CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 2 · Sat Sep 12 · 7:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
TTU 93.8%6.2% ORST
Projected margin
TTU by 22.1
Projected total
50
80% outcome range
TTU 41 to TTU 3
Win probability
TTU 93.8%
FinalTTU 35 · ORST 24model had -22.1, off by 11.1

Current team profiles

Texas Tech
Oregon State

When Texas Tech has the ball

Passing

TTU offense
Higher-ranked profile
TTU offense
#33
ORST defense
#49
EPA comparison
0.36
#33
0.08
#49
Pass EPA

Rushing

TTU offense
Higher-ranked profile
TTU offense
#42
ORST defense
#52
EPA comparison
0.17
#42
0.01
#52
Rush EPA

Drive success

TTU offense
Higher-ranked profile
TTU offense
#42
ORST defense
#71
Success rates
47%
#42
40%
#71
Success rate
More metrics
0.19
#51
0.04
#55
EPA / play
1.15
#105
1.08
#18
Explosiveness
19%
#126
17%
#45
Havoc

When Oregon State has the ball

Passing

ORST offense
Higher-ranked profile
TTU defense
#30
ORST offense
#11
EPA comparison
0.02
#30
0.50
#11
Pass EPA

Rushing

TTU defense
Higher-ranked profile
TTU defense
#22
ORST offense
#81
EPA comparison
-0.09
#22
0.08
#81
Rush EPA

Drive success

ORST offense
Higher-ranked profile
TTU defense
#35
ORST offense
#11
Success rates
36%
#35
51%
#11
Success rate
More metrics
-0.06
#17
0.32
#10
EPA / play
1.29
#102
1.26
#45
Explosiveness
17%
#56
11%
#21
Havoc

Current key players

Texas Tech
QBWill Hammond
1102 yds · 5 TD · 5 INT
66.1203/729
LBAustin Romaine
33 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
80.3
Coverage
82.6
Pressures
3
Pass-rush snaps
20
Missed tackles
5
Forced fumbles
0
85.236/1796
TETerrance Carter Jr.
13 rec · 129 yds · 1 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
69.8
Run blocking
83.9
Penalties
0
81.121/1017
LBCorey Platt Jr.
11 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
51.4
Coverage
88.9
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
2
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
79.885/1796
RBJ'Koby Williams
373 yds · 3 TD · 5.9 YPC
78.599/1044
CBDavin Martin
13 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
73.8
Coverage
77.4
Targets allowed
18
Rec allowed
11
Yards allowed
111
Passer rating allowed
78.7
Missed tackles
1
78.096/2969
Availability reports · 4
  • Cameron Dickey · RBout · 2026-10-05

    Dickey is battling with a sprained ankle injury, and there is no timetable for his return.

  • Trey White · LBQues. · 2026-09-26

    White is battling with a knee injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Colorado on Saturday, October 3rd.

  • Amier Boyd · CBQues. · 2026-09-26

    Boyd is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Colorado on Saturday, October 3rd.

  • Terrance Carter Jr. · TEprobable · 2026-09-28

    Carter Jr is nursing a shoulder injury, but he is expected to play against Colorado on Saturday.

Oregon State
QBBraden Atkinson
1827 yds · 16 TD · 2 INT
84.947/729
WRJesse Legree
28 rec · 741 yds · 9 TD
89.68/2069
TELandon Cook
— rec · — yds · — TD
Player detail
Run blocking
59.9
Penalties
0
80.723/1017
LBTakari Hickle
27 tkl · 7.5 TFL · 3.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
77.6
Coverage
60.5
Pressures
17
Pass-rush snaps
116
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
1
77.2135/1796
LBKord Shaw
20 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
74.9
Coverage
71.7
Pressures
2
Pass-rush snaps
6
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
75.3174/1796
RBAJ Newberry
271 yds · 2 TD · 6.0 YPC
73.9195/1044
Position units

Position-unit comparison

TTU
ORST
vs
Offense
66.1
#116 of 138
QB
84.9
#41 of 138
76.2
#64 of 138
RB
70.9
#113 of 138
66.7
#124 of 138
WR
72.0
#60 of 138
81.1
#21 of 138
TE
80.7
#23 of 138
70.9
#47 of 138
OL
72.6
#30 of 138
Defense
75.4
#50 of 138
DL
65.1
#136 of 138
80.1
#21 of 138
LB
75.6
#56 of 138
75.1
#32 of 138
DB
66.9
#126 of 138
Common opponents