Passing
WIS offense
Higher-ranked profile
- WIS offense
- #74
- IOWA defense
- #96
EPA comparison
0.21
#74
0.24
#96
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 9 · Sat Oct 31 · 12:00 AM ET
Heartland Trophy
Forecast win probability
WIS 24.5%75.5% IOWA
- Projected margin
- IOWA by 10.6
- Projected total
- 47
- 80% outcome range
- WIS 8 to IOWA 29
- Win probability
- IOWA 75.5%
Current team profiles
Wisconsin
IowaWhen Wisconsin has the ball
Rushing
IOWA defense
Higher-ranked profile
- WIS offense
- #35
- IOWA defense
- #6
EPA comparison
0.19
#35
-0.21
#6
Rush EPA
Drive success
IOWA defense
Higher-ranked profile
- WIS offense
- #105
- IOWA defense
- #18
Success rates
40%
#105
34%
#18
Success rate
More metrics
0.17
#66
-0.02
#36
EPA / play
1.47
#2
1.15
#33
Explosiveness
15%
#74
17%
#59
Havoc
When Iowa has the ball
Passing
WIS defense
Higher-ranked profile
- WIS defense
- #1
- IOWA offense
- #66
EPA comparison
-0.16
#1
0.24
#66
Pass EPA
Rushing
IOWA offense
Higher-ranked profile
- WIS defense
- #63
- IOWA offense
- #30
EPA comparison
0.03
#63
0.20
#30
Rush EPA
Drive success
WIS defense
Higher-ranked profile
- WIS defense
- #22
- IOWA offense
- #49
Success rates
35%
#22
45%
#49
Success rate
More metrics
-0.12
#5
0.18
#57
EPA / play
0.96
#2
1.23
#73
Explosiveness
16%
#72
11%
#14
Havoc
Current key players
WisconsinQBRyan Hopkins
— yds · — TD · — INT
71.5144/729
LBMason Posa
40 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 91.5
- Coverage
- 81.0
- Pressures
- 6
- Pass-rush snaps
- 29
- Missed tackles
- 2
- Forced fumbles
- 0
89.216/1796
LBCooper Catalano
45 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 89.8
- Coverage
- 76.1
- Pressures
- 4
- Pass-rush snaps
- 10
- Missed tackles
- 4
- Forced fumbles
- 0
86.827/1796
TEJacob Harris
13 rec · 238 yds · 3 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 71.7
- Run blocking
- 77.1
- Penalties
- 2
84.412/1017
WRTyrell Henry
26 rec · 339 yds · 1 TD
82.437/2069
SMatthew Jung
32 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 75.2
- Coverage
- 75.5
- Targets allowed
- 13
- Rec allowed
- 10
- Yards allowed
- 133
- Passer rating allowed
- 76.8
- Missed tackles
- 5
76.9131/2969
Availability reports · 4
- Abu Sama III · RBQues. · 2026-10-03
Sama III is nursing an upper body injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against UCLA on Saturday, October 17th.
- Mason Lane · RBQues. · 2026-10-08
Lane is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will play against UCLA on Saturday, October 17th.
- Danny O'Neil · QBQues. · 2026-10-03
O'Neil is managing a lower body injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against UCLA on Saturday, October 17th.
- Jaylon Domingeaux · WRQues. · 2026-10-03
Domingeaux is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against UCLA on Saturday, October 17th.
IowaQBJimmy Sullivan
13 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
76.898/729
RBBraeden Jackson
170 yds · 2 TD · 8.9 YPC
88.218/1044
LBJulian Manson
7 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 68.1
- Coverage
- 83.2
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
84.941/1796
DBJacob Wallace
13 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 85.3
- Coverage
- 74.0
- Targets allowed
- 14
- Rec allowed
- 9
- Yards allowed
- 142
- Passer rating allowed
- 68.2
- Missed tackles
- 0
81.545/2969
LBCam Buffington
44 tkl · 3.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 83.1
- Coverage
- 76.8
- Pressures
- 8
- Pass-rush snaps
- 15
- Missed tackles
- 6
- Forced fumbles
- 0
81.364/1796
DBXavier Styles
4 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 66.8
- Coverage
- 82.6
- Targets allowed
- 3
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Passer rating allowed
- 39.6
- Missed tackles
- 0
80.063/2969
Availability reports · 1
- Hank Brown · QBQues. · 2026-10-10
Brown is nursing with a shoulder injury, and it has yet to be established if he will play against the Gophers on Saturday, October 24th .
Position units
Position-unit comparison
WISWisconsin
IOWAIowa
vs
Offense
71.5
#97 of 138
QB
Quarterback
76.8
#75 of 138
72.8
#100 of 138
RB
Running backs
80.8
#33 of 138
71.6
#66 of 138
WR
Receivers
68.1
#108 of 138
84.4
#12 of 138
TE
Tight ends
74.4
#41 of 138
72.3
#31 of 138
OL
Offensive line
79.1
#5 of 138
Defense
70.3
#103 of 138
DL
Defensive line
74.3
#62 of 138
86.8
#1 of 138
LB
Linebackers
81.6
#13 of 138
73.6
#48 of 138
DB
Secondary
75.4
#29 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Wisconsin
opponent
Iowa
Aaway+3.0
PURPurdue#67+16.3Hhome
Hhome+6.2
MINNMinnesota#54+8.8Aaway