Passing
TTU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- SHSU offense
- #98
- TTU defense
- #30
EPA comparison
0.12
#98
0.02
#30
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 4 · Sat Sep 26 · 12:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
SHSU 6.0%94.0% TTU
- Projected margin
- TTU by 24.7
- Projected total
- 52
- 80% outcome range
- TTU 4 to TTU 46
- Win probability
- TTU 94.0%
FinalSHSU 14 · TTU 49model had +24.7, off by 10.3
Current team profiles
Sam HoustonTexas TechWhen Sam Houston has the ball
Rushing
TTU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- SHSU offense
- #110
- TTU defense
- #22
EPA comparison
0.00
#110
-0.09
#22
Rush EPA
Drive success
TTU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- SHSU offense
- #96
- TTU defense
- #35
Success rates
41%
#96
36%
#35
Success rate
More metrics
0.05
#107
-0.06
#17
EPA / play
1.28
#41
1.29
#102
Explosiveness
18%
#122
17%
#56
Havoc
When Texas Tech has the ball
Passing
SHSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- SHSU defense
- #26
- TTU offense
- #33
EPA comparison
0.01
#26
0.36
#33
Pass EPA
Rushing
TTU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- SHSU defense
- #134
- TTU offense
- #42
EPA comparison
0.26
#134
0.17
#42
Rush EPA
Drive success
TTU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- SHSU defense
- #95
- TTU offense
- #42
Success rates
43%
#95
47%
#42
Success rate
More metrics
0.13
#98
0.19
#51
EPA / play
1.22
#70
1.15
#105
Explosiveness
20%
#18
19%
#126
Havoc
Current key players
Sam HoustonQBBrett Holloway
64 yds · 1 TD · 1 INT
90.619/729
SCameron Franklin
7 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 77.3
- Coverage
- 85.4
- Targets allowed
- 2
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 12
- Passer rating allowed
- 29.2
- Missed tackles
- 1
87.416/2969
LBCa'lub Holloway
3 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 80.0
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 1
85.235/1796
RBAh'Marion Gaines-Smith
21 yds · 0 TD · 7.0 YPC
77.0136/1044
LBCole Worthington
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 71.1
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
74.2210/1796
SRailyn Adams
18 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 76.4
- Coverage
- 71.2
- Targets allowed
- 8
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 26
- Passer rating allowed
- 7.3
- Missed tackles
- 5
73.9235/2969
Availability reports · 2
- Brock Kuhl · TEout · 2026-10-08
Kuhl is battling with an undisclosed injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.
- Max Whisner · TEQues. · 2026-10-09
Whisner is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face Hilltoppers on Wednesday.
Texas TechQBWill Hammond
1102 yds · 5 TD · 5 INT
66.1203/729
LBAustin Romaine
33 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 80.3
- Coverage
- 82.6
- Pressures
- 3
- Pass-rush snaps
- 20
- Missed tackles
- 5
- Forced fumbles
- 0
85.236/1796
TETerrance Carter Jr.
13 rec · 129 yds · 1 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 69.8
- Run blocking
- 83.9
- Penalties
- 0
81.121/1017
LBCorey Platt Jr.
11 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 51.4
- Coverage
- 88.9
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 2
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
79.885/1796
RBJ'Koby Williams
373 yds · 3 TD · 5.9 YPC
78.599/1044
CBDavin Martin
13 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 73.8
- Coverage
- 77.4
- Targets allowed
- 18
- Rec allowed
- 11
- Yards allowed
- 111
- Passer rating allowed
- 78.7
- Missed tackles
- 1
78.096/2969
Availability reports · 4
- Cameron Dickey · RBout · 2026-10-05
Dickey is battling with a sprained ankle injury, and there is no timetable for his return.
- Trey White · LBQues. · 2026-09-26
White is battling with a knee injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Colorado on Saturday, October 3rd.
- Amier Boyd · CBQues. · 2026-09-26
Boyd is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Colorado on Saturday, October 3rd.
- Terrance Carter Jr. · TEprobable · 2026-09-28
Carter Jr is nursing a shoulder injury, but he is expected to play against Colorado on Saturday.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
SHSUSam Houston
TTUTexas Tech
vs
Offense
90.6
#17 of 138
QB
Quarterback
66.1
#116 of 138
75.4
#71 of 138
RB
Running backs
76.2
#64 of 138
70.0
#80 of 138
WR
Receivers
66.7
#124 of 138
63.3
#102 of 138
TE
Tight ends
81.1
#21 of 138
65.6
#90 of 138
OL
Offensive line
70.9
#47 of 138
Defense
74.7
#56 of 138
DL
Defensive line
75.4
#50 of 138
76.7
#47 of 138
LB
Linebackers
80.1
#21 of 138
73.4
#52 of 138
DB
Secondary
75.1
#32 of 138