CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 2 · Sat Sep 12 · 12:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
ORE 91.2%8.8% OKST
Projected margin
ORE by 19.7
Projected total
50
80% outcome range
ORE 38 to ORE 2
Win probability
ORE 91.2%
FinalORE 31 · OKST 39model had -19.7, off by 27.7

Current team profiles

Oregon
Oklahoma State

When Oregon has the ball

Passing

Same rank
ORE offense
#41
OKST defense
#41
EPA comparison
0.32
#41
0.07
#41
Pass EPA

Rushing

OKST defense
Higher-ranked profile
ORE offense
#100
OKST defense
#47
EPA comparison
0.03
#100
0.00
#47
Rush EPA

Drive success

OKST defense
Higher-ranked profile
ORE offense
#60
OKST defense
#54
Success rates
44%
#60
39%
#54
Success rate
More metrics
0.17
#61
0.02
#52
EPA / play
1.32
#26
1.20
#57
Explosiveness
14%
#67
15%
#81
Havoc

When Oklahoma State has the ball

Passing

OKST offense
Higher-ranked profile
ORE defense
#34
OKST offense
#31
EPA comparison
0.05
#34
0.37
#31
Pass EPA

Rushing

ORE defense
Higher-ranked profile
ORE defense
#34
OKST offense
#93
EPA comparison
-0.04
#34
0.04
#93
Rush EPA

Drive success

OKST offense
Higher-ranked profile
ORE defense
#37
OKST offense
#18
Success rates
37%
#37
50%
#18
Success rate
More metrics
-0.03
#32
0.17
#63
EPA / play
1.21
#69
1.09
#128
Explosiveness
16%
#62
10%
#9
Havoc

Current key players

Oregon
QBDylan Raiola
413 yds · 5 TD · 0 INT
85.836/729
LBNasir Wyatt
4 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
64.7
Coverage
61.2
Pressures
10
Pass-rush snaps
50
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
91.56/1796
LBDevon Jackson
23 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
83.3
Coverage
81.0
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
11
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
83.553/1796
RBDierre Hill Jr.
184 yds · 3 TD · 4.4 YPC
82.752/1044
WRMessiah Hampton
14 rec · 142 yds · 2 TD
80.651/2069
TEKendre Harrison
4 rec · 53 yds · 1 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
71.5
Run blocking
65.8
Penalties
0
79.826/1017
Availability reports · 5
  • Jeremiah McClellan · WRout · 2026-09-21

    McClellan is sidelined due to a foot injury, and there is no timetable for recovery.

  • Iverson Hooks · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Hooks is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will face the Cornhuskers on Saturday, October 17th.

  • D. Moore · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Moore is dealing with a concussion injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against the Cornhuskers on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Dillon Gresham · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Gresham is hampered by a neck injury, and it has yet to be established if he will be active against the Cornhuskers on Saturday, October 17t

  • Simeon Price · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Price is nursing due to an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will play against the Cornhuskers on Saturday, October

Oklahoma State
QBDrew Mestemaker
1271 yds · 11 TD · 5 INT
83.155/729
WRWyatt Young
22 rec · 410 yds · 3 TD
84.026/2069
RBKD Jones
54 yds · 1 TD · 7.7 YPC
83.744/1044
LBEthan Wesloski
36 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
73.6
Coverage
81.3
Pressures
4
Pass-rush snaps
17
Missed tackles
7
Forced fumbles
0
79.392/1796
CBMo Horn
10 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
61.7
Coverage
82.3
Targets allowed
11
Rec allowed
8
Yards allowed
66
Passer rating allowed
118.0
Missed tackles
0
78.192/2969
LBJack Puckett
0 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
61.7
Coverage
60.7
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
75.8161/1796
Availability reports · 2
  • Jacob Sexton · OGout · 2026-10-10

    Sexton is dealing with a leg injury, and there is no timetable for return.

  • Oscar Hammond · TEout · 2026-09-20

    Hammond is hobbled by an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for his return.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

ORE
OKST
vs
Offense
85.8
#34 of 138
QB
83.1
#48 of 138
81.3
#27 of 138
RB
79.5
#38 of 138
72.9
#49 of 138
WR
76.0
#30 of 138
79.8
#25 of 138
TE
60.4
#115 of 138
73.7
#22 of 138
OL
69.7
#56 of 138
Defense
75.9
#47 of 138
DL
75.6
#49 of 138
84.4
#7 of 138
LB
76.0
#51 of 138
73.2
#55 of 138
DB
70.7
#88 of 138
Common opponents