CFB
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All rankings
Big Ten

Michigan

Wolverines3-28th in Big Ten
Michigan Stadium · Ann Arbor, MI · 107,601
TeamCarried by the defense · underachieving the roster
OffensePassing attack · weakweak point: explosiveness, 109th
DefenseSmothering · elite

The season

Best win
W 17-10 vs #19 Oklahoma
Wk 2 · Sep 12 · won as a 36% underdog
Worst loss
L 14-20 @ #54 Minnesota
Wk 5 · Oct 3 · lost as a 63% favorite

Schedule

model 2/5 straight up

Opponent ranks use the selected season's current or final board.

  1. Week 1 · Sep 5
    vsWestern Michigan
    W 13–12
    Win chance 91%Model margin +18.5Game details
  2. Week 2 · Sep 12
    vsOklahoma
    W 17–10
    Win chance 36%Model margin -4.9Game details
  3. Week 3 · Sep 19
    vsUTEP
    W 52–17
    Win chance 99%Model margin +31.4Game details
  4. Week 4 · Sep 26
    vsIowa
    L 19–20
    Win chance 59%Model margin +3.1Game details
  5. Week 5 · Oct 3
    atMinnesota
    L 14–20
    Win chance 63%Model margin +4.5Game details
  6. Week 7 · Oct 17
    vsPenn State
    Win chance 41%Model margin -3.0Game details
  7. Week 8 · Oct 24
    vsIndiana
    Win chance 24%Model margin -9.6Game details
  8. Week 9 · Oct 31
    atRutgers
    Win chance 74%Model margin +8.5Game details
  9. Week 10 · Nov 7
    vsMichigan State
    Win chance 82%Model margin +12.3Game details
  10. Week 11 · Nov 14
    atOregon
    Win chance 15%Model margin -14.1Game details
  11. Week 12 · Nov 21
    vsUCLA
    Win chance 62%Model margin +4.2Game details
  12. Week 13 · Nov 28
    atOhio State
    Win chance 8%Model margin -19.4Game details

Profile

Team DNA

rank of 138
Offense efficiency
31
#104 of 138
Defense efficiency
85
#14 of 138
Efficiency
#930.09
EPA / play
#6-0.12
#740.21
Pass
#6-0.11
#930.04
Rush
#12-0.14
#8342%
Success
#733%
Big plays & havoc
#1091.15
Explosive
#301.14
#10216%
Havoc
#4917%
Position groupsby overall player grade
QB10th
RB132nd
WR59th
TE105th
OL24th
DL14th
LB36th
DB39th

Roster

Core lineup

overall grade
Offense
QB
Tommy CarrFR
23 yds · 1 TD · 0 INT
91.1
11th QB
RB
Jordan MarshallJR
244 yds · 3 TD · 4.4 YPC
68.8
356th RB
WR
JJ BuchananSO
24 rec · 446 yds · 4 TD
87.4
17th WR
WR
Andrew MarshSO
25 rec · 268 yds · 1 TD
72.0
194th WR
TE
Crandall QuinnSR
— rec · — yds · — TD
62.1
204th TE
Defense
LB
Nathaniel StaehlingSR
25 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
81.9
63rd LB
LB
Max AlfordSR
5 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
77.3
130th LB
CB
Jyaire HillSR
25 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
78.5
83rd DB
S
Jacob OdenJR
2 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
74.8
201st DB
S
Chris BracyJR
23 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
74.0
229th DB

Injury report

1 out
out
Andrew SpragueOG

Sprague is sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and is not expected to play against the Hawkeyes on Saturday.

61.509-26
Ques.
John Henry DaleyDL

Daley is dealing with a lower body injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against the Minnesota on Tuesday.

75.109-28
Ques.
Logan ForbesWR

Forbes is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face Iowa on Saturday.

61.1202509-20

Ahead

From the full-season Monte Carlo

Playoff impact

Playoff chances in the published season simulation, depending on each game’s result. Games follow the remaining schedule.

  1. Week 7 · Oct 17
    vsPenn State
    Playoff chance if win
    1.5%
    Playoff chance if loss
    0.2%
  2. Week 8 · Oct 24
    vsIndiana
    Playoff chance if win
    1.8%
    Playoff chance if loss
    0.3%
  3. Week 9 · Oct 31
    atRutgers
    Playoff chance if win
    1.0%
    Playoff chance if loss
    0.1%
  4. Week 10 · Nov 7
    vsMichigan State
    Playoff chance if win
    0.9%
    Playoff chance if loss
    0.2%
  5. Week 11 · Nov 14
    atOregon
    Playoff chance if win
    2.4%
    Playoff chance if loss
    0.4%
  6. Week 12 · Nov 21
    vsUCLA
    Playoff chance if win
    1.1%
    Playoff chance if loss
    0.1%
  7. Week 13 · Nov 28
    atOhio State
    Playoff chance if win
    3.3%
    Playoff chance if loss
    0.4%

Past seasons

Year by year
-8.7 points since 2022
6070809010082.8202286.8202370.2202474.12025
2022 82.82023 86.82024 70.22025 74.1

2025

9-3
D-I rank
#16
Rating
74.1
Listed games · 12
WLWWWLWWWWWL
331 pts scored224 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs New MexicoW 34–17
  2. W2 at OklahomaL 13–24
  3. W3 vs Central MichiganW 63–3
  4. W4 at NebraskaW 30–27
  5. W6 vs WisconsinW 24–10
  6. W7 at USCL 13–31
  7. W8 vs WashingtonW 24–7
  8. W9 at Michigan StateW 31–20
  9. W10 vs PurdueW 21–16
  10. W12 vs NorthwesternW 24–22
  11. W13 at MarylandW 45–20
  12. W14 vs Ohio StateL 9–27

2024

7-5
D-I rank
#29
Rating
70.2
Listed games · 12
WLWWWLLWLLWW
267 pts scored246 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs Fresno StateW 30–10
  2. W2 vs TexasL 12–31
  3. W3 vs Arkansas StateW 28–18
  4. W4 vs USCW 27–24
  5. W5 vs MinnesotaW 27–24
  6. W6 at WashingtonL 17–27
  7. W8 at IllinoisL 7–21
  8. W9 vs Michigan StateW 24–17
  9. W10 vs OregonL 17–38
  10. W11 at IndianaL 15–20
  11. W13 vs NorthwesternW 50–6
  12. W14 at Ohio StateW 13–10

2023

13-0
D-I rank
#1
Rating
86.8
Listed games · 13
WWWWWWWWWWWWW
477 pts scored123 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs East CarolinaW 30–3
  2. W2 vs UNLVW 35–7
  3. W3 vs Bowling GreenW 31–6
  4. W4 vs RutgersW 31–7
  5. W5 at NebraskaW 45–7
  6. W6 at MinnesotaW 52–10
  7. W7 vs IndianaW 52–7
  8. W8 at Michigan StateW 49–0
  9. W10 vs PurdueW 41–13
  10. W11 at Penn StateW 24–15
  11. W12 at MarylandW 31–24
  12. W13 vs Ohio StateW 30–24
  13. W14 vs IowaW 26–0

2022

13-0
D-I rank
#4
Rating
82.8
Listed games · 13
WWWWWWWWWWWWW
521 pts scored174 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs Colorado StateW 51–7
  2. W2 vs Hawai'iW 56–10
  3. W3 vs UConnW 59–0
  4. W4 vs MarylandW 34–27
  5. W5 at IowaW 27–14
  6. W6 at IndianaW 31–10
  7. W7 vs Penn StateW 41–17
  8. W9 vs Michigan StateW 29–7
  9. W10 at RutgersW 52–17
  10. W11 vs NebraskaW 34–3
  11. W12 vs IllinoisW 19–17
  12. W13 at Ohio StateW 45–23
  13. W14 vs PurdueW 43–22