of 138
71.7
#42 of 138
OL
Offensive line
68.5
#63 of 138
Defense
80.7
#13 of 138
DL
Defensive line
78.6
#19 of 138
72.8
#80 of 138
LB
Linebackers
84.5
#6 of 138
66.8
#128 of 138
DB
Secondary
76.8
#20 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Texas A&M
opponent
LSU
Hhome+27.0
ARKArkansas#71+14.0Aaway
Hhome-10.0
UKKentucky#40-1.0Aaway
Aaway-11.9
ALAAlabama#3-6.6Hhome
Hhome+1.2
TENNTennessee#21-4.1Aaway
Hhome-0.4
TEXTexas#7-0.4Hhome