AVRCFB Model
All rankings
Big Ten

Michigan

Wolverines0-05th in Big Ten
Michigan Stadium · Ann Arbor, MI · 107,601
Rank —
13
Rating
73.3
TeamStrong roster
OffenseQuarterback-driven, loaded at the skill spots, veteran line
DefenseExperienced secondary

The season ahead

12 games scheduled

Schedule

12 games
WkOpponentWin probDateProjectedGame page
1
vs#84Western Michigan
100%
Sep 541-6p›
2
vs#11Oklahoma
59%
Sep 1226-23p›
3
vs#133UTEP
100%
Sep 1947-8p›
4
vs#22Iowa
71%
Sep 2629-22p›
5
at#54MinnesotaLittle Brown Jug
83%
Oct 332-19p›
7
vs#21Penn State
70%
Oct 1730-23p›
8
vs#7Indiana
54%
Oct 2428-26p›
9
at#48Rutgers
82%
Oct 3134-22p›
10
vs#65Michigan StatePaul Bunyan Trophy
95%
Nov 739-16p›
11
at#2Oregon
17%
Nov 1421-34p›
12
vs#53UCLA
91%
Nov 2135-17p›
13
at#1Ohio StateThe Game
13%
Nov 2818-33p›

Profile

Team DNA

rank of 138
Personnel
#3673
Talent
#2476
Position groups2025 player ratings
QB12th
RB29th
WR9th
TE33rd
OL9th
DL29th
LB95th
DB25th

Starting eleven

11 personnel
11 of 11 named8 ratedavg 76.45 top-252025 ratings
X84.8
A. Marsh
WR · SO15th
LT88.1
N. Efobi
OL · SR15th
LG80.0
E. Link
OL · SR39th
C—
A. Sprague
OL · JR
RG—
B. Frazier
OL · JR
RT—
J. Guarnera
OL · JR
TE61.4
Z. Marshall
TE · SR38th
SL50.5
C. Goodwin
WR · JR294th
Z82.3
J. Buchanan
WR · SO18th
QB84.0
B. Underwood
QB · SO12th
RB80.1
J. Marshall
RB · JR22nd

Roster

Core lineup

2025 ratings
Offense
QB
Bryce UnderwoodSO
84.0
12th QB
RB
Jordan MarshallJR
80.1
22nd RB
WR
Andrew MarshSO
84.8
15th WR
WR
JJ BuchananSO
82.3
18th WR
TE
Zack MarshallSR
61.4
38th TE
Defense
LB
Troy BowlesSR
65.7
202nd LB
LB
Max AlfordSR
60.2
279th LB
CB
Smith SnowdenSR
88.1
20th DB
CB
Jyaire HillSR
80.6
87th DB
CB
Zeke BerrySR
70.3
228th DB

Injury report

11 out · 2 starters
out
QBQB
08-13
out
Former Michigan sacks leader
08-16
out
RBRB
08-18
out
Ace HamiltonOL
08-21
out
Andrew BabalolaOL
08-21
out
Freshman LinemanOL
08-21
out
Michigan Football Freshman LinemanOL
08-21
out
Michigan freshman
08-21
out
OLOL
08-21
out
freshman OLOL
08-21
out
Brandon McCoy
08-28
doubtful
O-linemanOL
08-21
doubtful
defensive endDL
08-21
questionable
Derrick Moore
08-20
questionable
Dom NicholsEDGE
08-21
questionable
S. HiterRB
08-22
probable
Michigan tight endTE
08-10
probable
John Henry DaleyEDGEstarter
08-21
probable
Rod MooreSstarter
08-21
probable
Michigan receiverWR
08-24

Ahead

From the full-season Monte Carlo

Playoff impact

10%–53% playoff odds, on these results

Ranked by how far the result is likely to move their playoff odds. A close game against a good team moves more than a near-certain win, even when losing that one would hurt more.

W8
vs#7Indiana
18% lose42% win
±5.2
likely move
in odds
54% to win
W2
vs#11Oklahoma
18% lose40% win
±4.3
likely move
in odds
59% to win
W4
vs#22Iowa
16% lose38% win
±4.1
likely move
in odds
69% to win
W7
vs#21Penn State
16% lose38% win
±3.8
likely move
in odds
69% to win
W11
at#2Oregon
26% lose50% win
±2.7
likely move
in odds
20% to win
W9
at#48Rutgers
14% lose35% win
±2.5
likely move
in odds
80% to win
W13
at#1Ohio State
27% lose53% win
±2.5
likely move
in odds
15% to win
W5
at#54Minnesota
15% lose35% win
±2.4
likely move
in odds
82% to win