Passing
OSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- OSU offense
- #4
- TEX defense
- #20
EPA comparison
0.60
#4
0.00
#20
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 2 · Sat Sep 12 · 7:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
OSU 32.5%67.5% TEX
- Projected margin
- TEX by 6.4
- Projected total
- 49
- 80% outcome range
- OSU 12 to TEX 27
- Win probability
- TEX 67.5%
FinalOSU 23 · TEX 24model had +6.4, off by 5.4
Current team profiles
Ohio State
TexasWhen Ohio State has the ball
Rushing
TEX defense
Higher-ranked profile
- OSU offense
- #63
- TEX defense
- #22
EPA comparison
0.12
#63
-0.09
#22
Rush EPA
Drive success
OSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- OSU offense
- #10
- TEX defense
- #25
Success rates
51%
#10
35%
#25
Success rate
More metrics
0.31
#13
-0.05
#23
EPA / play
1.29
#35
1.04
#7
Explosiveness
13%
#31
21%
#10
Havoc
When Texas has the ball
Passing
OSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- OSU defense
- #11
- TEX offense
- #60
EPA comparison
-0.09
#11
0.26
#60
Pass EPA
Rushing
OSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- OSU defense
- #18
- TEX offense
- #93
EPA comparison
-0.10
#18
0.04
#93
Rush EPA
Drive success
OSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- OSU defense
- #16
- TEX offense
- #69
Success rates
34%
#16
44%
#69
Success rate
More metrics
-0.10
#7
0.08
#96
EPA / play
1.16
#35
1.18
#97
Explosiveness
19%
#27
17%
#110
Havoc
Current key players
Ohio StateQBJulian Sayin
1530 yds · 13 TD · 1 INT
92.06/729
WRJeremiah Smith
44 rec · 823 yds · 9 TD
94.91/2069
LBTarvos Alford
12 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 83.1
- Coverage
- 88.3
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 8
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
89.715/1796
LBRiley Pettijohn
18 tkl · 4.0 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 75.9
- Coverage
- 91.1
- Pressures
- 4
- Pass-rush snaps
- 29
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
88.419/1796
RBJa'Kobi Jackson
278 yds · 6 TD · 6.2 YPC
81.658/1044
SJaylen McClain
20 tkl · 4 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 77.7
- Coverage
- 79.2
- Targets allowed
- 8
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 40
- Passer rating allowed
- 14.6
- Missed tackles
- 0
79.371/2969
Availability reports · 3
- Legend Bey · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Bey is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against Hoosiers on Saturday October 17th.
- Bennett Christian · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Bennett is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against Hoosiers on Saturday October 17th.
- Amari Valerio-Hudson · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Valerio-Hudson is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against Hoosiers on Saturday October 17th.
TexasQBArch Manning
865 yds · 7 TD · 3 INT
74.8113/729
WRSterling Berkhalter
3 rec · 34 yds · 0 TD
83.729/2069
DBJelani McDonald
26 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 80.2
- Coverage
- 73.5
- Targets allowed
- 11
- Rec allowed
- 9
- Yards allowed
- 56
- Passer rating allowed
- 118.2
- Missed tackles
- 3
76.3149/2969
RBHollywood Smothers
198 yds · 2 TD · 4.8 YPC
76.1147/1044
DBGraceson Littleton
14 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 68.1
- Coverage
- 75.0
- Targets allowed
- 14
- Rec allowed
- 11
- Yards allowed
- 75
- Passer rating allowed
- 59.2
- Missed tackles
- 3
76.0161/2969
WRCam Coleman
11 rec · 194 yds · 4 TD
70.5246/2069
Availability reports · 4
- Trevor Goosby · OGQues. · 2026-10-11
Goosby is dealing with a knee injury, and it is unknown if he will suit up against Gators on Saturday, October 17th.
- Zion Williams · DLQues. · 2026-10-11
Williams is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Gators on Saturday, October 17th.
- Kaliq Lockett · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Lockett is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will suit up against Gators on Saturday, October 17th.
- Daylan McCutcheon · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
McCutcheon is ailing from an illness, and it is unclear if he will play against Gators on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
OSUOhio State
TEXTexas
vs
Offense
92.0
#6 of 138
QB
Quarterback
74.8
#83 of 138
79.7
#37 of 138
RB
Running backs
74.0
#82 of 138
77.3
#23 of 138
WR
Receivers
74.5
#37 of 138
62.8
#104 of 138
TE
Tight ends
63.2
#103 of 138
71.2
#44 of 138
OL
Offensive line
76.6
#10 of 138
Defense
77.8
#26 of 138
DL
Defensive line
77.9
#24 of 138
85.6
#3 of 138
LB
Linebackers
66.3
#127 of 138
74.4
#42 of 138
DB
Secondary
70.6
#89 of 138