CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 9 · Sat Oct 31 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
OSU 67.8%32.2% USC
Projected margin
OSU by 7.3
Projected total
57
80% outcome range
OSU 26 to USC 11
Win probability
OSU 67.8%

Current team profiles

Ohio State
USC

When Ohio State has the ball

Passing

OSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
OSU offense
#4
USC defense
#126
EPA comparison
0.60
#4
0.37
#126
Pass EPA

Rushing

USC defense
Higher-ranked profile
OSU offense
#63
USC defense
#56
EPA comparison
0.12
#63
0.02
#56
Rush EPA

Drive success

OSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
OSU offense
#10
USC defense
#77
Success rates
51%
#10
41%
#77
Success rate
More metrics
0.31
#13
0.14
#103
EPA / play
1.29
#35
1.32
#110
Explosiveness
13%
#31
12%
#124
Havoc

When USC has the ball

Passing

USC offense
Higher-ranked profile
OSU defense
#11
USC offense
#6
EPA comparison
-0.09
#11
0.55
#6
Pass EPA

Rushing

OSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
OSU defense
#18
USC offense
#81
EPA comparison
-0.10
#18
0.08
#81
Rush EPA

Drive success

USC offense
Higher-ranked profile
OSU defense
#16
USC offense
#8
Success rates
34%
#16
52%
#8
Success rate
More metrics
-0.10
#7
0.31
#14
EPA / play
1.16
#35
1.21
#85
Explosiveness
19%
#27
10%
#9
Havoc

Current key players

Ohio State
QBJulian Sayin
1530 yds · 13 TD · 1 INT
92.06/729
WRJeremiah Smith
44 rec · 823 yds · 9 TD
94.91/2069
LBTarvos Alford
12 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
83.1
Coverage
88.3
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
8
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
89.715/1796
LBRiley Pettijohn
18 tkl · 4.0 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
75.9
Coverage
91.1
Pressures
4
Pass-rush snaps
29
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
88.419/1796
RBJa'Kobi Jackson
278 yds · 6 TD · 6.2 YPC
81.658/1044
SJaylen McClain
20 tkl · 4 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
77.7
Coverage
79.2
Targets allowed
8
Rec allowed
3
Yards allowed
40
Passer rating allowed
14.6
Missed tackles
0
79.371/2969
Availability reports · 3
  • Legend Bey · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Bey is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against Hoosiers on Saturday October 17th.

  • Bennett Christian · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Bennett is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against Hoosiers on Saturday October 17th.

  • Amari Valerio-Hudson · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Valerio-Hudson is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against Hoosiers on Saturday October 17th.

USC
QBJayden Maiava
1744 yds · 15 TD · 3 INT
90.321/729
WRTrent Mosley
13 rec · 255 yds · 4 TD
89.87/2069
RBKing Miller
493 yds · 3 TD · 5.2 YPC
77.9114/1044
WRCorey Simms
12 rec · 178 yds · 1 TD
77.283/2069
TEMark Bowman
21 rec · 204 yds · 2 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
76.4
Run blocking
52.7
Penalties
1
74.549/1017
CBElbert Hill IV
3 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
69.1
Coverage
70.1
Targets allowed
11
Rec allowed
7
Yards allowed
79
Passer rating allowed
115.3
Missed tackles
1
70.9389/2969
Availability reports · 9
  • Corey Simms · WRout · 2026-10-02

    Simms is sidelined due to knee injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.

  • Terrell Anderson · WRout · 2026-10-09

    Anderson has been sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and a timetable for return/recovery has yet to be established.

  • Kilian O'Connor · OGout · 2026-08-11

    O'Connor has been sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.

  • Deshonne Redeaux · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Redeaux is nursing an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Badgers on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Mark Bowman · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Bowman is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Badgers on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Kendarius Reddick · SQues. · 2026-10-11

    Reddick is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Badgers on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Roderick Tezeno · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Tezeno is dealing with a foot injury, and it remains to be seen if he will suit up against Badgers on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Romero Ison · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Ison is dealing with a foot injury, and it remains to be seen if he will suit up against Badgers on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Sam Huard · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Huard is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will suit up against Badgers on Saturday, October 24th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

OSU
USC
vs
Offense
92.0
#6 of 138
QB
90.3
#20 of 138
79.7
#37 of 138
RB
77.6
#51 of 138
77.3
#23 of 138
WR
81.0
#7 of 138
62.8
#104 of 138
TE
74.5
#39 of 138
71.2
#44 of 138
OL
77.8
#6 of 138
Defense
77.8
#26 of 138
DL
77.9
#25 of 138
85.6
#3 of 138
LB
67.7
#122 of 138
74.4
#42 of 138
DB
68.1
#117 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Ohio State
opponent
USC
H+8.0
ORE#8
-14.0H
A+1.9
IU#5
-8.1A
H+29.0
MD#72
+19.6H