CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 11 · Sat Nov 14 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
TTU 91.7%8.3% OKST
Projected margin
TTU by 21.6
Projected total
56
80% outcome range
TTU 40 to TTU 3
Win probability
TTU 91.7%

Current team profiles

Texas Tech
Oklahoma State

When Texas Tech has the ball

Passing

TTU offense
Higher-ranked profile
TTU offense
#33
OKST defense
#41
EPA comparison
0.36
#33
0.07
#41
Pass EPA

Rushing

TTU offense
Higher-ranked profile
TTU offense
#42
OKST defense
#47
EPA comparison
0.17
#42
0.00
#47
Rush EPA

Drive success

TTU offense
Higher-ranked profile
TTU offense
#42
OKST defense
#54
Success rates
47%
#42
39%
#54
Success rate
More metrics
0.19
#51
0.02
#52
EPA / play
1.15
#105
1.20
#57
Explosiveness
19%
#126
15%
#81
Havoc

When Oklahoma State has the ball

Passing

TTU defense
Higher-ranked profile
TTU defense
#30
OKST offense
#31
EPA comparison
0.02
#30
0.37
#31
Pass EPA

Rushing

TTU defense
Higher-ranked profile
TTU defense
#22
OKST offense
#93
EPA comparison
-0.09
#22
0.04
#93
Rush EPA

Drive success

OKST offense
Higher-ranked profile
TTU defense
#35
OKST offense
#18
Success rates
36%
#35
50%
#18
Success rate
More metrics
-0.06
#17
0.17
#63
EPA / play
1.29
#102
1.09
#128
Explosiveness
17%
#56
10%
#9
Havoc

Current key players

Texas Tech
QBWill Hammond
1102 yds · 5 TD · 5 INT
66.1203/729
LBAustin Romaine
33 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
80.3
Coverage
82.6
Pressures
3
Pass-rush snaps
20
Missed tackles
5
Forced fumbles
0
85.236/1796
TETerrance Carter Jr.
13 rec · 129 yds · 1 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
69.8
Run blocking
83.9
Penalties
0
81.121/1017
LBCorey Platt Jr.
11 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
51.4
Coverage
88.9
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
2
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
79.885/1796
RBJ'Koby Williams
373 yds · 3 TD · 5.9 YPC
78.599/1044
CBDavin Martin
13 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
73.8
Coverage
77.4
Targets allowed
18
Rec allowed
11
Yards allowed
111
Passer rating allowed
78.7
Missed tackles
1
78.096/2969
Availability reports · 4
  • Cameron Dickey · RBout · 2026-10-05

    Dickey is battling with a sprained ankle injury, and there is no timetable for his return.

  • Trey White · LBQues. · 2026-09-26

    White is battling with a knee injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Colorado on Saturday, October 3rd.

  • Amier Boyd · CBQues. · 2026-09-26

    Boyd is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Colorado on Saturday, October 3rd.

  • Terrance Carter Jr. · TEprobable · 2026-09-28

    Carter Jr is nursing a shoulder injury, but he is expected to play against Colorado on Saturday.

Oklahoma State
QBDrew Mestemaker
1271 yds · 11 TD · 5 INT
83.155/729
WRWyatt Young
22 rec · 410 yds · 3 TD
84.026/2069
RBKD Jones
54 yds · 1 TD · 7.7 YPC
83.744/1044
LBEthan Wesloski
36 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
73.6
Coverage
81.3
Pressures
4
Pass-rush snaps
17
Missed tackles
7
Forced fumbles
0
79.392/1796
CBMo Horn
10 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
61.7
Coverage
82.3
Targets allowed
11
Rec allowed
8
Yards allowed
66
Passer rating allowed
118.0
Missed tackles
0
78.192/2969
LBJack Puckett
0 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
61.7
Coverage
60.7
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
75.8161/1796
Availability reports · 2
  • Jacob Sexton · OGout · 2026-10-10

    Sexton is dealing with a leg injury, and there is no timetable for return.

  • Oscar Hammond · TEout · 2026-09-20

    Hammond is hobbled by an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for his return.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

TTU
OKST
vs
Offense
66.1
#116 of 138
QB
83.1
#48 of 138
76.2
#64 of 138
RB
79.5
#38 of 138
66.7
#124 of 138
WR
76.0
#30 of 138
81.1
#21 of 138
TE
60.4
#115 of 138
70.9
#47 of 138
OL
69.7
#56 of 138
Defense
75.4
#50 of 138
DL
75.6
#49 of 138
80.1
#21 of 138
LB
76.0
#51 of 138
75.1
#32 of 138
DB
70.7
#88 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Texas Tech
opponent
Oklahoma State
H+22.2
ASU#65
-7.4A
A+22.0
COLO#84
+4.8H
H+2.0
HOU#13
-13.1A
H+22.5
WVU#86
+17.0A