Passing
OSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- OSU offense
- #4
- IOWA defense
- #96
EPA comparison
0.60
#4
0.24
#96
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 5 · Sat Oct 3 · 3:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
OSU 72.6%27.4% IOWA
- Projected margin
- OSU by 8.3
- Projected total
- 46
- 80% outcome range
- OSU 28 to IOWA 10
- Win probability
- OSU 72.6%
FinalOSU 31 · IOWA 14model had -8.3, off by 8.7
Current team profiles
Ohio State
IowaWhen Ohio State has the ball
Rushing
IOWA defense
Higher-ranked profile
- OSU offense
- #63
- IOWA defense
- #6
EPA comparison
0.12
#63
-0.21
#6
Rush EPA
Drive success
OSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- OSU offense
- #10
- IOWA defense
- #18
Success rates
51%
#10
34%
#18
Success rate
More metrics
0.31
#13
-0.02
#36
EPA / play
1.29
#35
1.15
#33
Explosiveness
13%
#31
17%
#59
Havoc
When Iowa has the ball
Passing
OSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- OSU defense
- #11
- IOWA offense
- #66
EPA comparison
-0.09
#11
0.24
#66
Pass EPA
Rushing
OSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- OSU defense
- #18
- IOWA offense
- #30
EPA comparison
-0.10
#18
0.20
#30
Rush EPA
Drive success
OSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- OSU defense
- #16
- IOWA offense
- #49
Success rates
34%
#16
45%
#49
Success rate
More metrics
-0.10
#7
0.18
#57
EPA / play
1.16
#35
1.23
#73
Explosiveness
19%
#27
11%
#14
Havoc
Current key players
Ohio StateQBJulian Sayin
1530 yds · 13 TD · 1 INT
92.06/729
WRJeremiah Smith
44 rec · 823 yds · 9 TD
94.91/2069
LBTarvos Alford
12 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 83.1
- Coverage
- 88.3
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 8
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
89.715/1796
LBRiley Pettijohn
18 tkl · 4.0 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 75.9
- Coverage
- 91.1
- Pressures
- 4
- Pass-rush snaps
- 29
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
88.419/1796
RBJa'Kobi Jackson
278 yds · 6 TD · 6.2 YPC
81.658/1044
SJaylen McClain
20 tkl · 4 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 77.7
- Coverage
- 79.2
- Targets allowed
- 8
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 40
- Passer rating allowed
- 14.6
- Missed tackles
- 0
79.371/2969
Availability reports · 3
- Legend Bey · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Bey is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against Hoosiers on Saturday October 17th.
- Bennett Christian · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Bennett is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against Hoosiers on Saturday October 17th.
- Amari Valerio-Hudson · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Valerio-Hudson is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against Hoosiers on Saturday October 17th.
IowaQBJimmy Sullivan
13 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
76.898/729
RBBraeden Jackson
170 yds · 2 TD · 8.9 YPC
88.218/1044
LBJulian Manson
7 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 68.1
- Coverage
- 83.2
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
84.941/1796
DBJacob Wallace
13 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 85.3
- Coverage
- 74.0
- Targets allowed
- 14
- Rec allowed
- 9
- Yards allowed
- 142
- Passer rating allowed
- 68.2
- Missed tackles
- 0
81.545/2969
LBCam Buffington
44 tkl · 3.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 83.1
- Coverage
- 76.8
- Pressures
- 8
- Pass-rush snaps
- 15
- Missed tackles
- 6
- Forced fumbles
- 0
81.364/1796
DBXavier Styles
4 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 66.8
- Coverage
- 82.6
- Targets allowed
- 3
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Passer rating allowed
- 39.6
- Missed tackles
- 0
80.063/2969
Availability reports · 1
- Hank Brown · QBQues. · 2026-10-10
Brown is nursing with a shoulder injury, and it has yet to be established if he will play against the Gophers on Saturday, October 24th .
Position units
Position-unit comparison
OSUOhio State
IOWAIowa
vs
Offense
92.0
#6 of 138
QB
Quarterback
76.8
#75 of 138
79.7
#37 of 138
RB
Running backs
80.8
#33 of 138
77.3
#23 of 138
WR
Receivers
68.1
#108 of 138
62.8
#104 of 138
TE
Tight ends
74.4
#41 of 138
71.2
#44 of 138
OL
Offensive line
79.1
#5 of 138
Defense
77.8
#26 of 138
DL
Defensive line
74.3
#62 of 138
85.6
#3 of 138
LB
Linebackers
81.6
#13 of 138
74.4
#42 of 138
DB
Secondary
75.4
#29 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Ohio State
opponent
Iowa
Hhome+23.0
ILLIllinois#47+1.8Aaway
Hhome+17.5
NUNorthwestern#16-2.3Aaway
Hhome+19.4
MICHMichigan#23+1.0Aaway
Aaway+10.7
NEBNebraska#12+1.6Hhome