CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 5 · Sat Oct 3 · 7:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
TTU 89.3%10.7% COLO
Projected margin
TTU by 17.5
Projected total
50
80% outcome range
TTU 38 to COLO 1
Win probability
TTU 89.3%
FinalTTU 29 · COLO 7model had -17.5, off by 4.5

Current team profiles

Texas Tech
Colorado

When Texas Tech has the ball

Passing

TTU offense
Higher-ranked profile
TTU offense
#33
COLO defense
#79
EPA comparison
0.36
#33
0.17
#79
Pass EPA

Rushing

COLO defense
Higher-ranked profile
TTU offense
#42
COLO defense
#12
EPA comparison
0.17
#42
-0.14
#12
Rush EPA

Drive success

COLO defense
Higher-ranked profile
TTU offense
#42
COLO defense
#37
Success rates
47%
#42
37%
#37
Success rate
More metrics
0.19
#51
-0.02
#34
EPA / play
1.15
#105
1.20
#57
Explosiveness
19%
#126
21%
#13
Havoc

When Colorado has the ball

Passing

TTU defense
Higher-ranked profile
TTU defense
#30
COLO offense
#108
EPA comparison
0.02
#30
0.09
#108
Pass EPA

Rushing

TTU defense
Higher-ranked profile
TTU defense
#22
COLO offense
#132
EPA comparison
-0.09
#22
-0.10
#132
Rush EPA

Drive success

TTU defense
Higher-ranked profile
TTU defense
#35
COLO offense
#107
Success rates
36%
#35
40%
#107
Success rate
More metrics
-0.06
#17
-0.01
#125
EPA / play
1.29
#102
1.17
#100
Explosiveness
17%
#56
17%
#106
Havoc

Current key players

Texas Tech
QBWill Hammond
1102 yds · 5 TD · 5 INT
66.1203/729
LBAustin Romaine
33 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
80.3
Coverage
82.6
Pressures
3
Pass-rush snaps
20
Missed tackles
5
Forced fumbles
0
85.236/1796
TETerrance Carter Jr.
13 rec · 129 yds · 1 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
69.8
Run blocking
83.9
Penalties
0
81.121/1017
LBCorey Platt Jr.
11 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
51.4
Coverage
88.9
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
2
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
79.885/1796
RBJ'Koby Williams
373 yds · 3 TD · 5.9 YPC
78.599/1044
CBDavin Martin
13 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
73.8
Coverage
77.4
Targets allowed
18
Rec allowed
11
Yards allowed
111
Passer rating allowed
78.7
Missed tackles
1
78.096/2969
Availability reports · 4
  • Cameron Dickey · RBout · 2026-10-05

    Dickey is battling with a sprained ankle injury, and there is no timetable for his return.

  • Trey White · LBQues. · 2026-09-26

    White is battling with a knee injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Colorado on Saturday, October 3rd.

  • Amier Boyd · CBQues. · 2026-09-26

    Boyd is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Colorado on Saturday, October 3rd.

  • Terrance Carter Jr. · TEprobable · 2026-09-28

    Carter Jr is nursing a shoulder injury, but he is expected to play against Colorado on Saturday.

Colorado
QBIsaac Wilson
443 yds · 2 TD · 3 INT
60.1271/729
DBJah Jah Boyd
12 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
86.0
Coverage
85.7
Targets allowed
2
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
4
Passer rating allowed
56.3
Missed tackles
1
88.913/2969
RBTitus Bautista
7 yds · 0 TD · 7.0 YPC
83.745/1044
LBCarson Crawford
5 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
62.7
Coverage
71.4
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
4
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
77.0141/1796
WRJoseph Williams
32 rec · 454 yds · 5 TD
76.993/2069
DBRJ Johnson
4 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
69.0
Coverage
79.2
Targets allowed
4
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
0
76.2153/2969
Availability reports · 7
  • Zach Atkins · TEout · 2026-10-02

    Atkins is sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and is not expected to face the Red Raiders on Saturday.

  • Danny Scudero · WRout · 2026-10-01

    Scudero is sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and is not expected to face the Red Raiders on Saturday.

  • Makari Vickers · CBout · 2026-10-02

    Vickers is sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and is not expected to face the Red Raiders on Saturday.

  • Quentin Gibson · WRQues. · 2026-10-01

    Gibson is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will play against the Red-raiders on Saturday.

  • Charlie Williams · TEQues. · 2026-10-01

    Williams is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against the Red Raiders on Saturday.

  • Damian Henderson II · RBprobable · 2026-10-01

    Henderson II is managing with an undisclosed injury , but it is expected to play against Red Raiders on Saturday.

  • DeAndre Moore Jr. · WRprobable · 2026-10-02

    Moore Jr is managing with an undisclosed injury , but it is expected to play against the Red Raiders on Saturday.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

TTU
COLO
vs
Offense
66.1
#116 of 138
QB
60.1
#132 of 138
76.2
#64 of 138
RB
81.9
#24 of 138
66.7
#124 of 138
WR
71.8
#64 of 138
81.1
#21 of 138
TE
56.5
#135 of 138
70.9
#47 of 138
OL
71.2
#43 of 138
Defense
75.4
#50 of 138
DL
77.4
#31 of 138
80.1
#21 of 138
LB
74.1
#69 of 138
75.1
#32 of 138
DB
75.0
#34 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Texas Tech
opponent
Colorado
H+22.2
ASU#65
-9.6A
A+14.9
CIN#59
-11.6A
A+21.6
OKST#52
-4.8A
A+13.7
BAY#41
-10.0A
H+2.0
HOU#13
-10.0H