CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 3 · Sat Sep 19 · 12:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
EMU 15.0%85.0% WIS
Projected margin
WIS by 16.4
Projected total
44
80% outcome range
EMU 4 to WIS 35
Win probability
WIS 85.0%
FinalEMU 10 · WIS 54model had +16.4, off by 27.6

Current team profiles

Eastern Michigan
Wisconsin

When Eastern Michigan has the ball

Passing

WIS defense
Higher-ranked profile
EMU offense
#84
WIS defense
#1
EPA comparison
0.16
#84
-0.16
#1
Pass EPA

Rushing

WIS defense
Higher-ranked profile
EMU offense
#81
WIS defense
#63
EPA comparison
0.08
#81
0.03
#63
Rush EPA

Drive success

WIS defense
Higher-ranked profile
EMU offense
#98
WIS defense
#22
Success rates
41%
#98
35%
#22
Success rate
More metrics
0.06
#102
-0.12
#5
EPA / play
1.13
#119
0.96
#2
Explosiveness
15%
#77
16%
#72
Havoc

When Wisconsin has the ball

Passing

WIS offense
Higher-ranked profile
EMU defense
#103
WIS offense
#74
EPA comparison
0.27
#103
0.21
#74
Pass EPA

Rushing

WIS offense
Higher-ranked profile
EMU defense
#68
WIS offense
#35
EPA comparison
0.04
#68
0.19
#35
Rush EPA

Drive success

EMU defense
Higher-ranked profile
EMU defense
#91
WIS offense
#105
Success rates
42%
#91
40%
#105
Success rate
More metrics
0.13
#100
0.17
#66
EPA / play
1.23
#75
1.47
#2
Explosiveness
18%
#39
15%
#74
Havoc

Current key players

Eastern Michigan
QBNoah Kim
1187 yds · 8 TD · 3 INT
59.7298/729
DBMarty Collins
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
94.4
Coverage
64.2
Targets allowed
0
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Missed tackles
0
89.512/2969
DBDavion Williams
16 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
89.4
Coverage
81.0
Targets allowed
5
Rec allowed
3
Yards allowed
43
Passer rating allowed
127.5
Missed tackles
0
83.235/2969
RBBraydon Bennett
195 yds · 2 TD · 4.4 YPC
78.1106/1044
DBCaleb Dobbs
14 tkl · 6 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
76.4
Coverage
70.4
Targets allowed
27
Rec allowed
14
Yards allowed
185
Passer rating allowed
80.0
Missed tackles
2
71.9335/2969
WRKozy Isaac
5 rec · 86 yds · 2 TD
71.1226/2069
Availability reports · 11
  • Nick Devereaux · WRout · 2026-09-21

    Devereaux is laid up with an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.

  • Adon Turner · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Turner is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will suit up against Rockets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Bacori Minner · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Minner is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it is up in the air if he will take the field against Rockets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Brady Shelton · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Shelton is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it is up in the air if he will take the field against Rockets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • CJ Miller · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Miller is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will be active against Rockets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Jackson Holt · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Holt is managing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Rockets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Nate Lyman · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Lyman is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will be active against Rockets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Nazir Jones-Davis · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Jones-Davis is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will suit up against Rockets on Saturday, October 1

  • Nick Kinsey · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Kinsey is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will suit up against Rockets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Payton Kokaly · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Kokaly is managing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Rockets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Shawn Fishwick · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Fishwick is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it is up in the air if he will take the field against Rockets on Saturday, October 17th.

Wisconsin
QBRyan Hopkins
— yds · — TD · — INT
71.5144/729
LBMason Posa
40 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
91.5
Coverage
81.0
Pressures
6
Pass-rush snaps
29
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
89.216/1796
LBCooper Catalano
45 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
89.8
Coverage
76.1
Pressures
4
Pass-rush snaps
10
Missed tackles
4
Forced fumbles
0
86.827/1796
TEJacob Harris
13 rec · 238 yds · 3 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
71.7
Run blocking
77.1
Penalties
2
84.412/1017
WRTyrell Henry
26 rec · 339 yds · 1 TD
82.437/2069
SMatthew Jung
32 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
75.2
Coverage
75.5
Targets allowed
13
Rec allowed
10
Yards allowed
133
Passer rating allowed
76.8
Missed tackles
5
76.9131/2969
Availability reports · 4
  • Abu Sama III · RBQues. · 2026-10-03

    Sama III is nursing an upper body injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against UCLA on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Mason Lane · RBQues. · 2026-10-08

    Lane is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will play against UCLA on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Danny O'Neil · QBQues. · 2026-10-03

    O'Neil is managing a lower body injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against UCLA on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Jaylon Domingeaux · WRQues. · 2026-10-03

    Domingeaux is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against UCLA on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

EMU
WIS
vs
Offense
59.7
#133 of 138
QB
71.5
#97 of 138
76.0
#65 of 138
RB
72.8
#100 of 138
67.4
#116 of 138
WR
71.6
#66 of 138
63.7
#99 of 138
TE
84.4
#12 of 138
62.8
#115 of 138
OL
72.3
#31 of 138
Defense
76.8
#38 of 138
DL
70.3
#103 of 138
62.8
#137 of 138
LB
86.8
#1 of 138
77.5
#11 of 138
DB
73.6
#48 of 138
Common opponents