AVRCFB Model
All rankings
Big 12

Texas Tech

Red Raiders0-01st in Big 12
Jones AT&T Stadium · Lubbock, TX · 60,454
Rank —
5
Rating
77.5
TeamBlue-chip roster
OffenseLoaded at the skill spots
DefenseStrong front seven, experienced secondary

The season ahead

12 games scheduled

Schedule

12 games
WkOpponentWin probDateProjectedGame page
1
vsAbilene Christian
100%
Sep 552-7p›
2
at#122Oregon State
99%
Sep 1245-12p›
3
vs#36Houston
90%
Sep 1936-19p›
4
vs#137Sam Houston
100%
Sep 2652-8p›
5
at#74Colorado
95%
Oct 338-17p›
7
vs#43Arizona State
93%
Oct 1738-18p›
8
at#51Cincinnati
88%
Oct 2437-21p›
9
vs#26Arizona
82%
Oct 3134-22p›
10
vs#66West Virginia
97%
Nov 741-16p›
11
at#97Oklahoma State
98%
Nov 1442-15p›
12
at#42Baylor
83%
Nov 2137-24p›
13
vs#32TCUSaddle Trophy
88%
Nov 2737-22p›

Profile

Team DNA

rank of 138
Personnel
#978
Talent
#483
Position groups2025 player ratings
QB34th
RB1st
WR27th
TE2nd
OL50th
DL5th
LB2nd
DB2nd

Starting eleven

11 personnel
11 of 11 named9 ratedavg 65.02 top-252025 ratings
X67.3
D. Lee
WR · SR69th
LT59.7
S. Wilson
OL · SR104th
LG49.5
H. Zambrano
OL · SR141st
C46.0
D. Sill
OL · JR154th
RG—
H. Sampson
OL · SR
RT—
J. Ponton
OL · SO
TE79.4
T. Carter
TE · SR2nd
SL61.9
K. Johnson
WR · SR100th
Z65.2
C. Eakin
WR · SR83rd
QB71.9
W. Hammond
QB · SO34th
RB83.8
C. Dickey
RB · JR12th

Roster

Core lineup

2025 ratings
Offense
QB
Will HammondSO
71.9
34th QB
RB
Cameron DickeyJR
83.8
12th RB
WR
Donte Lee Jr.SR
67.3
69th WR
WR
Coy EakinSR
65.2
83rd WR
TE
Terrance Carter Jr.SR
79.4
2nd TE
Defense
LB
Adam TrickSR
91.3
9th LB
LB
Adam HillSO
90.4
11th LB
CB
Brice PollockSR
100.7
3rd DB
CB
Ashton HamptonSO
84.4
52nd DB
CB
Amier BoydSR
83.8
57th DB

Injury report

1 starters
doubtful
Cash ClevelandOL
08-25
questionable
W. HammondQB
08-11
questionable
Ashton HamptonCB
08-25
questionable
Bryce ButlerDLstarter
08-25
questionable
LaDamion GuytonEDGE
08-25
probable
Quinten Joyner
08-20
probable
Ellis DavisOL
08-25
probable
Tristian GentryWR
08-25

Ahead

From the full-season Monte Carlo

Playoff impact

51%–85% playoff odds, on these results

Ranked by how far the result is likely to move their playoff odds. A close game against a good team moves more than a near-certain win, even when losing that one would hurt more.

W9
vs#26Arizona
62% lose85% win
±3.6
likely move
in odds
80% to win
W12
at#42Baylor
63% lose85% win
±3.1
likely move
in odds
81% to win
W13
vs#32TCU
59% lose84% win
±2.7
likely move
in odds
86% to win
W3
vs#36Houston
59% lose84% win
±2.3
likely move
in odds
89% to win
W8
at#51Cincinnati
60% lose84% win
±2.2
likely move
in odds
86% to win
W7
vs#43Arizona State
59% lose83% win
±1.7
likely move
in odds
91% to win
W5
at#74Colorado
57% lose83% win
±1.3
likely move
in odds
93% to win
W10
vs#66West Virginia
53% lose82% win
±0.9
likely move
in odds
95% to win