CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 13 · Sat Nov 28 · 12:00 AM ET
Territorial Cup
#65Away
Arizona State
3-2 · AVR 60.6
21p
#25Home
Arizona
5-1 · AVR 69.4
34p
Forecast win probability
ASU 22.4%77.6% ARIZ
Projected margin
ARIZ by 11.7
Projected total
55
80% outcome range
ASU 7 to ARIZ 30
Win probability
ARIZ 77.6%

Current team profiles

Arizona State
Arizona

When Arizona State has the ball

Passing

ARIZ defense
Higher-ranked profile
ASU offense
#84
ARIZ defense
#17
EPA comparison
0.16
#84
-0.01
#17
Pass EPA

Rushing

ARIZ defense
Higher-ranked profile
ASU offense
#88
ARIZ defense
#47
EPA comparison
0.06
#88
0.00
#47
Rush EPA

Drive success

ARIZ defense
Higher-ranked profile
ASU offense
#67
ARIZ defense
#27
Success rates
44%
#67
35%
#27
Success rate
More metrics
0.07
#98
-0.04
#28
EPA / play
1.21
#86
1.42
#131
Explosiveness
16%
#88
16%
#63
Havoc

When Arizona has the ball

Passing

ARIZ offense
Higher-ranked profile
ASU defense
#65
ARIZ offense
#28
EPA comparison
0.12
#65
0.39
#28
Pass EPA

Rushing

ARIZ offense
Higher-ranked profile
ASU defense
#84
ARIZ offense
#61
EPA comparison
0.07
#84
0.13
#61
Rush EPA

Drive success

ARIZ offense
Higher-ranked profile
ASU defense
#49
ARIZ offense
#21
Success rates
38%
#49
49%
#21
Success rate
More metrics
0.09
#87
0.24
#32
EPA / play
1.31
#105
1.22
#77
Explosiveness
15%
#90
14%
#52
Havoc

Current key players

Arizona State
QBCutter Boley
1040 yds · 10 TD · 3 INT
78.286/729
WRReed Harris
26 rec · 499 yds · 5 TD
88.012/2069
LBIsaiah Iosefa
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
70.8
Coverage
71.1
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
82.361/1796
RBDemarius Robinson
27 yds · 0 TD · 6.8 YPC
80.571/1044
DBCaleb Chester
9 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
73.0
Coverage
77.8
Targets allowed
7
Rec allowed
6
Yards allowed
34
Passer rating allowed
86.9
Missed tackles
1
79.176/2969
DBLyrik Rawls
11 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
72.5
Coverage
79.6
Targets allowed
9
Rec allowed
6
Yards allowed
87
Passer rating allowed
95.4
Missed tackles
2
75.9162/2969
Availability reports · 6
  • Lyrik Rawls · CBout · 2026-10-07

    Rawls is managing with a leg injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.

  • Khamari Anderson · TEout · 2026-09-21

    Anderson is sidelined with a leg injury, and it is anticipated that he will miss the remainder of the season.

  • Wade Helton · OGout · 2026-09-18

    Helton is sidelined with a leg injury, and he will miss an extended period.

  • Zyrus Fiaseu · LBout · 2026-08-25

    Fiaseu is sidelined with a knee injury, and he is projected to miss the remainder of the season.

  • Grayson Rigdon · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Rigdon is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against the Raiders on Saturday, October

  • Harry Hassmann · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Hassmann is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against the Raiders on Saturday, October 17th.

Arizona
QBNoah Fifita
1398 yds · 13 TD · 3 INT
83.452/729
LBDash Fifita
5 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
56.6
Coverage
71.5
Pressures
6
Pass-rush snaps
22
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
84.743/1796
CBJay'Vion Cole
17 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
69.0
Coverage
76.6
Targets allowed
27
Rec allowed
14
Yards allowed
105
Passer rating allowed
73.8
Missed tackles
2
78.390/2969
WRGiovanni Richardson
15 rec · 170 yds · 0 TD
77.089/2069
WRTre Spivey
22 rec · 314 yds · 4 TD
76.1107/2069
RBIsmail Mahdi
72 yds · 0 TD · 6.0 YPC
74.7180/1044
Availability reports · 7
  • Tre Spivey · WRout · 2026-10-04

    Spivey has been out of commission due to ankle injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.

  • Daylen Austin · Sout · 2026-09-25

    Austin has been shut down for the remainder of the season due to an undisclosed injury.

  • Giovanni Richardson · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Richardson is managing with an hamstring injury, and it is undetermined if he will face Iowa State on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Cole Rusk · TEQues. · 2026-10-10

    Rusk is laid up with an lower leg injury, and it is unknown if he will face Iowa State on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Cornelius Warren III · RBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Warren III is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Iowa State on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Max Harris · LBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Harris is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will face Iowa State on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Scotty Brennan · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Brennan is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Iowa State on Saturday, October 24th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

ASU
ARIZ
vs
Offense
78.2
#67 of 138
QB
83.4
#46 of 138
78.6
#43 of 138
RB
74.2
#80 of 138
72.8
#51 of 138
WR
74.4
#39 of 138
60.5
#114 of 138
TE
63.4
#101 of 138
70.2
#52 of 138
OL
75.2
#17 of 138
Defense
76.2
#44 of 138
DL
72.0
#86 of 138
72.0
#88 of 138
LB
74.8
#61 of 138
73.3
#53 of 138
DB
70.9
#84 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Arizona State
opponent
Arizona
A-22.2
TTU#10
-13.2A
H-2.2
KSU#37
+1.5A
A-13.0
BYU#18
-11.0A