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Big 12

Cincinnati

Bearcats4-113th in Big 12
Nippert Stadium · Cincinnati, OH · 40,000
TeamCarried by the offense
OffenseBig-play running attack · strong
DefenseWeak defenseweak point: pass defense, 103rd

The season

Best win
W 31-26 vs #37 Kansas State
Wk 4 · Sep 26 · won as a 49% underdog
Worst loss
L 7-34 @ #25 Arizona
Wk 5 · Oct 3 · model had 46%

Schedule

model 4/5 straight up

Opponent ranks use the selected season's current or final board.

  1. Week 1 · Sep 5
    vsBoston College
    W 34–15
    Win chance 82%Model margin +12.4Game details
  2. Week 2 · Sep 12
    vsWestern Carolina
    W 62–10
    Win chance >99%Model margin +37.9Game details
  3. Week 3 · Sep 19
    vsMiami (OH)
    W 35–31
    Win chance 99%Model margin +29.2Game details
  4. Week 4 · Sep 26
    vsKansas State
    W 31–26
    Win chance 49%Model margin -0.5Game details
  5. Week 5 · Oct 3
    atArizona
    L 7–34
    Win chance 46%Model margin -1.4Game details
  6. Week 7 · Oct 17
    atWest Virginia
    Win chance 49%Model margin -0.3Game details
  7. Week 8 · Oct 24
    vsTexas Tech
    Win chance 14%Model margin -14.9Game details
  8. Week 9 · Oct 31
    vsUtah
    Win chance 19%Model margin -11.9Game details
  9. Week 10 · Nov 7
    atHouston
    Win chance 32%Model margin -6.4Game details
  10. Week 11 · Nov 14
    atIowa State
    Win chance 35%Model margin -5.3Game details
  11. Week 12 · Nov 21
    vsColorado
    Win chance 81%Model margin +11.6Game details
  12. Week 13 · Nov 28
    atBYU
    Win chance 21%Model margin -10.9Game details

Profile

Team DNA

rank of 138
Offense efficiency
80
#15 of 138
Defense efficiency
36
#89 of 138
Efficiency
#210.29
EPA / play
#980.13
#450.29
Pass
#1030.27
#40.31
Rush
#980.11
#4646%
Success
#10043%
Big plays & havoc
#161.35
Explosive
#571.20
#2612%
Havoc
#6516%
Position groupsby overall player grade
QB47th
RB17th
WR97th
TE65th
OL11th
DL124th
LB73rd
DB70th

Roster

Core lineup

overall grade
Offense
QB
JC French IVSR
949 yds · 6 TD · 0 INT
83.2
53rd QB
RB
Cole TabbJR
330 yds · 6 TD · 9.7 YPC
92.7
2nd RB
WR
Larenzo FennerSR
10 rec · 124 yds · 0 TD
72.6
177th WR
WR
Cade WolfordJR
4 rec · 18 yds · 0 TD
67.2
371st WR
TE
Devyn ZahurskyJR
1 rec · 9 yds · 0 TD
70.0
93rd TE
Defense
LB
Antwan Peek Jr.SR
38 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
76.5
149th LB
LB
Jonathan ThompsonSR
36 tkl · 4.5 TFL · 2.0 sk
74.5
197th LB
CB
Zay JohnsonJR
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
80.7
55th DB
S
MJ CannonSR
22 tkl · 3 PD · 2 INT
75.4
179th DB
CB
Kenny WorthyJR
13 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
70.2
432nd DB

Injury report

2 listed
Ques.
DaMari WitherspoonTE

Witherspoon is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Arizona on Saturday, October 3th.

58.5202509-27
probable
Giyahni KontosisWR

Kontosis is dealing with an undisclosed injury, but he is expected to be active against Arizona on Saturday.

63.510-02

Ahead

From the full-season Monte Carlo

Playoff impact

Playoff chances in the published season simulation, depending on each game’s result. Games follow the remaining schedule.

  1. Week 7 · Oct 17
    atWest Virginia
    Playoff chance if win
    0.5%
    Playoff chance if loss
    0.1%
  2. Week 8 · Oct 24
    vsTexas Tech
    Playoff chance if win
    1.2%
    Playoff chance if loss
    0.1%
  3. Week 9 · Oct 31
    vsUtah
    Playoff chance if win
    1.2%
    Playoff chance if loss
    0.0%
  4. Week 10 · Nov 7
    atHouston
    Playoff chance if win
    0.7%
    Playoff chance if loss
    0.1%
  5. Week 11 · Nov 14
    atIowa State
    Playoff chance if win
    0.7%
    Playoff chance if loss
    0.1%
  6. Week 13 · Nov 28
    atBYU
    Playoff chance if win
    1.1%
    Playoff chance if loss
    0.1%

Past seasons

Year by year
-0.2 points since 2022
405060708066.7202255.3202364.3202466.52025
2022 66.72023 55.32024 64.32025 66.5

2025

7-5
D-I rank
#44
Rating
66.5
Listed games · 12
LWWWWWWWLLLL
381 pts scored298 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs NebraskaL 17–20
  2. W2 vs Bowling GreenW 34–20
  3. W3 vs Northwestern StateW 70–0
  4. W5 at KansasW 37–34
  5. W6 vs Iowa StateW 38–30
  6. W7 vs UCFW 20–11
  7. W8 at Oklahoma StateW 49–17
  8. W9 vs BaylorW 41–20
  9. W10 at UtahL 14–45
  10. W12 vs ArizonaL 24–30
  11. W13 vs BYUL 14–26
  12. W14 at TCUL 23–45

2024

5-7
D-I rank
#56
Rating
64.3
Listed games · 12
WLWWLWWLLLLL
302 pts scored295 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs TowsonW 38–20
  2. W2 vs PittsburghL 27–28
  3. W3 at Miami (OH)W 27–16
  4. W4 vs HoustonW 34–0
  5. W5 at Texas TechL 41–44
  6. W7 at UCFW 19–13
  7. W8 vs Arizona StateW 24–14
  8. W9 at ColoradoL 23–34
  9. W11 vs West VirginiaL 24–31
  10. W12 at Iowa StateL 17–34
  11. W13 at Kansas StateL 15–41
  12. W14 vs TCUL 13–20

2023

3-9
D-I rank
#89
Rating
55.3
Listed games · 12
WWLLLLLLLWLL
289 pts scored360 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs Eastern KentuckyW 66–13
  2. W2 at PittsburghW 27–21
  3. W3 vs Miami (OH)L 24–31
  4. W4 vs OklahomaL 6–20
  5. W5 at BYUL 27–35
  6. W7 vs Iowa StateL 10–30
  7. W8 vs BaylorL 29–32
  8. W9 at Oklahoma StateL 13–45
  9. W10 vs UCFL 26–28
  10. W11 at HoustonW 24–14
  11. W12 at West VirginiaL 21–42
  12. W13 vs KansasL 16–49

2022

9-3
D-I rank
#37
Rating
66.7
Listed games · 12
LWWWWWWLWWWL
373 pts scored244 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 at ArkansasL 24–31
  2. W2 vs Kennesaw StateW 63–10
  3. W3 vs Miami (OH)W 38–17
  4. W4 vs IndianaW 45–24
  5. W5 at TulsaW 31–21
  6. W6 vs South FloridaW 28–24
  7. W8 at SMUW 29–27
  8. W9 at UCFL 21–25
  9. W10 vs NavyW 20–10
  10. W11 vs East CarolinaW 27–25
  11. W12 at TempleW 23–3
  12. W13 vs TulaneL 24–27