CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 10 · Sat Nov 7 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
ORE 30.7%69.3% OSU
Projected margin
OSU by 8.0
Projected total
58
80% outcome range
ORE 11 to OSU 27
Win probability
OSU 69.3%

Current team profiles

Oregon
Ohio State

When Oregon has the ball

Passing

OSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
ORE offense
#41
OSU defense
#11
EPA comparison
0.32
#41
-0.09
#11
Pass EPA

Rushing

OSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
ORE offense
#100
OSU defense
#18
EPA comparison
0.03
#100
-0.10
#18
Rush EPA

Drive success

OSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
ORE offense
#60
OSU defense
#16
Success rates
44%
#60
34%
#16
Success rate
More metrics
0.17
#61
-0.10
#7
EPA / play
1.32
#26
1.16
#35
Explosiveness
14%
#67
19%
#27
Havoc

When Ohio State has the ball

Passing

OSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
ORE defense
#34
OSU offense
#4
EPA comparison
0.05
#34
0.60
#4
Pass EPA

Rushing

ORE defense
Higher-ranked profile
ORE defense
#34
OSU offense
#63
EPA comparison
-0.04
#34
0.12
#63
Rush EPA

Drive success

OSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
ORE defense
#37
OSU offense
#10
Success rates
37%
#37
51%
#10
Success rate
More metrics
-0.03
#32
0.31
#13
EPA / play
1.21
#69
1.29
#35
Explosiveness
16%
#62
13%
#31
Havoc

Current key players

Oregon
QBDylan Raiola
413 yds · 5 TD · 0 INT
85.836/729
LBNasir Wyatt
4 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
64.7
Coverage
61.2
Pressures
10
Pass-rush snaps
50
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
91.56/1796
LBDevon Jackson
23 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
83.3
Coverage
81.0
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
11
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
83.553/1796
RBDierre Hill Jr.
184 yds · 3 TD · 4.4 YPC
82.752/1044
WRMessiah Hampton
14 rec · 142 yds · 2 TD
80.651/2069
TEKendre Harrison
4 rec · 53 yds · 1 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
71.5
Run blocking
65.8
Penalties
0
79.826/1017
Availability reports · 5
  • Jeremiah McClellan · WRout · 2026-09-21

    McClellan is sidelined due to a foot injury, and there is no timetable for recovery.

  • Iverson Hooks · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Hooks is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will face the Cornhuskers on Saturday, October 17th.

  • D. Moore · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Moore is dealing with a concussion injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against the Cornhuskers on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Dillon Gresham · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Gresham is hampered by a neck injury, and it has yet to be established if he will be active against the Cornhuskers on Saturday, October 17t

  • Simeon Price · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Price is nursing due to an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will play against the Cornhuskers on Saturday, October

Ohio State
QBJulian Sayin
1530 yds · 13 TD · 1 INT
92.06/729
WRJeremiah Smith
44 rec · 823 yds · 9 TD
94.91/2069
LBTarvos Alford
12 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
83.1
Coverage
88.3
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
8
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
89.715/1796
LBRiley Pettijohn
18 tkl · 4.0 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
75.9
Coverage
91.1
Pressures
4
Pass-rush snaps
29
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
88.419/1796
RBJa'Kobi Jackson
278 yds · 6 TD · 6.2 YPC
81.658/1044
SJaylen McClain
20 tkl · 4 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
77.7
Coverage
79.2
Targets allowed
8
Rec allowed
3
Yards allowed
40
Passer rating allowed
14.6
Missed tackles
0
79.371/2969
Availability reports · 3
  • Legend Bey · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Bey is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against Hoosiers on Saturday October 17th.

  • Bennett Christian · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Bennett is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against Hoosiers on Saturday October 17th.

  • Amari Valerio-Hudson · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Valerio-Hudson is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against Hoosiers on Saturday October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

ORE
OSU
vs
Offense
85.8
#34 of 138
QB
92.0
#6 of 138
81.3
#27 of 138
RB
79.7
#37 of 138
72.9
#49 of 138
WR
77.3
#23 of 138
79.8
#25 of 138
TE
62.8
#104 of 138
73.7
#22 of 138
OL
71.2
#44 of 138
Defense
75.9
#47 of 138
DL
77.8
#26 of 138
84.4
#7 of 138
LB
85.6
#3 of 138
73.2
#55 of 138
DB
74.4
#42 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Oregon
opponent
Ohio State
A+10.9
ILL#47
+23.0H
A+14.0
USC#17
+7.3A
H+12.2
NU#16
+17.5H
H+14.1
MICH#23
+19.4H
H+10.7
NEB#12
+10.7A