CFB
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All rankings
Big Ten

Ohio State

Buckeyes5-11st in Big Ten
Ohio Stadium · Columbus, OH · 102,780
TeamComplete
OffenseEfficient and explosive passing attack · strong
DefenseSmothering · elite

The season

Best win
W 31-14 @ #20 Iowa
Wk 5 · Oct 3 · model had 73%
Worst loss
L 23-24 @ #7 Texas
Wk 2 · Sep 12 · model had 32%

Schedule

model 6/6 straight up

Opponent ranks use the selected season's current or final board.

  1. Week 1 · Sep 5
    vsBall State
    W 56–3
    Win chance >99%Model margin +45.4Game details
  2. Week 2 · Sep 12
    atTexas
    L 23–24
    Win chance 32%Model margin -6.4Game details
  3. Week 3 · Sep 19
    vsKent State
    W 59–3
    Win chance >99%Model margin +48.9Game details
  4. Week 4 · Sep 26
    vsIllinois
    W 42–19
    Win chance 96%Model margin +23.3Game details
  5. Week 5 · Oct 3
    atIowa
    W 31–14
    Win chance 73%Model margin +8.3Game details
  6. Week 6 · Oct 10
    vsMaryland
    W 45–16
    Win chance >99%Model margin +35.7Game details
  7. Week 7 · Oct 17
    atIndiana
    Win chance 56%Model margin +1.9Game details
  8. Week 9 · Oct 31
    atUSC
    Win chance 71%Model margin +7.3Game details
  9. Week 10 · Nov 7
    vsOregon
    Win chance 72%Model margin +8.0Game details
  10. Week 11 · Nov 14
    vsNorthwestern
    Win chance 90%Model margin +17.5Game details
  11. Week 12 · Nov 21
    atNebraska
    Win chance 79%Model margin +10.7Game details
  12. Week 13 · Nov 28
    vsMichigan
    Win chance 93%Model margin +19.4Game details

Profile

Team DNA

rank of 138
Offense efficiency
86
#7 of 138
Defense efficiency
88
#9 of 138
Efficiency
#130.31
EPA / play
#7-0.10
#40.60
Pass
#11-0.09
#630.12
Rush
#18-0.10
#1051%
Success
#1634%
Big plays & havoc
#351.29
Explosive
#351.16
#3113%
Havoc
#2719%
Position groupsby overall player grade
QB6th
RB37th
WR23rd
TE104th
OL44th
DL26th
LB3rd
DB42nd

Roster

Core lineup

overall grade
Offense
QB
Julian SayinJR
1530 yds · 13 TD · 1 INT
92.0
6th QB
RB
Ja'Kobi JacksonSR
278 yds · 6 TD · 6.2 YPC
81.6
58th RB
WR
Jeremiah SmithJR
44 rec · 823 yds · 9 TD
94.9
1st WR
WR
Devin McCuinSR
17 rec · 245 yds · 2 TD
70.7
232nd WR
TE
Nate RobertsSO
9 rec · 92 yds · 1 TD
62.8
192nd TE
Defense
LB
Tarvos AlfordSO
12 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
89.7
15th LB
LB
Riley PettijohnSO
18 tkl · 4.0 TFL · 2.0 sk
88.4
19th LB
S
Jaylen McClainJR
20 tkl · 4 PD · 2 INT
79.3
71st DB
CB
Jermaine Mathews Jr.SR
19 tkl · 4 PD · 0 INT
76.9
130th DB
CB
Jay TimmonsFR
9 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
73.6
251st DB

Injury report

3 listed
Ques.
Legend BeyRB

Bey is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against Hoosiers on Saturday October 17th.

69.010-11
Ques.
Bennett ChristianTE

Bennett is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against Hoosiers on Saturday October 17th.

52.510-11
Ques.
Amari Valerio-HudsonWR

Valerio-Hudson is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against Hoosiers on Saturday October 17th.

—10-11

Ahead

From the full-season Monte Carlo

Playoff impact

Playoff chances in the published season simulation, depending on each game’s result. Games follow the remaining schedule.

  1. Week 7 · Oct 17
    atIndiana
    Playoff chance if win
    98.3%
    Playoff chance if loss
    93.3%
  2. Week 9 · Oct 31
    atUSC
    Playoff chance if win
    97.9%
    Playoff chance if loss
    92.2%
  3. Week 10 · Nov 7
    vsOregon
    Playoff chance if win
    97.8%
    Playoff chance if loss
    92.0%
  4. Week 11 · Nov 14
    vsNorthwestern
    Playoff chance if win
    97.2%
    Playoff chance if loss
    88.3%
  5. Week 12 · Nov 21
    atNebraska
    Playoff chance if win
    97.7%
    Playoff chance if loss
    91.0%
  6. Week 13 · Nov 28
    vsMichigan
    Playoff chance if win
    97.0%
    Playoff chance if loss
    87.7%

Past seasons

Year by year
+1.4 points since 2022
7078859310086.5202286.8202384.2202487.92025
2022 86.52023 86.82024 84.22025 87.9

2025

12-1
D-I rank
#2
Rating
87.9
Listed games · 13
WWWWWWWWWWWWL
454 pts scored106 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs TexasW 14–7
  2. W2 vs GramblingW 70–0
  3. W3 vs OhioW 37–9
  4. W5 at WashingtonW 24–6
  5. W6 vs MinnesotaW 42–3
  6. W7 at IllinoisW 34–16
  7. W8 at WisconsinW 34–0
  8. W10 vs Penn StateW 38–14
  9. W11 at PurdueW 34–10
  10. W12 vs UCLAW 48–10
  11. W13 vs RutgersW 42–9
  12. W14 at MichiganW 27–9
  13. W15 vs IndianaL 10–13

2024

10-2
D-I rank
#1
Rating
84.2
Listed games · 12
WWWWWLWWWWWL
426 pts scored131 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs AkronW 52–6
  2. W2 vs Western MichiganW 56–0
  3. W4 vs MarshallW 49–14
  4. W5 at Michigan StateW 38–7
  5. W6 vs IowaW 35–7
  6. W7 at OregonL 31–32
  7. W9 vs NebraskaW 21–17
  8. W10 at Penn StateW 20–13
  9. W11 vs PurdueW 45–0
  10. W12 vs NorthwesternW 31–7
  11. W13 vs IndianaW 38–15
  12. W14 vs MichiganL 10–13

2023

11-1
D-I rank
#2
Rating
86.8
Listed games · 12
WWWWWWWWWWWL
394 pts scored132 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 at IndianaW 23–3
  2. W2 vs Youngstown StateW 35–7
  3. W3 vs Western KentuckyW 63–10
  4. W4 at Notre DameW 17–14
  5. W6 vs MarylandW 37–17
  6. W7 at PurdueW 41–7
  7. W8 vs Penn StateW 20–12
  8. W9 at WisconsinW 24–10
  9. W10 at RutgersW 35–16
  10. W11 vs Michigan StateW 38–3
  11. W12 vs MinnesotaW 37–3
  12. W13 at MichiganL 24–30

2022

11-1
D-I rank
#1
Rating
86.5
Listed games · 12
WWWWWWWWWWWL
534 pts scored231 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs Notre DameW 21–10
  2. W2 vs Arkansas StateW 45–12
  3. W3 vs ToledoW 77–21
  4. W4 vs WisconsinW 52–21
  5. W5 vs RutgersW 49–10
  6. W6 at Michigan StateW 49–20
  7. W8 vs IowaW 54–10
  8. W9 at Penn StateW 44–31
  9. W10 at NorthwesternW 21–7
  10. W11 vs IndianaW 56–14
  11. W12 at MarylandW 43–30
  12. W13 vs MichiganL 23–45