CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 2 · Sat Sep 12 · 12:00 PM ET
#32Away
Arizona State
1-0 · AVR 67.1
20
Final
#6Home
Texas A&M
1-0 · AVR 76.2
48
Forecast win probability
ASU 14.2%85.8% TA&M
Projected margin
TA&M by 16.8
Projected total
54
80% outcome range
ASU 3 to TA&M 35
Win probability
TA&M 85.8%
FinalASU 20 · TA&M 48model had +16.8, off by 11.2

Current team profiles

Arizona State
Texas A&M

When Arizona State has the ball

Passing

TA&M defense
Higher-ranked profile
ASU offense
#84
TA&M defense
#55
EPA comparison
0.16
#84
0.10
#55
Pass EPA

Rushing

TA&M defense
Higher-ranked profile
ASU offense
#88
TA&M defense
#37
EPA comparison
0.06
#88
-0.03
#37
Rush EPA

Drive success

TA&M defense
Higher-ranked profile
ASU offense
#67
TA&M defense
#44
Success rates
44%
#67
37%
#44
Success rate
More metrics
0.07
#98
0.00
#39
EPA / play
1.21
#86
1.28
#96
Explosiveness
16%
#88
17%
#43
Havoc

When Texas A&M has the ball

Passing

ASU defense
Higher-ranked profile
ASU defense
#65
TA&M offense
#125
EPA comparison
0.12
#65
-0.01
#125
Pass EPA

Rushing

TA&M offense
Higher-ranked profile
ASU defense
#84
TA&M offense
#70
EPA comparison
0.07
#84
0.11
#70
Rush EPA

Drive success

ASU defense
Higher-ranked profile
ASU defense
#49
TA&M offense
#91
Success rates
38%
#49
42%
#91
Success rate
More metrics
0.09
#87
0.04
#109
EPA / play
1.31
#105
1.08
#130
Explosiveness
15%
#90
15%
#77
Havoc

Current key players

Arizona State
QBCutter Boley
1040 yds · 10 TD · 3 INT
78.286/729
WRReed Harris
26 rec · 499 yds · 5 TD
88.012/2069
LBIsaiah Iosefa
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
70.8
Coverage
71.1
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
82.361/1796
RBDemarius Robinson
27 yds · 0 TD · 6.8 YPC
80.571/1044
DBCaleb Chester
9 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
73.0
Coverage
77.8
Targets allowed
7
Rec allowed
6
Yards allowed
34
Passer rating allowed
86.9
Missed tackles
1
79.176/2969
DBLyrik Rawls
11 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
72.5
Coverage
79.6
Targets allowed
9
Rec allowed
6
Yards allowed
87
Passer rating allowed
95.4
Missed tackles
2
75.9162/2969
Availability reports · 6
  • Lyrik Rawls · CBout · 2026-10-07

    Rawls is managing with a leg injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.

  • Khamari Anderson · TEout · 2026-09-21

    Anderson is sidelined with a leg injury, and it is anticipated that he will miss the remainder of the season.

  • Wade Helton · OGout · 2026-09-18

    Helton is sidelined with a leg injury, and he will miss an extended period.

  • Zyrus Fiaseu · LBout · 2026-08-25

    Fiaseu is sidelined with a knee injury, and he is projected to miss the remainder of the season.

  • Grayson Rigdon · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Rigdon is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against the Raiders on Saturday, October

  • Harry Hassmann · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Hassmann is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against the Raiders on Saturday, October 17th.

Texas A&M
QBMarcel Reed
908 yds · 6 TD · 4 INT
59.6301/729
RBKJ Edwards
181 yds · 2 TD · 6.5 YPC
89.910/1044
TEKiotti Armstrong
2 rec · 62 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
71.7
Run blocking
70.0
Penalties
1
82.020/1017
LBTamarion Watkins
7 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
80.2
Coverage
65.7
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
5
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
77.4129/1796
WRMario Craver
23 rec · 235 yds · 2 TD
73.9150/2069
LBDaymion Sanford
13 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
73.8
Coverage
63.5
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
3
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
71.1326/1796
Availability reports · 4
  • Terry Bussey · WRout · 2026-09-21

    Bussey is tending to an undisclosed injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.

  • Tiger Riden Jr. · RBout · 2026-08-27

    Riden Jr. has suffered an undisclosed injury, and it is anticipated that he will miss the remainder of the season.

  • Madden Williams · WRout · 2026-09-06

    Williams has been out of commission due to an undisclosed injury, and it is anticipated that he will miss the remainder of the season.

  • Blake Ivy · OGQues. · 2026-10-10

    Ivy is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will play against Citadel on Saturday.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

ASU
TA&M
vs
Offense
78.2
#67 of 138
QB
59.6
#134 of 138
78.6
#43 of 138
RB
80.2
#36 of 138
72.8
#51 of 138
WR
67.6
#114 of 138
60.5
#114 of 138
TE
82.0
#20 of 138
70.2
#52 of 138
OL
71.7
#42 of 138
Defense
76.2
#44 of 138
DL
80.7
#13 of 138
72.0
#88 of 138
LB
72.8
#80 of 138
73.3
#53 of 138
DB
66.8
#128 of 138
Common opponents