Passing
WIS defense
Higher-ranked profile
- MINN offense
- #76
- WIS defense
- #1
EPA comparison
0.20
#76
-0.16
#1
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 13 · Fri Nov 27 · 7:30 PM ET
Paul Bunyan's Axe
Forecast win probability
MINN 33.8%66.2% WIS
- Projected margin
- WIS by 6.2
- Projected total
- 50
- 80% outcome range
- MINN 12 to WIS 25
- Win probability
- WIS 66.2%
Current team profiles
MinnesotaWisconsinWhen Minnesota has the ball
Rushing
WIS defense
Higher-ranked profile
- MINN offense
- #123
- WIS defense
- #63
EPA comparison
-0.07
#123
0.03
#63
Rush EPA
Drive success
WIS defense
Higher-ranked profile
- MINN offense
- #76
- WIS defense
- #22
Success rates
43%
#76
35%
#22
Success rate
More metrics
0.05
#106
-0.12
#5
EPA / play
1.12
#121
0.96
#2
Explosiveness
14%
#63
16%
#72
Havoc
When Wisconsin has the ball
Passing
MINN defense
Higher-ranked profile
- MINN defense
- #38
- WIS offense
- #74
EPA comparison
0.06
#38
0.21
#74
Pass EPA
Rushing
WIS offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MINN defense
- #107
- WIS offense
- #35
EPA comparison
0.14
#107
0.19
#35
Rush EPA
Drive success
MINN defense
Higher-ranked profile
- MINN defense
- #58
- WIS offense
- #105
Success rates
39%
#58
40%
#105
Success rate
More metrics
0.04
#57
0.17
#66
EPA / play
1.18
#50
1.47
#2
Explosiveness
22%
#6
15%
#74
Havoc
Current key players
MinnesotaQBDrake Lindsey
1087 yds · 8 TD · 4 INT
72.5133/729
DBJohn Nestor
16 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 68.8
- Coverage
- 87.2
- Targets allowed
- 17
- Rec allowed
- 9
- Yards allowed
- 48
- Passer rating allowed
- 53.8
- Missed tackles
- 2
85.622/2969
DBAydan West
15 tkl · 4 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 52.8
- Coverage
- 83.8
- Targets allowed
- 17
- Rec allowed
- 7
- Yards allowed
- 61
- Passer rating allowed
- 26.8
- Missed tackles
- 3
81.148/2969
LBNate Cleveland
3 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 91.5
- Coverage
- 39.7
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 1
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 1
79.294/1796
WRNoah Jennings
26 rec · 345 yds · 1 TD
78.468/2069
LBMason Carrier
4 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 71.5
- Coverage
- 70.6
- Pressures
- 2
- Pass-rush snaps
- 3
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
77.8123/1796
Availability reports · 6
- Ashton Beers · OLout · 2026-10-01
Minnesota Football: Starting center Ashton Beers out for the season - The Daily Gopher
- Ryan Estrada · RBout · 2026-09-07
Estrada is out of action due to a knee injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.
- A.J. Turner · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Turner is nursing with an undisclosed injury, but he is projected to suit up against the Hawkeyes on Saturday, October 24th.
- Beckham Sunderland · KQues. · 2026-10-11
Sunderland is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Hawkeyes on Saturday, October 24th.
- Braiden Stevens · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Stevens is ailing from illness, and it is uncertain if he will play against the Hawkeyes on Saturday, October 24th.
- Zeke Bates · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Bates is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Hawkeyes on Saturday, October 24th.
WisconsinQBRyan Hopkins
— yds · — TD · — INT
71.5144/729
LBMason Posa
40 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 91.5
- Coverage
- 81.0
- Pressures
- 6
- Pass-rush snaps
- 29
- Missed tackles
- 2
- Forced fumbles
- 0
89.216/1796
LBCooper Catalano
45 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 89.8
- Coverage
- 76.1
- Pressures
- 4
- Pass-rush snaps
- 10
- Missed tackles
- 4
- Forced fumbles
- 0
86.827/1796
TEJacob Harris
13 rec · 238 yds · 3 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 71.7
- Run blocking
- 77.1
- Penalties
- 2
84.412/1017
WRTyrell Henry
26 rec · 339 yds · 1 TD
82.437/2069
SMatthew Jung
32 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 75.2
- Coverage
- 75.5
- Targets allowed
- 13
- Rec allowed
- 10
- Yards allowed
- 133
- Passer rating allowed
- 76.8
- Missed tackles
- 5
76.9131/2969
Availability reports · 4
- Abu Sama III · RBQues. · 2026-10-03
Sama III is nursing an upper body injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against UCLA on Saturday, October 17th.
- Mason Lane · RBQues. · 2026-10-08
Lane is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will play against UCLA on Saturday, October 17th.
- Danny O'Neil · QBQues. · 2026-10-03
O'Neil is managing a lower body injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against UCLA on Saturday, October 17th.
- Jaylon Domingeaux · WRQues. · 2026-10-03
Domingeaux is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against UCLA on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
MINNMinnesota
WISWisconsin
vs
Offense
72.5
#93 of 138
QB
Quarterback
71.5
#97 of 138
74.5
#78 of 138
RB
Running backs
72.8
#100 of 138
74.7
#35 of 138
WR
Receivers
71.6
#66 of 138
57.3
#134 of 138
TE
Tight ends
84.4
#12 of 138
76.0
#13 of 138
OL
Offensive line
72.3
#31 of 138
Defense
77.1
#35 of 138
DL
Defensive line
70.3
#103 of 138
77.0
#43 of 138
LB
Linebackers
86.8
#1 of 138
74.7
#37 of 138
DB
Secondary
73.6
#48 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Minnesota
opponent
Wisconsin
Aaway-28.0
PURPurdue#67+3.0Aaway
Aaway-17.6
PSUPenn State#43+4.0Aaway
Hhome-8.8
IOWAIowa#20-10.6Aaway
Hhome-5.0
UCLAUCLA#24-6.7Aaway