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SEC

Texas A&M

Aggies3-310th in SEC
Kyle Field · College Station, TX · 102,733
TeamCarried by the defense · underachieving the roster
OffenseRunning attack · poorweak point: explosiveness, 130th
DefenseStingy until it breaks · solidweak point: big plays allowed, 96th

The season

Best win
W 48-20 vs #65 Arizona State
Wk 2 · Sep 12 · model had 89%
Worst loss
L 21-31 vs #40 Kentucky
Wk 3 · Sep 19 · lost as a 95% favorite

Schedule

model 5/6 straight up

Opponent ranks use the selected season's current or final board.

  1. Week 1 · Sep 5
    vsMissouri State
    W 50–0
    Win chance 99%Model margin +29.6Game details
  2. Week 2 · Sep 12
    vsArizona State
    W 48–20
    Win chance 89%Model margin +16.8Game details
  3. Week 3 · Sep 19
    vsKentucky
    L 21–31
    Win chance 95%Model margin +22.7Game details
  4. Week 4 · Sep 26
    atLSU
    L 6–35
    Win chance 32%Model margin -6.3Game details
  5. Week 5 · Oct 3
    vsArkansas
    W 34–7
    Win chance 86%Model margin +14.7Game details
  6. Week 6 · Oct 10
    atMissouri
    L 6–27
    Win chance 45%Model margin -1.6Game details
  7. Week 7 · Oct 17
    vsThe Citadel
    Win chance >99%Model margin +59.2Game details
  8. Week 8 · Oct 24
    atAlabama
    Win chance 19%Model margin -11.9Game details
  9. Week 10 · Nov 7
    atSouth Carolina
    Win chance 66%Model margin +5.4Game details
  10. Week 11 · Nov 14
    vsTennessee
    Win chance 54%Model margin +1.2Game details
  11. Week 12 · Nov 21
    atOklahoma
    Win chance 48%Model margin -0.6Game details
  12. Week 13 · Nov 28
    vsTexas
    Win chance 49%Model margin -0.4Game details

Profile

Team DNA

rank of 138
Offense efficiency
20
#123 of 138
Defense efficiency
70
#39 of 138
Efficiency
#1090.04
EPA / play
#390.00
#125-0.01
Pass
#550.10
#700.11
Rush
#37-0.03
#9142%
Success
#4437%
Big plays & havoc
#1301.08
Explosive
#961.28
#7715%
Havoc
#4317%
Position groupsby overall player grade
QB134th
RB36th
WR114th
TE20th
OL42nd
DL13th
LB80th
DB128th

Roster

Core lineup

overall grade
Offense
QB
Marcel ReedSR
908 yds · 6 TD · 4 INT
59.6
301st QB
RB
KJ EdwardsFR
181 yds · 2 TD · 6.5 YPC
89.9
10th RB
WR
Mario CraverJR
23 rec · 235 yds · 2 TD
73.9
150th WR
WR
Kelshaun JohnsonSO
4 rec · 34 yds · 0 TD
65.7
429th WR
TE
Kiotti ArmstrongSO
2 rec · 62 yds · 0 TD
82.0
20th TE
Defense
LB
Tamarion WatkinsFR
7 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
77.4
129th LB
LB
Daymion SanfordSR
13 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
71.1
326th LB
CB
Julio HumphreySR
12 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
68.6
541st DB
DB
Bravion RogersSR
11 tkl · 4 PD · 0 INT
66.7
699th DB
S
Myles DavisJR
6 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
66.5
719th DB

Injury report

3 out
out
Terry BusseyWR

Bussey is tending to an undisclosed injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.

63.309-21
out
Tiger Riden Jr.RB

Riden Jr. has suffered an undisclosed injury, and it is anticipated that he will miss the remainder of the season.

77.5202508-27
out
Madden WilliamsWR

Williams has been out of commission due to an undisclosed injury, and it is anticipated that he will miss the remainder of the season.

—09-06
Ques.
Blake IvyOG

Ivy is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will play against Citadel on Saturday.

62.510-10

Ahead

From the full-season Monte Carlo

Playoff impact

Playoff chances in the published season simulation, depending on each game’s result. Games follow the remaining schedule.

  1. Week 8 · Oct 24
    atAlabama
    Playoff chance if win
    28.9%
    Playoff chance if loss
    11.3%
  2. Week 10 · Nov 7
    atSouth Carolina
    Playoff chance if win
    19.8%
    Playoff chance if loss
    7.6%
  3. Week 11 · Nov 14
    vsTennessee
    Playoff chance if win
    21.9%
    Playoff chance if loss
    7.8%
  4. Week 12 · Nov 21
    atOklahoma
    Playoff chance if win
    22.9%
    Playoff chance if loss
    8.1%
  5. Week 13 · Nov 28
    vsTexas
    Playoff chance if win
    23.3%
    Playoff chance if loss
    7.6%

Past seasons

Year by year
+15.0 points since 2022
506070809062.2202274.8202372.1202477.22025
2022 62.22023 74.82024 72.12025 77.2

2025

11-1
D-I rank
#11
Rating
77.2
Listed games · 12
WWWWWWWWWWWL
436 pts scored263 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs UTSAW 42–24
  2. W2 vs Utah StateW 44–22
  3. W3 at Notre DameW 41–40
  4. W5 vs AuburnW 16–10
  5. W6 vs Mississippi StateW 31–9
  6. W7 vs FloridaW 34–17
  7. W8 at ArkansasW 45–42
  8. W9 at LSUW 49–25
  9. W11 at MissouriW 38–17
  10. W12 vs South CarolinaW 31–30
  11. W13 vs SamfordW 48–0
  12. W14 at TexasL 17–27

2024

8-4
D-I rank
#22
Rating
72.1
Listed games · 12
LWWWWWWWLWLL
364 pts scored254 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs Notre DameL 13–23
  2. W2 vs McNeeseW 52–10
  3. W3 at FloridaW 33–20
  4. W4 vs Bowling GreenW 26–20
  5. W5 vs ArkansasW 21–17
  6. W6 vs MissouriW 41–10
  7. W8 at Mississippi StateW 34–24
  8. W9 vs LSUW 38–23
  9. W10 at South CarolinaL 20–44
  10. W12 vs New Mexico StateW 38–3
  11. W13 at AuburnL 41–43
  12. W14 vs TexasL 7–17

2023

7-5
D-I rank
#14
Rating
74.8
Listed games · 12
WLWWWLLWLWWL
410 pts scored256 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs New MexicoW 52–10
  2. W2 at MiamiL 33–48
  3. W3 vs UL MonroeW 47–3
  4. W4 vs AuburnW 27–10
  5. W5 vs ArkansasW 34–22
  6. W6 vs AlabamaL 20–26
  7. W7 at TennesseeL 13–20
  8. W9 vs South CarolinaW 30–17
  9. W10 at Ole MissL 35–38
  10. W11 vs Mississippi StateW 51–10
  11. W12 vs Abilene ChristianW 38–10
  12. W13 at LSUL 30–42

2022

5-7
D-I rank
#64
Rating
62.2
Listed games · 12
WLWWLLLLLLWW
273 pts scored254 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs Sam HoustonW 31–0
  2. W2 vs App StateL 14–17
  3. W3 vs MiamiW 17–9
  4. W4 vs ArkansasW 23–21
  5. W5 at Mississippi StateL 24–42
  6. W6 at AlabamaL 20–24
  7. W8 at South CarolinaL 24–30
  8. W9 vs Ole MissL 28–31
  9. W10 vs FloridaL 24–41
  10. W11 at AuburnL 10–13
  11. W12 vs MassachusettsW 20–3
  12. W13 vs LSUW 38–23