CFB
Model
All rankings
Big 12

Arizona State

Sun Devils3-214th in Big 12
Mountain America Stadium · Tempe, AZ · 65,870
TeamShort on both sides
OffenseWeak attackweak point: avoiding disruption, 88th
DefenseStingy until it breaks · weakweak point: big plays allowed, 105th

The season

Best win
W 24-17 vs (N) #31 Kansas
Wk 3 · Sep 19 · model had 68%
Worst loss
L 19-55 vs #41 Baylor
Wk 5 · Oct 3 · lost as a 58% favorite

Schedule

model 4/5 straight up

Opponent ranks use the selected season's current or final board.

  1. Week 1 · Sep 5
    vsMorgan State
    W 70–7
    Win chance >99%Model margin +38.8Game details
  2. Week 2 · Sep 12
    atTexas A&M
    L 20–48
    Win chance 11%Model margin -16.8Game details
  3. Week 3 · Sep 19
    vsKansasNeutral
    W 24–17
    Win chance 68%Model margin +6.1Game details
  4. Week 5 · Oct 3
    vsBaylor
    L 19–55
    Win chance 58%Model margin +2.7Game details
  5. Week 6 · Oct 10
    vsHawai'i
    W 30–12
    Win chance 90%Model margin +17.5Game details
  6. Week 7 · Oct 17
    atTexas Tech
    Win chance 5%Model margin -22.2Game details
  7. Week 8 · Oct 24
    vsKansas State
    Win chance 43%Model margin -2.2Game details
  8. Week 9 · Oct 31
    atBYU
    Win chance 17%Model margin -13.0Game details
  9. Week 10 · Nov 7
    vsColorado
    Win chance 76%Model margin +9.6Game details
  10. Week 11 · Nov 14
    atUCF
    Win chance 39%Model margin -3.8Game details
  11. Week 12 · Nov 21
    vsOklahoma State
    Win chance 71%Model margin +7.4Game details
  12. Week 13 · Nov 28
    atArizona
    Win chance 19%Model margin -11.7Game details

Profile

Team DNA

rank of 138
Offense efficiency
40
#91 of 138
Defense efficiency
45
#74 of 138
Efficiency
#980.07
EPA / play
#870.09
#840.16
Pass
#650.12
#880.06
Rush
#840.07
#6744%
Success
#4938%
Big plays & havoc
#861.21
Explosive
#1051.31
#8816%
Havoc
#9015%
Position groupsby overall player grade
QB67th
RB43rd
WR51st
TE114th
OL52nd
DL44th
LB88th
DB53rd

Roster

Core lineup

overall grade
Offense
QB
Cutter BoleyJR
1040 yds · 10 TD · 3 INT
78.2
86th QB
RB
Demarius RobinsonSO
27 yds · 0 TD · 6.8 YPC
80.5
71st RB
WR
Reed HarrisSR
26 rec · 499 yds · 5 TD
88.0
12th WR
WR
Cory Butler Jr.SO
4 rec · 37 yds · 0 TD
66.7
388th WR
TE
AJ IaSO
4 rec · 25 yds · 1 TD
60.5
235th TE
Defense
LB
Isaiah IosefaSO
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
82.3
61st LB
LB
Owen LongJR
37 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
67.2
491st LB
DB
Caleb ChesterSO
9 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
79.1
76th DB
DB
Lyrik RawlsSR
11 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
75.9
162nd DB
S
Adrian WilsonSR
19 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
72.8
287th DB

Injury report

4 out
out
Lyrik RawlsCB

Rawls is managing with a leg injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.

75.910-07
out
Khamari AndersonTE

Anderson is sidelined with a leg injury, and it is anticipated that he will miss the remainder of the season.

58.809-21
out
Wade HeltonOG

Helton is sidelined with a leg injury, and he will miss an extended period.

53.109-18
out
Zyrus FiaseuLB

Fiaseu is sidelined with a knee injury, and he is projected to miss the remainder of the season.

61.5202508-25
Ques.
Grayson RigdonRB

Rigdon is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against the Raiders on Saturday, October

73.110-11
Ques.
Harry HassmannWR

Hassmann is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against the Raiders on Saturday, October 17th.

—10-11

Ahead

From the full-season Monte Carlo

Playoff impact

Playoff chances in the published season simulation, depending on each game’s result. Games follow the remaining schedule.

  1. Week 7 · Oct 17
    atTexas Tech
    Playoff chance if win
    1.3%
    Playoff chance if loss
    0.0%
  2. Week 9 · Oct 31
    atBYU
    Playoff chance if win
    0.6%
    Playoff chance if loss
    0.0%

Past seasons

Year by year
+12.4 points since 2022
405365789055.6202254.0202370.2202468.02025
2022 55.62023 54.02024 70.22025 68.0

2025

8-4
D-I rank
#39
Rating
68.0
Listed games · 12
WLWWWLWLWWWL
296 pts scored276 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs Northern ArizonaW 38–19
  2. W2 at Mississippi StateL 20–24
  3. W3 vs Texas StateW 34–15
  4. W4 at BaylorW 27–24
  5. W5 vs TCUW 27–24
  6. W7 at UtahL 10–42
  7. W8 vs Texas TechW 26–22
  8. W9 vs HoustonL 16–24
  9. W10 at Iowa StateW 24–19
  10. W12 vs West VirginiaW 25–23
  11. W13 at ColoradoW 42–17
  12. W14 vs ArizonaL 7–23

2024

11-2
D-I rank
#30
Rating
70.2
Listed games · 13
WWWLWWLWWWWWW
430 pts scored277 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs WyomingW 48–7
  2. W2 vs Mississippi StateW 30–23
  3. W3 at Texas StateW 31–28
  4. W4 at Texas TechL 22–30
  5. W6 vs KansasW 35–31
  6. W7 vs UtahW 27–19
  7. W8 at CincinnatiL 14–24
  8. W10 at Oklahoma StateW 42–21
  9. W11 vs UCFW 35–31
  10. W12 at Kansas StateW 24–14
  11. W13 vs BYUW 28–23
  12. W14 at ArizonaW 49–7
  13. W15 vs Iowa StateW 45–19

2023

3-9
D-I rank
#96
Rating
54.0
Listed games · 12
WLLLLLLWLWLL
213 pts scored382 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs Southern UtahW 24–21
  2. W2 vs Oklahoma StateL 15–27
  3. W3 vs Fresno StateL 0–29
  4. W4 vs USCL 28–42
  5. W5 at CaliforniaL 21–24
  6. W6 vs ColoradoL 24–27
  7. W8 at WashingtonL 7–15
  8. W9 vs Washington StateW 38–27
  9. W10 at UtahL 3–55
  10. W11 at UCLAW 17–7
  11. W12 vs OregonL 13–49
  12. W13 vs ArizonaL 23–59

2022

3-9
D-I rank
#93
Rating
55.6
Listed games · 12
WLLLLWLWLLLL
313 pts scored377 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs Northern ArizonaW 40–3
  2. W2 at Oklahoma StateL 17–34
  3. W3 vs Eastern MichiganL 21–30
  4. W4 vs UtahL 13–34
  5. W5 at USCL 25–42
  6. W6 vs WashingtonW 45–38
  7. W8 at StanfordL 14–15
  8. W9 at ColoradoW 42–34
  9. W10 vs UCLAL 36–50
  10. W11 at Washington StateL 18–28
  11. W12 vs Oregon StateL 7–31
  12. W13 at ArizonaL 35–38