CFB
Model
All rankings
Big 12

Arizona

Wildcats5-15th in Big 12
Arizona Stadium · Tucson, AZ · 50,782
TeamWell-rounded
OffenseGrinding passing attack · solid
DefenseStingy until it breaks · strong · built to defend the passweak point: big plays allowed, 131st

The season

Best win
W 34-7 vs #59 Cincinnati
Wk 5 · Oct 3 · model had 54%
Worst loss
L 17-28 @ #18 BYU
Wk 2 · Sep 12 · model had 34%

Schedule

model 6/6 straight up

Opponent ranks use the selected season's current or final board.

  1. Week 1 · Sep 5
    vsNorthern Arizona
    W 35–7
    Win chance >99%Model margin +36.7Game details
  2. Week 2 · Sep 12
    atBYU
    L 17–28
    Win chance 34%Model margin -5.6Game details
  3. Week 3 · Sep 19
    vsNorthern Illinois
    W 42–17
    Win chance 95%Model margin +22.4Game details
  4. Week 4 · Sep 26
    atWashington State
    W 34–24
    Win chance 76%Model margin +9.7Game details
  5. Week 5 · Oct 3
    vsCincinnati
    W 34–7
    Win chance 54%Model margin +1.4Game details
  6. Week 6 · Oct 10
    atWest Virginia
    W 52–31
    Win chance 68%Model margin +6.4Game details
  7. Week 8 · Oct 24
    vsIowa State
    Win chance 70%Model margin +7.1Game details
  8. Week 9 · Oct 31
    atTexas Tech
    Win chance 16%Model margin -13.2Game details
  9. Week 10 · Nov 7
    vsTCU
    Win chance 69%Model margin +6.5Game details
  10. Week 11 · Nov 14
    vsUtah
    Win chance 36%Model margin -5.0Game details
  11. Week 12 · Nov 21
    atKansas State
    Win chance 54%Model margin +1.5Game details
  12. Week 13 · Nov 28
    vsArizona State
    Win chance 81%Model margin +11.7Game details

Profile

Team DNA

rank of 138
Offense efficiency
69
#33 of 138
Defense efficiency
71
#36 of 138
Efficiency
#320.24
EPA / play
#28-0.04
#280.39
Pass
#17-0.01
#610.13
Rush
#470.00
#2149%
Success
#2735%
Big plays & havoc
#771.22
Explosive
#1311.42
#5214%
Havoc
#6316%
Position groupsby overall player grade
QB46th
RB80th
WR39th
TE101st
OL17th
DL86th
LB61st
DB84th

Roster

Core lineup

overall grade
Offense
QB
Noah FifitaSR
1398 yds · 13 TD · 3 INT
83.4
52nd QB
RB
Ismail MahdiSR
72 yds · 0 TD · 6.0 YPC
74.7
180th RB
WR
Giovanni RichardsonSO
15 rec · 170 yds · 0 TD
77.0
89th WR
WR
Tre SpiveySR
22 rec · 314 yds · 4 TD
76.1
107th WR
TE
Arthur BanJR
— rec · — yds · — TD
63.4
187th TE
Defense
LB
Dash FifitaFR
5 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
84.7
43rd LB
LB
Dominic HangerSR
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
70.4
351st LB
CB
Jay'Vion ColeSR
17 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
78.3
90th DB
S
Johno PriceSR
3 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
71.2
367th DB
S
Lee Molette IIISR
20 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
68.8
528th DB

Injury report

2 out
out
Tre SpiveyWR

Spivey has been out of commission due to ankle injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.

76.110-04
out
Daylen AustinS

Austin has been shut down for the remainder of the season due to an undisclosed injury.

58.709-25
Ques.
Giovanni RichardsonWR

Richardson is managing with an hamstring injury, and it is undetermined if he will face Iowa State on Saturday, October 24th.

77.010-10
Ques.
Cole RuskTE

Rusk is laid up with an lower leg injury, and it is unknown if he will face Iowa State on Saturday, October 24th.

62.410-10
Ques.
Cornelius Warren IIIRB

Warren III is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Iowa State on Saturday, October 24th.

54.1202510-10
Ques.
Max HarrisLB

Harris is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will face Iowa State on Saturday, October 24th.

46.710-10
Ques.
Scotty BrennanWR

Brennan is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Iowa State on Saturday, October 24th.

58.1202510-10

Ahead

From the full-season Monte Carlo

Playoff impact

Playoff chances in the published season simulation, depending on each game’s result. Games follow the remaining schedule.

  1. Week 8 · Oct 24
    vsIowa State
    Playoff chance if win
    5.3%
    Playoff chance if loss
    0.8%
  2. Week 9 · Oct 31
    atTexas Tech
    Playoff chance if win
    12.2%
    Playoff chance if loss
    1.8%
  3. Week 10 · Nov 7
    vsTCU
    Playoff chance if win
    5.3%
    Playoff chance if loss
    1.0%
  4. Week 11 · Nov 14
    vsUtah
    Playoff chance if win
    8.1%
    Playoff chance if loss
    1.2%
  5. Week 12 · Nov 21
    atKansas State
    Playoff chance if win
    5.9%
    Playoff chance if loss
    1.3%
  6. Week 13 · Nov 28
    vsArizona State
    Playoff chance if win
    4.7%
    Playoff chance if loss
    1.0%

Past seasons

Year by year
+14.5 points since 2022
405365789057.0202272.9202358.9202471.52025
2022 57.02023 72.92024 58.92025 71.5

2025

9-3
D-I rank
#26
Rating
71.5
Listed games · 12
WWWLWLLWWWWW
391 pts scored227 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs Hawai'iW 40–6
  2. W2 vs Weber StateW 48–3
  3. W3 vs Kansas StateW 23–17
  4. W5 at Iowa StateL 14–39
  5. W6 vs Oklahoma StateW 41–13
  6. W7 vs BYUL 27–33
  7. W8 at HoustonL 28–31
  8. W10 at ColoradoW 52–17
  9. W11 vs KansasW 24–20
  10. W12 at CincinnatiW 30–24
  11. W13 vs BaylorW 41–17
  12. W14 at Arizona StateW 23–7

2024

4-8
D-I rank
#73
Rating
58.9
Listed games · 12
WWLWLLLLLWLL
261 pts scored381 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs New MexicoW 61–39
  2. W2 vs Northern ArizonaW 22–10
  3. W3 at Kansas StateL 7–31
  4. W5 at UtahW 23–10
  5. W6 vs Texas TechL 22–28
  6. W7 at BYUL 19–41
  7. W8 vs ColoradoL 7–34
  8. W9 vs West VirginiaL 26–31
  9. W10 at UCFL 12–56
  10. W12 vs HoustonW 27–3
  11. W13 at TCUL 28–49
  12. W14 vs Arizona StateL 7–49

2023

9-3
D-I rank
#20
Rating
72.9
Listed games · 12
WLWWLLWWWWWW
412 pts scored250 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs Northern ArizonaW 38–3
  2. W2 at Mississippi StateL 24–31
  3. W3 vs UTEPW 31–10
  4. W4 at StanfordW 21–20
  5. W5 vs WashingtonL 24–31
  6. W6 at USCL 41–43
  7. W7 at Washington StateW 44–6
  8. W9 vs Oregon StateW 27–24
  9. W10 vs UCLAW 27–10
  10. W11 at ColoradoW 34–31
  11. W12 vs UtahW 42–18
  12. W13 at Arizona StateW 59–23

2022

5-7
D-I rank
#86
Rating
57.0
Listed games · 12
WLWLWLLLLWLW
370 pts scored438 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 at San Diego StateW 38–20
  2. W2 vs Mississippi StateL 17–39
  3. W3 vs North Dakota StateW 31–28
  4. W4 at CaliforniaL 31–49
  5. W5 vs ColoradoW 43–20
  6. W6 vs OregonL 22–49
  7. W7 at WashingtonL 39–49
  8. W9 vs USCL 37–45
  9. W10 at UtahL 20–45
  10. W11 at UCLAW 34–28
  11. W12 vs Washington StateL 20–31
  12. W13 vs Arizona StateW 38–35