CFB
Model
All rankings
Big 12

Oklahoma State

Cowboys4-111th in Big 12
Boone Pickens Stadium · Stillwater, OK · 55,509
TeamShort on both sides
OffenseMethodical passing attack · averageweak point: explosiveness, 128th
DefenseSolid defense

The season

Best win
W 39-31 vs #8 Oregon
Wk 2 · Sep 12 · won as a 7% underdog
Worst loss
L 10-24 @ #98 Tulsa
Wk 1 · Sep 5 · model had 49%

Schedule

model 3/5 straight up

Opponent ranks use the selected season's current or final board.

  1. Week 1 · Sep 5
    atTulsa
    L 10–24
    Win chance 49%Model margin -0.4Game details
  2. Week 2 · Sep 12
    vsOregon
    W 39–31
    Win chance 7%Model margin -19.7Game details
  3. Week 3 · Sep 19
    vsMurray State
    W 59–0
    Win chance >99%Model margin +53.3Game details
  4. Week 4 · Sep 26
    atWest Virginia
    W 41–24
    Win chance 54%Model margin +1.5Game details
  5. Week 6 · Oct 10
    vsUCF
    W 42–28
    Win chance 49%Model margin -0.5Game details
  6. Week 7 · Oct 17
    atHouston
    Win chance 17%Model margin -13.1Game details
  7. Week 8 · Oct 24
    vsColorado
    Win chance 64%Model margin +4.8Game details
  8. Week 9 · Oct 31
    atIowa State
    Win chance 19%Model margin -12.0Game details
  9. Week 10 · Nov 7
    atKansas State
    Win chance 18%Model margin -12.3Game details
  10. Week 11 · Nov 14
    vsTexas Tech
    Win chance 6%Model margin -21.6Game details
  11. Week 12 · Nov 21
    atArizona State
    Win chance 29%Model margin -7.4Game details
  12. Week 13 · Nov 28
    vsKansas
    Win chance 50%Model margin +0.1Game details

Profile

Team DNA

rank of 138
Offense efficiency
50
#70 of 138
Defense efficiency
55
#57 of 138
Efficiency
#630.17
EPA / play
#520.02
#310.37
Pass
#410.07
#930.04
Rush
#470.00
#1850%
Success
#5439%
Big plays & havoc
#1281.09
Explosive
#571.20
#910%
Havoc
#8115%
Position groupsby overall player grade
QB48th
RB38th
WR30th
TE115th
OL56th
DL49th
LB51st
DB88th

Roster

Core lineup

overall grade
Offense
QB
Drew MestemakerSO
1271 yds · 11 TD · 5 INT
83.1
55th QB
RB
KD JonesFR
54 yds · 1 TD · 7.7 YPC
83.7
44th RB
WR
Wyatt YoungJR
22 rec · 410 yds · 3 TD
84.0
26th WR
WR
Justin BowickSR
20 rec · 344 yds · 4 TD
75.2
122nd WR
TE
Donovan GreenSR
— rec · — yds · — TD
60.4
236th TE
Defense
LB
Ethan WesloskiSR
36 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
79.3
92nd LB
LB
Jack PuckettSR
0 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
75.8
161st LB
CB
Mo HornSR
10 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
78.1
92nd DB
S
Markeith WilliamsSR
6 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
71.9
328th DB
S
Vincent HolmesJR
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
69.9
454th DB

Injury report

2 out
out
Jacob SextonOG

Sexton is dealing with a leg injury, and there is no timetable for return.

61.910-10
out
Oscar HammondTE

Hammond is hobbled by an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for his return.

60.009-20

Ahead

From the full-season Monte Carlo

Playoff impact

Playoff chances in the published season simulation, depending on each game’s result. Games follow the remaining schedule.

  1. Week 7 · Oct 17
    atHouston
    Playoff chance if win
    0.6%
    Playoff chance if loss
    0.0%

Past seasons

Year by year
-17.4 points since 2022
304355688064.4202263.3202360.7202447.02025
2022 64.42023 63.32024 60.72025 47.0

2025

1-11
D-I rank
#143
Rating
47.0
Listed games · 12
WLLLLLLLLLLL
170 pts scored400 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs UT MartinW 27–7
  2. W2 at OregonL 3–69
  3. W4 vs TulsaL 12–19
  4. W5 vs BaylorL 27–45
  5. W6 at ArizonaL 13–41
  6. W7 vs HoustonL 17–39
  7. W8 vs CincinnatiL 17–49
  8. W9 at Texas TechL 0–42
  9. W10 at KansasL 21–38
  10. W12 vs Kansas StateL 6–14
  11. W13 at UCFL 14–17
  12. W14 vs Iowa StateL 13–20

2024

3-9
D-I rank
#71
Rating
60.7
Listed games · 12
WWWLLLLLLLLL
326 pts scored427 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs South Dakota StateW 44–20
  2. W2 vs ArkansasW 39–31
  3. W3 at TulsaW 45–10
  4. W4 vs UtahL 19–22
  5. W5 at Kansas StateL 20–42
  6. W6 vs West VirginiaL 14–38
  7. W8 at BYUL 35–38
  8. W9 at BaylorL 28–38
  9. W10 vs Arizona StateL 21–42
  10. W11 at TCUL 13–38
  11. W13 vs Texas TechL 48–56
  12. W14 at ColoradoL 0–52

2023

9-4
D-I rank
#51
Rating
63.3
Listed games · 13
WWLLWWWWWLWWL
383 pts scored377 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs Central ArkansasW 27–13
  2. W2 at Arizona StateW 27–15
  3. W3 vs South AlabamaL 7–33
  4. W4 at Iowa StateL 27–34
  5. W6 vs Kansas StateW 29–21
  6. W7 vs KansasW 39–32
  7. W8 at West VirginiaW 48–34
  8. W9 vs CincinnatiW 45–13
  9. W10 vs OklahomaW 27–24
  10. W11 at UCFL 3–45
  11. W12 at HoustonW 43–30
  12. W13 vs BYUW 40–34
  13. W14 vs TexasL 21–49

2022

7-5
D-I rank
#50
Rating
64.4
Listed games · 12
WWWWWLWLLWLL
381 pts scored352 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs Central MichiganW 58–44
  2. W2 vs Arizona StateW 34–17
  3. W3 vs Arkansas-Pine BluffW 63–7
  4. W5 at BaylorW 36–25
  5. W6 vs Texas TechW 41–31
  6. W7 at TCUL 40–43
  7. W8 vs TexasW 41–34
  8. W9 at Kansas StateL 0–48
  9. W10 at KansasL 16–37
  10. W11 vs Iowa StateW 20–14
  11. W12 at OklahomaL 13–28
  12. W13 vs West VirginiaL 19–24