AVRCFB Model
All rankings
Big Ten

Oregon

Ducks0-02nd in Big Ten
Autzen Stadium · Eugene, OR · 54,000
Rank —
2
Rating
85.1
TeamBlue-chip roster
OffenseLoaded at the skill spots, veteran line
DefenseStrong front seven, experienced secondary

The season ahead

12 games scheduled

Schedule

12 games
WkOpponentWin probDateProjectedGame page
1
vs#60Boise State
100%
Sep 544-9p›
2
at#97Oklahoma State
100%
Sep 1246-11p›
3
vsPortland State
100%
Sep 1963-8p›
4
at#10USC
65%
Sep 2633-27p›
6
vs#53UCLA
98%
Oct 1042-14p›
7
vs#41Nebraska
96%
Oct 1741-17p›
8
at#35Illinois
92%
Oct 2439-20p›
9
vs#37Northwestern
96%
Oct 3138-15p›
10
at#1Ohio State
36%
Nov 724-29p›
11
vs#13Michigan
83%
Nov 1434-21p›
12
at#65Michigan State
98%
Nov 2143-15p›
13
vs#15Washington
85%
Nov 2835-22p›

Profile

Team DNA

rank of 138
Personnel
#185
Talent
#781
Position groups2025 player ratings
QB22nd
RB5th
WR14th
TE1st
OL17th
DL64th
LB1st
DB12th

Starting eleven

11 personnel
11 of 11 named8 ratedavg 74.92 top-252025 ratings
X75.6
J. McClellan
WR · SO31st
LT79.3
I. Laloulu
OL · SR41st
LG67.0
D. Iuli
OL · SR80th
C—
F. Crader
OL · SO
RG—
K. Rogers
OL · SR
RT—
M. Bennett
OL · SR
TE84.5
J. Johnson
TE · JR1st
SL65.2
I. Hooks
WR · SR82nd
Z68.5
D. Moore
WR · SO62nd
QB79.9
D. Moore
QB · JR22nd
RB79.1
J. Davison
RB · SO26th

Roster

Core lineup

2025 ratings
Offense
QB
Dante MooreJR
79.9
22nd QB
RB
Jordon DavisonSO
79.1
26th RB
WR
Jeremiah McClellanSO
75.6
31st WR
WR
Dakorien MooreSO
68.5
62nd WR
TE
Jamari JohnsonJR
84.5
1st TE
Defense
LB
Teitum TuiotiSR
91.9
7th LB
LB
Matayo UiagaleleiSR
90.6
10th LB
DB
Brandon Finney Jr.SO
88.9
17th DB
DB
Peyton WoodyardJR
81.3
77th DB
DB
Aaron FlowersSO
75.7
147th DB

Injury report

4 out · 1 starters
out
Surprise Player Standing
08-11
out
Brayden PlattLB
08-12
out
J. DavisonRB
08-12
out
Tony Cumberland
08-18
questionable
Dante MooreQBstarter
08-27
probable
MariotaQB
08-16
probable
Trey McNutt
08-16

Ahead

From the full-season Monte Carlo

Playoff impact

89%–99% playoff odds, on these results

Ranked by how far the result is likely to move their playoff odds. A close game against a good team moves more than a near-certain win, even when losing that one would hurt more.

W4
at#10USC
95% lose99% win
±1.0
likely move
in odds
64% to win
W10
at#1Ohio State
97% lose99% win
±0.7
likely move
in odds
37% to win
W11
vs#13Michigan
94% lose99% win
±0.7
likely move
in odds
80% to win
W13
vs#15Washington
94% lose99% win
±0.7
likely move
in odds
82% to win
W8
at#35Illinois
93% lose98% win
±0.4
likely move
in odds
90% to win
W7
vs#41Nebraska
92% lose98% win
±0.2
likely move
in odds
95% to win
W9
vs#37Northwestern
92% lose98% win
±0.2
likely move
in odds
94% to win
W6
vs#53UCLA
89% lose98% win
±0.2
likely move
in odds
98% to win