CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 4 · Sat Sep 26 · 7:00 PM ET
#71Away
Oklahoma State
2-1 · AVR 59.4
41
Final
#64Home
West Virginia
3-0 · AVR 61.4
24
Forecast win probability
OKST 55.3%44.7% WVU
Projected margin
OKST by 1.5
Projected total
53
80% outcome range
OKST 20 to WVU 17
Win probability
OKST 55.3%
FinalOKST 41 · WVU 24model had -1.5, off by 15.5

Current team profiles

Oklahoma State
West Virginia

When Oklahoma State has the ball

Passing

OKST offense
Higher-ranked profile
OKST offense
#31
WVU defense
#130
EPA comparison
0.37
#31
0.44
#130
Pass EPA

Rushing

WVU defense
Higher-ranked profile
OKST offense
#93
WVU defense
#73
EPA comparison
0.04
#93
0.05
#73
Rush EPA

Drive success

OKST offense
Higher-ranked profile
OKST offense
#18
WVU defense
#122
Success rates
50%
#18
46%
#122
Success rate
More metrics
0.17
#63
0.20
#120
EPA / play
1.09
#128
1.27
#93
Explosiveness
10%
#9
16%
#74
Havoc

When West Virginia has the ball

Passing

OKST defense
Higher-ranked profile
OKST defense
#41
WVU offense
#82
EPA comparison
0.07
#41
0.17
#82
Pass EPA

Rushing

OKST defense
Higher-ranked profile
OKST defense
#47
WVU offense
#55
EPA comparison
0.00
#47
0.14
#55
Rush EPA

Drive success

OKST defense
Higher-ranked profile
OKST defense
#54
WVU offense
#73
Success rates
39%
#54
43%
#73
Success rate
More metrics
0.02
#52
0.14
#71
EPA / play
1.20
#57
1.30
#32
Explosiveness
15%
#81
13%
#35
Havoc

Current key players

Oklahoma State
QBDrew Mestemaker
1271 yds · 11 TD · 5 INT
83.155/729
WRWyatt Young
22 rec · 410 yds · 3 TD
84.026/2069
RBKD Jones
54 yds · 1 TD · 7.7 YPC
83.744/1044
LBEthan Wesloski
36 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
73.6
Coverage
81.3
Pressures
4
Pass-rush snaps
17
Missed tackles
7
Forced fumbles
0
79.392/1796
CBMo Horn
10 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
61.7
Coverage
82.3
Targets allowed
11
Rec allowed
8
Yards allowed
66
Passer rating allowed
118.0
Missed tackles
0
78.192/2969
LBJack Puckett
0 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
61.7
Coverage
60.7
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
75.8161/1796
Availability reports · 2
  • Jacob Sexton · OGout · 2026-10-10

    Sexton is dealing with a leg injury, and there is no timetable for return.

  • Oscar Hammond · TEout · 2026-09-20

    Hammond is hobbled by an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for his return.

West Virginia
QBMichael Hawkins Jr.
836 yds · 7 TD · 1 INT
90.025/729
WRKedrick Triplett
1 rec · 27 yds · 1 TD
87.815/2069
WRDJ Epps
14 rec · 393 yds · 4 TD
78.172/2069
RBCam Cook
652 yds · 5 TD · 5.5 YPC
76.9137/1044
DBJaCorey Thomas
4 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
66.4
Coverage
76.6
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
3
Passer rating allowed
79.2
Missed tackles
0
76.9128/2969
DBGeimere Latimer II
21 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
79.6
Coverage
69.3
Targets allowed
19
Rec allowed
10
Yards allowed
68
Passer rating allowed
95.9
Missed tackles
6
76.2152/2969
Availability reports · 4
  • Martavious Boswell · RBout · 2026-10-10

    Boswell is dealing with a Undisclosed injury, he will miss an extended period.

  • John Neider · WRout · 2026-10-10

    Neider is hampered by an undisclosed injury and he will miss an extended period.

  • Cam Ball · TEout · 2026-10-10

    Ball is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.

  • Andre Devine · RBout · 2026-10-10

    Devine is hobbled by an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

OKST
WVU
vs
Offense
83.1
#48 of 138
QB
90.0
#24 of 138
79.5
#38 of 138
RB
75.6
#67 of 138
76.0
#30 of 138
WR
79.6
#12 of 138
60.4
#115 of 138
TE
63.9
#98 of 138
69.7
#56 of 138
OL
66.6
#81 of 138
Defense
75.6
#49 of 138
DL
67.5
#129 of 138
76.0
#51 of 138
LB
72.5
#83 of 138
70.7
#88 of 138
DB
74.7
#38 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Oklahoma State
opponent
West Virginia
A-13.1
HOU#13
-3.4H
A-12.0
ISU#56
-3.0A
H+0.1
KU#31
+4.5H
H-21.6
TTU#10
-22.5A