CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 10 · Sat Nov 7 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
RUTG 29.6%70.4% WIS
Projected margin
WIS by 8.1
Projected total
55
80% outcome range
RUTG 10 to WIS 27
Win probability
WIS 70.4%

Current team profiles

Rutgers
Wisconsin

When Rutgers has the ball

Passing

WIS defense
Higher-ranked profile
RUTG offense
#41
WIS defense
#1
EPA comparison
0.32
#41
-0.16
#1
Pass EPA

Rushing

WIS defense
Higher-ranked profile
RUTG offense
#121
WIS defense
#63
EPA comparison
-0.03
#121
0.03
#63
Rush EPA

Drive success

WIS defense
Higher-ranked profile
RUTG offense
#56
WIS defense
#22
Success rates
45%
#56
35%
#22
Success rate
More metrics
0.11
#86
-0.12
#5
EPA / play
1.34
#18
0.96
#2
Explosiveness
15%
#79
16%
#72
Havoc

When Wisconsin has the ball

Passing

WIS offense
Higher-ranked profile
RUTG defense
#128
WIS offense
#74
EPA comparison
0.38
#128
0.21
#74
Pass EPA

Rushing

WIS offense
Higher-ranked profile
RUTG defense
#122
WIS offense
#35
EPA comparison
0.19
#122
0.19
#35
Rush EPA

Drive success

WIS offense
Higher-ranked profile
RUTG defense
#124
WIS offense
#105
Success rates
46%
#124
40%
#105
Success rate
More metrics
0.23
#127
0.17
#66
EPA / play
1.24
#78
1.47
#2
Explosiveness
12%
#125
15%
#74
Havoc

Current key players

Rutgers
QBAJ Surace
475 yds · 6 TD · 4 INT
65.6208/729
TEKam Anthony
2 rec · 22 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
76.6
Run blocking
77.5
Penalties
0
90.22/1017
WRKJ Duff
33 rec · 628 yds · 7 TD
87.416/2069
RBAntwan Raymond
469 yds · 4 TD · 5.3 YPC
74.8179/1044
DBKaj Sanders
12 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
73.3
Coverage
70.6
Targets allowed
3
Rec allowed
2
Yards allowed
23
Passer rating allowed
89.6
Missed tackles
2
72.6297/2969
DBDK Gilley
19 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
67.7
Coverage
72.0
Targets allowed
2
Rec allowed
2
Yards allowed
12
Passer rating allowed
91.7
Missed tackles
3
72.3314/2969
Availability reports · 5
  • Kevin Levy · CBout · 2026-09-17

    Levy is battling with an undisclsoed injury, and he will be out of the lineup against USC on Saturday.

  • Dylan Lonergan · QBout · 2026-10-04

    Lonergan is dealing with an head injury, and there is no timetable for his return.

  • Antwan Raymond · RBQues. · 2026-09-30

    Raymond is dealing with undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will be available Saturday against the Indiana.

  • Famah Toure · WRQues. · 2026-09-11

    Toure is nursing with a knee injury, and it is unknown if he will play against the USC on Saturday, September 19th.

  • Dino Kaliakmanis · WRQues. · 2026-09-26

    Kaliakmanis is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and he is not projected to suit up against USC on Sunday.

Wisconsin
QBRyan Hopkins
— yds · — TD · — INT
71.5144/729
LBMason Posa
40 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
91.5
Coverage
81.0
Pressures
6
Pass-rush snaps
29
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
89.216/1796
LBCooper Catalano
45 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
89.8
Coverage
76.1
Pressures
4
Pass-rush snaps
10
Missed tackles
4
Forced fumbles
0
86.827/1796
TEJacob Harris
13 rec · 238 yds · 3 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
71.7
Run blocking
77.1
Penalties
2
84.412/1017
WRTyrell Henry
26 rec · 339 yds · 1 TD
82.437/2069
SMatthew Jung
32 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
75.2
Coverage
75.5
Targets allowed
13
Rec allowed
10
Yards allowed
133
Passer rating allowed
76.8
Missed tackles
5
76.9131/2969
Availability reports · 4
  • Abu Sama III · RBQues. · 2026-10-03

    Sama III is nursing an upper body injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against UCLA on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Mason Lane · RBQues. · 2026-10-08

    Lane is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will play against UCLA on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Danny O'Neil · QBQues. · 2026-10-03

    O'Neil is managing a lower body injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against UCLA on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Jaylon Domingeaux · WRQues. · 2026-10-03

    Domingeaux is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against UCLA on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

RUTG
WIS
vs
Offense
65.6
#118 of 138
QB
71.5
#97 of 138
72.3
#104 of 138
RB
72.8
#100 of 138
71.5
#69 of 138
WR
71.6
#66 of 138
90.2
#2 of 138
TE
84.4
#12 of 138
75.6
#14 of 138
OL
72.3
#31 of 138
Defense
71.5
#91 of 138
DL
70.3
#103 of 138
65.5
#133 of 138
LB
86.8
#1 of 138
69.5
#105 of 138
DB
73.6
#48 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Rutgers
opponent
Wisconsin
H+1.2
MSU#62
+28.0H
A-19.5
PSU#43
+4.0A
A-3.7
MD#72
+1.8A
H-7.0
USC#17
-9.8H