CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 7 · Sat Oct 17 · 12:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
OSU 55.0%45.0% IU
Projected margin
OSU by 1.9
Projected total
54
80% outcome range
OSU 20 to IU 17
Win probability
OSU 55.0%

Current team profiles

Ohio State
Indiana

When Ohio State has the ball

Passing

OSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
OSU offense
#4
IU defense
#20
EPA comparison
0.60
#4
0.00
#20
Pass EPA

Rushing

IU defense
Higher-ranked profile
OSU offense
#63
IU defense
#18
EPA comparison
0.12
#63
-0.10
#18
Rush EPA

Drive success

IU defense
Higher-ranked profile
OSU offense
#10
IU defense
#4
Success rates
51%
#10
32%
#4
Success rate
More metrics
0.31
#13
-0.06
#16
EPA / play
1.29
#35
1.43
#132
Explosiveness
13%
#31
19%
#24
Havoc

When Indiana has the ball

Passing

IU offense
Higher-ranked profile
OSU defense
#11
IU offense
#2
EPA comparison
-0.09
#11
0.65
#2
Pass EPA

Rushing

IU offense
Higher-ranked profile
OSU defense
#18
IU offense
#17
EPA comparison
-0.10
#18
0.25
#17
Rush EPA

Drive success

OSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
OSU defense
#16
IU offense
#24
Success rates
34%
#16
49%
#24
Success rate
More metrics
-0.10
#7
0.41
#2
EPA / play
1.16
#35
1.41
#5
Explosiveness
19%
#27
11%
#18
Havoc

Current key players

Ohio State
QBJulian Sayin
1530 yds · 13 TD · 1 INT
92.06/729
WRJeremiah Smith
44 rec · 823 yds · 9 TD
94.91/2069
LBTarvos Alford
12 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
83.1
Coverage
88.3
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
8
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
89.715/1796
LBRiley Pettijohn
18 tkl · 4.0 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
75.9
Coverage
91.1
Pressures
4
Pass-rush snaps
29
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
88.419/1796
RBJa'Kobi Jackson
278 yds · 6 TD · 6.2 YPC
81.658/1044
SJaylen McClain
20 tkl · 4 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
77.7
Coverage
79.2
Targets allowed
8
Rec allowed
3
Yards allowed
40
Passer rating allowed
14.6
Missed tackles
0
79.371/2969
Availability reports · 3
  • Legend Bey · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Bey is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against Hoosiers on Saturday October 17th.

  • Bennett Christian · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Bennett is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against Hoosiers on Saturday October 17th.

  • Amari Valerio-Hudson · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Valerio-Hudson is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against Hoosiers on Saturday October 17th.

Indiana
QBGrant Wilson
74 yds · 2 TD · 0 INT
86.433/729
RBTurbo Richard
587 yds · 5 TD · 9.3 YPC
91.03/1044
WRCharlie Becker
27 rec · 477 yds · 8 TD
88.710/2069
WRNick Marsh
23 rec · 341 yds · 4 TD
82.239/2069
LBJacob Savage
6 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
77.6
Coverage
63.8
Pressures
2
Pass-rush snaps
1
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
78.6108/1796
LBJeff Utzinger
8 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
82.3
Coverage
66.5
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
8
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
76.1157/1796
Availability reports · 1
  • Jamari Sharpe · DBout · 2026-09-12

    Indiana cornerbacks A.J. Harris, Jamari Sharpe out vs. Howard - ESPN

Position units

Position-unit comparison

OSU
IU
vs
Offense
92.0
#6 of 138
QB
86.4
#31 of 138
79.7
#37 of 138
RB
85.2
#10 of 138
77.3
#23 of 138
WR
83.7
#2 of 138
62.8
#104 of 138
TE
59.0
#127 of 138
71.2
#44 of 138
OL
73.3
#26 of 138
Defense
77.8
#26 of 138
DL
81.7
#8 of 138
85.6
#3 of 138
LB
76.9
#44 of 138
74.4
#42 of 138
DB
72.5
#65 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Ohio State
opponent
Indiana
H+17.5
NU#16
+6.0H
H+19.4
MICH#23
+9.6A
A+10.7
NEB#12
+3.0A
A+7.3
USC#17
+8.1H