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Big Ten

Iowa

Hawkeyes5-17th in Big Ten
Kinnick Stadium · Iowa City, IA · 69,250
TeamMiddle of the pack
OffenseRunning attack · average
DefenseSmothering · solid · stout against the runweak point: pass defense, 96th

The season

Best win
W 20-19 @ #23 Michigan
Wk 4 · Sep 26 · won as a 41% underdog
Worst loss
L 14-31 vs #2 Ohio State
Wk 5 · Oct 3 · model had 27%

Schedule

model 5/6 straight up

Opponent ranks use the selected season's current or final board.

  1. Week 1 · Sep 5
    vsNorthern Illinois
    W 40–0
    Win chance 96%Model margin +23.2Game details
  2. Week 2 · Sep 12
    vsIowa State
    W 16–13
    Win chance 82%Model margin +12.5Game details
  3. Week 3 · Sep 19
    vsNorthern Iowa
    W 55–0
    Win chance >99%Model margin +43.4Game details
  4. Week 4 · Sep 26
    atMichigan
    W 20–19
    Win chance 41%Model margin -3.1Game details
  5. Week 5 · Oct 3
    vsOhio State
    L 14–31
    Win chance 27%Model margin -8.3Game details
  6. Week 6 · Oct 9
    atWashington
    W 41–24
    Win chance 64%Model margin +5.0Game details
  7. Week 8 · Oct 24
    atMinnesota
    Win chance 74%Model margin +8.8Game details
  8. Week 9 · Oct 31
    vsWisconsin
    Win chance 78%Model margin +10.6Game details
  9. Week 10 · Nov 7
    atNorthwestern
    Win chance 43%Model margin -2.3Game details
  10. Week 11 · Nov 14
    vsPurdue
    Win chance 89%Model margin +16.3Game details
  11. Week 12 · Nov 21
    atIllinois
    Win chance 55%Model margin +1.8Game details
  12. Week 13 · Nov 27
    vsNebraska
    Win chance 55%Model margin +1.6Game details

Profile

Team DNA

rank of 138
Offense efficiency
57
#53 of 138
Defense efficiency
73
#34 of 138
Efficiency
#570.18
EPA / play
#36-0.02
#660.24
Pass
#960.24
#300.20
Rush
#6-0.21
#4945%
Success
#1834%
Big plays & havoc
#731.23
Explosive
#331.15
#1411%
Havoc
#5917%
Position groupsby overall player grade
QB75th
RB33rd
WR108th
TE41st
OL5th
DL62nd
LB13th
DB29th

Roster

Core lineup

overall grade
Offense
QB
Jimmy SullivanSO
13 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
76.8
98th QB
RB
Braeden JacksonSO
170 yds · 2 TD · 8.9 YPC
88.2
18th RB
WR
Tony DiazJR
25 rec · 306 yds · 1 TD
70.8
231st WR
WR
Jarriett BuieJR
5 rec · 63 yds · 0 TD
67.2
368th WR
TE
DJ VonnahmeJR
16 rec · 175 yds · 0 TD
74.4
50th TE
Defense
LB
Julian MansonFR
7 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
84.9
41st LB
LB
Cam BuffingtonJR
44 tkl · 3.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
81.3
64th LB
DB
Jacob WallaceSO
13 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
81.5
45th DB
DB
Xavier StylesJR
4 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
80.0
63rd DB
DB
Eli RobbinsFR
1 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
73.9
238th DB

Injury report

1 listed
Ques.
Hank BrownQB

Brown is nursing with a shoulder injury, and it has yet to be established if he will play against the Gophers on Saturday, October 24th .

60.010-10

Ahead

From the full-season Monte Carlo

Playoff impact

Playoff chances in the published season simulation, depending on each game’s result. Games follow the remaining schedule.

  1. Week 8 · Oct 24
    atMinnesota
    Playoff chance if win
    10.3%
    Playoff chance if loss
    2.6%
  2. Week 9 · Oct 31
    vsWisconsin
    Playoff chance if win
    9.9%
    Playoff chance if loss
    2.6%
  3. Week 10 · Nov 7
    atNorthwestern
    Playoff chance if win
    13.7%
    Playoff chance if loss
    3.7%
  4. Week 11 · Nov 14
    vsPurdue
    Playoff chance if win
    9.1%
    Playoff chance if loss
    2.2%
  5. Week 12 · Nov 21
    atIllinois
    Playoff chance if win
    11.9%
    Playoff chance if loss
    3.5%
  6. Week 13 · Nov 27
    vsNebraska
    Playoff chance if win
    12.2%
    Playoff chance if loss
    3.2%

Past seasons

Year by year
+5.0 points since 2022
506070809070.4202265.7202372.6202475.42025
2022 70.42023 65.72024 72.62025 75.4

2025

8-4
D-I rank
#14
Rating
75.4
Listed games · 12
WLWWLWWWLLWW
347 pts scored182 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs UAlbanyW 34–7
  2. W2 at Iowa StateL 13–16
  3. W3 vs MassachusettsW 47–7
  4. W4 at RutgersW 38–28
  5. W5 vs IndianaL 15–20
  6. W7 at WisconsinW 37–0
  7. W8 vs Penn StateW 25–24
  8. W9 vs MinnesotaW 41–3
  9. W11 vs OregonL 16–18
  10. W12 at USCL 21–26
  11. W13 vs Michigan StateW 20–17
  12. W14 at NebraskaW 40–16

2024

8-4
D-I rank
#19
Rating
72.6
Listed games · 12
WLWWLWLWWLWW
336 pts scored205 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs Illinois StateW 40–0
  2. W2 vs Iowa StateL 19–20
  3. W3 vs TroyW 38–21
  4. W4 at MinnesotaW 31–14
  5. W6 at Ohio StateL 7–35
  6. W7 vs WashingtonW 40–16
  7. W8 at Michigan StateL 20–32
  8. W9 vs NorthwesternW 40–14
  9. W10 vs WisconsinW 42–10
  10. W11 at UCLAL 17–20
  11. W13 at MarylandW 29–13
  12. W14 vs NebraskaW 13–10

2023

10-3
D-I rank
#42
Rating
65.7
Listed games · 13
WWWLWWWLWWWWL
216 pts scored172 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs Utah StateW 24–14
  2. W2 at Iowa StateW 20–13
  3. W3 vs Western MichiganW 41–10
  4. W4 at Penn StateL 0–31
  5. W5 vs Michigan StateW 26–16
  6. W6 vs PurdueW 20–14
  7. W7 at WisconsinW 15–6
  8. W8 vs MinnesotaL 10–12
  9. W10 vs NorthwesternW 10–7
  10. W11 vs RutgersW 22–0
  11. W12 vs IllinoisW 15–13
  12. W13 at NebraskaW 13–10
  13. W14 vs MichiganL 0–26

2022

7-5
D-I rank
#23
Rating
70.4
Listed games · 12
WLWWLLLWWWWL
209 pts scored173 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs South Dakota StateW 7–3
  2. W2 vs Iowa StateL 7–10
  3. W3 vs NevadaW 27–0
  4. W4 at RutgersW 27–10
  5. W5 vs MichiganL 14–27
  6. W6 at IllinoisL 6–9
  7. W8 at Ohio StateL 10–54
  8. W9 vs NorthwesternW 33–13
  9. W10 at PurdueW 24–3
  10. W11 vs WisconsinW 24–10
  11. W12 at MinnesotaW 13–10
  12. W13 vs NebraskaL 17–24