CFB
Model
All rankings
Big Ten

Oregon

Ducks3-23rd in Big Ten
Autzen Stadium · Eugene, OR · 54,000
TeamWell-rounded
OffenseBig-play passing attack · averageweak point: run game, 100th
DefenseDisciplined · solid

The season

Best win
W 41-27 @ #17 USC
Wk 4 · Sep 26 · model had 65%
Worst loss
L 31-39 @ #52 Oklahoma State
Wk 2 · Sep 12 · lost as a 93% favorite

Schedule

model 3/5 straight up

Opponent ranks use the selected season's current or final board.

  1. Week 1 · Sep 5
    vsBoise State
    W 34–27
    Win chance 98%Model margin +27.1Game details
  2. Week 2 · Sep 12
    atOklahoma State
    L 31–39
    Win chance 93%Model margin +19.7Game details
  3. Week 3 · Sep 18
    vsPortland State
    W 84–0
    Win chance >99%Model margin +54.9Game details
  4. Week 4 · Sep 26
    atUSC
    W 41–27
    Win chance 65%Model margin +5.2Game details
  5. Week 6 · Oct 10
    vsUCLA
    L 15–17
    Win chance 78%Model margin +10.2Game details
  6. Week 7 · Oct 17
    vsNebraska
    Win chance 79%Model margin +10.7Game details
  7. Week 8 · Oct 24
    atIllinois
    Win chance 79%Model margin +10.9Game details
  8. Week 9 · Oct 31
    vsNorthwestern
    Win chance 82%Model margin +12.2Game details
  9. Week 10 · Nov 7
    atOhio State
    Win chance 28%Model margin -8.0Game details
  10. Week 11 · Nov 14
    vsMichigan
    Win chance 85%Model margin +14.1Game details
  11. Week 12 · Nov 21
    atMichigan State
    Win chance 91%Model margin +18.4Game details
  12. Week 13 · Nov 28
    vsWashington
    Win chance 83%Model margin +12.7Game details

Profile

Team DNA

rank of 138
Offense efficiency
65
#38 of 138
Defense efficiency
68
#41 of 138
Efficiency
#610.17
EPA / play
#32-0.03
#410.32
Pass
#340.05
#1000.03
Rush
#34-0.04
#6044%
Success
#3737%
Big plays & havoc
#261.32
Explosive
#691.21
#6714%
Havoc
#6216%
Position groupsby overall player grade
QB34th
RB27th
WR49th
TE25th
OL22nd
DL47th
LB7th
DB55th

Roster

Core lineup

overall grade
Offense
QB
Dylan RaiolaJR
413 yds · 5 TD · 0 INT
85.8
36th QB
RB
Dierre Hill Jr.SO
184 yds · 3 TD · 4.4 YPC
82.7
52nd RB
WR
Messiah HamptonFR
14 rec · 142 yds · 2 TD
80.6
51st WR
WR
Evan StewartSR
22 rec · 278 yds · 3 TD
69.4
281st WR
TE
Kendre HarrisonFR
4 rec · 53 yds · 1 TD
79.8
26th TE
Defense
LB
Nasir WyattSO
4 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
91.5
6th LB
LB
Devon JacksonSR
23 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
83.5
53rd LB
DB
Ify ObidegwuSO
7 tkl · 5 PD · 0 INT
79.6
69th DB
DB
Jett WashingtonFR
3 tkl · 0 PD · 2 INT
76.6
143rd DB
DB
Peyton WoodyardJR
9 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
72.7
293rd DB

Injury report

1 out
out
Jeremiah McClellanWR

McClellan is sidelined due to a foot injury, and there is no timetable for recovery.

67.809-21
Ques.
Iverson HooksWR

Hooks is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will face the Cornhuskers on Saturday, October 17th.

57.410-11
Ques.
D. MooreQB

Moore is dealing with a concussion injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against the Cornhuskers on Saturday, October 17th.

80.310-11
Ques.
Dillon GreshamWR

Gresham is hampered by a neck injury, and it has yet to be established if he will be active against the Cornhuskers on Saturday, October 17t

—10-11
Ques.
Simeon PriceRB

Price is nursing due to an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will play against the Cornhuskers on Saturday, October

69.7202510-11

Ahead

From the full-season Monte Carlo

Playoff impact

Playoff chances in the published season simulation, depending on each game’s result. Games follow the remaining schedule.

  1. Week 7 · Oct 17
    vsNebraska
    Playoff chance if win
    78.5%
    Playoff chance if loss
    54.9%
  2. Week 8 · Oct 24
    atIllinois
    Playoff chance if win
    78.6%
    Playoff chance if loss
    54.0%
  3. Week 9 · Oct 31
    vsNorthwestern
    Playoff chance if win
    78.0%
    Playoff chance if loss
    54.3%
  4. Week 10 · Nov 7
    atOhio State
    Playoff chance if win
    86.4%
    Playoff chance if loss
    66.7%
  5. Week 11 · Nov 14
    vsMichigan
    Playoff chance if win
    76.9%
    Playoff chance if loss
    54.2%
  6. Week 12 · Nov 21
    atMichigan State
    Playoff chance if win
    75.8%
    Playoff chance if loss
    50.3%
  7. Week 13 · Nov 28
    vsWashington
    Playoff chance if win
    77.2%
    Playoff chance if loss
    55.7%

Past seasons

Year by year
+12.7 points since 2022
6070809010071.0202282.6202380.8202483.62025
2022 71.02023 82.62024 80.82025 83.6

2025

11-1
D-I rank
#5
Rating
83.6
Listed games · 12
WWWWWLWWWWWW
458 pts scored178 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs Montana StateW 59–13
  2. W2 vs Oklahoma StateW 69–3
  3. W3 at NorthwesternW 34–14
  4. W4 vs Oregon StateW 41–7
  5. W5 at Penn StateW 30–24
  6. W7 vs IndianaL 20–30
  7. W8 at RutgersW 56–10
  8. W9 vs WisconsinW 21–7
  9. W11 at IowaW 18–16
  10. W12 vs MinnesotaW 42–13
  11. W13 vs USCW 42–27
  12. W14 at WashingtonW 26–14

2024

13-0
D-I rank
#5
Rating
80.8
Listed games · 13
WWWWWWWWWWWWW
467 pts scored231 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs IdahoW 24–14
  2. W2 vs Boise StateW 37–34
  3. W3 at Oregon StateW 49–14
  4. W5 at UCLAW 34–13
  5. W6 vs Michigan StateW 31–10
  6. W7 vs Ohio StateW 32–31
  7. W8 at PurdueW 35–0
  8. W9 vs IllinoisW 38–9
  9. W10 at MichiganW 38–17
  10. W11 vs MarylandW 39–18
  11. W12 at WisconsinW 16–13
  12. W14 vs WashingtonW 49–21
  13. W15 vs Penn StateW 45–37

2023

11-2
D-I rank
#5
Rating
82.6
Listed games · 13
WWWWWLWWWWWWL
574 pts scored225 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs Portland StateW 81–7
  2. W2 at Texas TechW 38–30
  3. W3 vs Hawai'iW 55–10
  4. W4 vs ColoradoW 42–6
  5. W5 at StanfordW 42–6
  6. W7 at WashingtonL 33–36
  7. W8 vs Washington StateW 38–24
  8. W9 at UtahW 35–6
  9. W10 vs CaliforniaW 63–19
  10. W11 vs USCW 36–27
  11. W12 at Arizona StateW 49–13
  12. W13 vs Oregon StateW 31–7
  13. W14 vs WashingtonL 31–34

2022

9-3
D-I rank
#20
Rating
71.0
Listed games · 12
LWWWWWWWWLWL
476 pts scored329 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs GeorgiaL 3–49
  2. W2 vs Eastern WashingtonW 70–14
  3. W3 vs BYUW 41–20
  4. W4 at Washington StateW 44–41
  5. W5 vs StanfordW 45–27
  6. W6 at ArizonaW 49–22
  7. W8 vs UCLAW 45–30
  8. W9 at CaliforniaW 42–24
  9. W10 at ColoradoW 49–10
  10. W11 vs WashingtonL 34–37
  11. W12 vs UtahW 20–17
  12. W13 at Oregon StateL 34–38