CFB
Model
All rankings
Big Ten

Wisconsin

Badgers4-110th in Big Ten
Camp Randall Stadium · Madison, WI · 80,321
TeamMiddle of the pack
OffenseBoom-or-bust running attack · averageweak point: staying on schedule, 105th
DefenseSmothering · elite · built to defend the pass

The season

Best win
W 24-20 @ #43 Penn State
Wk 4 · Sep 26 · won as a 16% underdog
Worst loss
L 13-41 vs (N) #1 Notre Dame
Wk 1 · Sep 6 · model had 5%

Schedule

model 4/5 straight up

Opponent ranks use the selected season's current or final board.

  1. Week 1 · Sep 6
    vsNotre DameNeutral
    L 13–41
    Win chance 5%Model margin -21.9Game details
  2. Week 2 · Sep 12
    vsWestern Illinois
    W 36–9
    Win chance >99%Model margin +45.6Game details
  3. Week 3 · Sep 19
    vsEastern Michigan
    W 54–10
    Win chance 89%Model margin +16.4Game details
  4. Week 4 · Sep 26
    atPenn State
    W 24–20
    Win chance 16%Model margin -13.3Game details
  5. Week 5 · Oct 3
    vsMichigan State
    W 31–3
    Win chance 64%Model margin +4.8Game details
  6. Week 7 · Oct 17
    atUCLA
    Win chance 31%Model margin -6.7Game details
  7. Week 8 · Oct 24
    vsUSC
    Win chance 23%Model margin -9.8Game details
  8. Week 9 · Oct 31
    atIowa
    Win chance 22%Model margin -10.6Game details
  9. Week 10 · Nov 7
    vsRutgers
    Win chance 73%Model margin +8.1Game details
  10. Week 11 · Nov 14
    atMaryland
    Win chance 55%Model margin +1.8Game details
  11. Week 12 · Nov 21
    atPurdue
    Win chance 59%Model margin +3.0Game details
  12. Week 13 · Nov 28
    vsMinnesota
    Win chance 68%Model margin +6.2Game details

Profile

Team DNA

rank of 138
Offense efficiency
59
#48 of 138
Defense efficiency
76
#29 of 138
Efficiency
#660.17
EPA / play
#5-0.12
#740.21
Pass
#1-0.16
#350.19
Rush
#630.03
#10540%
Success
#2235%
Big plays & havoc
#21.47
Explosive
#20.96
#7415%
Havoc
#7216%
Position groupsby overall player grade
QB97th
RB100th
WR66th
TE12th
OL31st
DL103rd
LB1st
DB48th

Roster

Core lineup

overall grade
Offense
QB
Ryan HopkinsFR
— yds · — TD · — INT
71.5
144th QB
RB
Abu Sama IIISR
190 yds · 1 TD · 6.8 YPC
74.3
187th RB
WR
Tyrell HenrySR
26 rec · 339 yds · 1 TD
82.4
37th WR
WR
Malachi ColemanJR
5 rec · 122 yds · 2 TD
66.6
394th WR
TE
Jacob HarrisJR
13 rec · 238 yds · 3 TD
84.4
12th TE
Defense
LB
Mason PosaSO
40 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
89.2
16th LB
LB
Cooper CatalanoSO
45 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
86.8
27th LB
S
Matthew JungSR
32 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
76.9
131st DB
S
Marvin Burks Jr.SR
12 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
74.9
196th DB
S
Cairo SkanesSO
7 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
73.8
242nd DB

Injury report

4 listed
Ques.
Abu Sama IIIRB

Sama III is nursing an upper body injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against UCLA on Saturday, October 17th.

74.310-03
Ques.
Mason LaneRB

Lane is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will play against UCLA on Saturday, October 17th.

60.010-08
Ques.
Danny O'NeilQB

O'Neil is managing a lower body injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against UCLA on Saturday, October 17th.

51.3202510-03
Ques.
Jaylon DomingeauxWR

Domingeaux is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against UCLA on Saturday, October 17th.

76.8202510-03

Ahead

From the full-season Monte Carlo

Playoff impact

Playoff chances in the published season simulation, depending on each game’s result. Games follow the remaining schedule.

  1. Week 7 · Oct 17
    atUCLA
    Playoff chance if win
    1.5%
    Playoff chance if loss
    0.2%
  2. Week 8 · Oct 24
    vsUSC
    Playoff chance if win
    1.6%
    Playoff chance if loss
    0.3%
  3. Week 9 · Oct 31
    atIowa
    Playoff chance if win
    1.9%
    Playoff chance if loss
    0.2%
  4. Week 10 · Nov 7
    vsRutgers
    Playoff chance if win
    0.9%
    Playoff chance if loss
    0.1%
  5. Week 11 · Nov 14
    atMaryland
    Playoff chance if win
    1.0%
    Playoff chance if loss
    0.2%
  6. Week 12 · Nov 21
    atPurdue
    Playoff chance if win
    1.0%
    Playoff chance if loss
    0.1%
  7. Week 13 · Nov 28
    vsMinnesota
    Playoff chance if win
    0.9%
    Playoff chance if loss
    0.1%

Past seasons

Year by year
-7.3 points since 2022
506070809071.2202267.2202366.2202463.92025
2022 71.22023 67.22024 66.22025 63.9

2025

4-8
D-I rank
#56
Rating
63.9
Listed games · 12
WWLLLLLLWLWL
154 pts scored259 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs Miami (OH)W 17–0
  2. W2 vs Middle TennesseeW 42–10
  3. W3 at AlabamaL 14–38
  4. W4 vs MarylandL 10–27
  5. W6 at MichiganL 10–24
  6. W7 vs IowaL 0–37
  7. W8 vs Ohio StateL 0–34
  8. W9 at OregonL 7–21
  9. W11 vs WashingtonW 13–10
  10. W12 at IndianaL 7–31
  11. W13 vs IllinoisW 27–10
  12. W14 at MinnesotaL 7–17

2024

5-7
D-I rank
#45
Rating
66.2
Listed games · 12
WWLLWWWLLLLL
271 pts scored277 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs Western MichiganW 28–14
  2. W2 vs South DakotaW 27–13
  3. W3 vs AlabamaL 10–42
  4. W5 at USCL 21–38
  5. W6 vs PurdueW 52–6
  6. W7 at RutgersW 42–7
  7. W8 vs NorthwesternW 23–3
  8. W9 vs Penn StateL 13–28
  9. W10 at IowaL 10–42
  10. W12 vs OregonL 13–16
  11. W13 at NebraskaL 25–44
  12. W14 vs MinnesotaL 7–24

2023

7-5
D-I rank
#35
Rating
67.2
Listed games · 12
WLWWWLWLLLWW
274 pts scored227 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs BuffaloW 38–17
  2. W2 at Washington StateL 22–31
  3. W3 vs Georgia SouthernW 35–14
  4. W4 at PurdueW 38–17
  5. W6 vs RutgersW 24–13
  6. W7 vs IowaL 6–15
  7. W8 at IllinoisW 25–21
  8. W9 vs Ohio StateL 10–24
  9. W10 at IndianaL 14–20
  10. W11 vs NorthwesternL 10–24
  11. W12 vs NebraskaW 24–17
  12. W13 at MinnesotaW 28–14

2022

6-6
D-I rank
#19
Rating
71.2
Listed games · 12
WLWLLWLWWLWL
318 pts scored246 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs Illinois StateW 38–0
  2. W2 vs Washington StateL 14–17
  3. W3 vs New Mexico StateW 66–7
  4. W4 at Ohio StateL 21–52
  5. W5 vs IllinoisL 10–34
  6. W6 at NorthwesternW 42–7
  7. W7 at Michigan StateL 28–34
  8. W8 vs PurdueW 35–24
  9. W10 vs MarylandW 23–10
  10. W11 at IowaL 10–24
  11. W12 at NebraskaW 15–14
  12. W13 vs MinnesotaL 16–23