AVRCFB Model
All rankings
Big Ten

Ohio State

Buckeyes0-01st in Big Ten
Ohio Stadium · Columbus, OH · 102,780
Rank —
1
Rating
85.7
TeamBlue-chip roster
OffenseQuarterback-driven, loaded at the skill spots, veteran line
DefenseStrong front seven

The season ahead

12 games scheduled

Schedule

12 games
WkOpponentWin probDateProjectedGame page
1
vs#136Ball State
100%
Sep 547-9p›
2
at#9Texas
71%
Sep 1228-21p›
3
vs#128Kent State
100%
Sep 1958-8p›
4
vs#35IllinoisIllibuck Trophy
97%
Sep 2640-14p›
5
at#22Iowa
87%
Oct 333-17p›
6
vs#47Maryland
99%
Oct 1040-10p›
7
at#7Indiana
74%
Oct 1731-22p›
9
at#10USC
72%
Oct 3132-24p›
10
vs#2Oregon
64%
Nov 729-24p›
11
vs#37Northwestern
97%
Nov 1437-11p›
12
at#41Nebraska
94%
Nov 2137-16p›
13
vs#13MichiganThe Game
87%
Nov 2833-18p›

Profile

Team DNA

rank of 138
Personnel
#384
Talent
#1180
Position groups2025 player ratings
QB7th
RB22nd
WR8th
TE29th
OL12th
DL28th
LB38th
DB67th

Starting eleven

11 personnel
11 of 11 named10 ratedavg 76.53 top-252025 ratings
X96.0
J. Smith
WR · JR1st
LT81.7
A. Siereveld
OL · JR32nd
LG79.0
L. Montgomery
OL · SR43rd
C78.5
J. Padilla
OL · JR46th
RG75.4
C. Hinzman
OL · SR56th
RT—
I. Moore
OL · SO
TE61.5
N. Roberts
TE · SO35th
SL58.9
K. Parker
WR · JR125th
Z63.2
D. McCuin
WR · SR94th
QB86.6
J. Sayin
QB · SO7th
RB84.6
B. Jackson
RB · SO8th

Roster

Core lineup

2025 ratings
Offense
QB
Julian SayinSO
86.6
7th QB
RB
Bo JacksonSO
84.6
8th RB
WR
Jeremiah SmithJR
96.0
1st WR
WR
Devin McCuinSR
63.2
94th WR
TE
Nate RobertsSO
61.5
35th TE
Defense
LB
Christian AlliegroSR
79.4
61st LB
LB
Payton PierceJR
67.8
180th LB
CB
Jermaine Mathews Jr.SR
69.4
253rd DB
S
Earl Little Jr.SR
67.6
289th DB
S
Jaylen McClainJR
67.2
306th DB

Injury report

2 out · 1 starters
out
Legend BeyRB
08-06
out
Ohio State OL
08-21
questionable
B. JacksonRB
08-11
questionable
K. ParkerWR
08-11
questionable
Austin SiereveldOLstarter
08-15

Ahead

From the full-season Monte Carlo

Playoff impact

95%–100% playoff odds, on these results

Ranked by how far the result is likely to move their playoff odds. A close game against a good team moves more than a near-certain win, even when losing that one would hurt more.

W9
at#10USC
98% lose100% win
±0.5
likely move
in odds
70% to win
W13
vs#13Michigan
97% lose100% win
±0.4
likely move
in odds
85% to win
W7
at#7Indiana
98% lose100% win
±0.4
likely move
in odds
73% to win
W2
at#9Texas
98% lose100% win
±0.3
likely move
in odds
69% to win
W10
vs#2Oregon
98% lose100% win
±0.3
likely move
in odds
63% to win
W5
at#22Iowa
97% lose99% win
±0.3
likely move
in odds
85% to win
W12
at#41Nebraska
96% lose99% win
±0.2
likely move
in odds
93% to win
W11
vs#37Northwestern
95% lose99% win
±0.1
likely move
in odds
96% to win