CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 7 · Sat Oct 17
Forecast win probability
WIS 33.7%66.3% UCLA
Projected margin
UCLA by 6.7
Projected total
53
80% outcome range
WIS 12 to UCLA 25
Win probability
UCLA 66.3%

Current team profiles

Wisconsin
UCLA

When Wisconsin has the ball

Passing

UCLA defense
Higher-ranked profile
WIS offense
#74
UCLA defense
#5
EPA comparison
0.21
#74
-0.12
#5
Pass EPA

Rushing

UCLA defense
Higher-ranked profile
WIS offense
#35
UCLA defense
#1
EPA comparison
0.19
#35
-0.24
#1
Rush EPA

Drive success

UCLA defense
Higher-ranked profile
WIS offense
#105
UCLA defense
#5
Success rates
40%
#105
32%
#5
Success rate
More metrics
0.17
#66
-0.20
#1
EPA / play
1.47
#2
1.23
#74
Explosiveness
15%
#74
21%
#11
Havoc

When UCLA has the ball

Passing

WIS defense
Higher-ranked profile
WIS defense
#1
UCLA offense
#98
EPA comparison
-0.16
#1
0.12
#98
Pass EPA

Rushing

UCLA offense
Higher-ranked profile
WIS defense
#63
UCLA offense
#12
EPA comparison
0.03
#63
0.26
#12
Rush EPA

Drive success

WIS defense
Higher-ranked profile
WIS defense
#22
UCLA offense
#44
Success rates
35%
#22
46%
#44
Success rate
More metrics
-0.12
#5
0.20
#46
EPA / play
0.96
#2
1.23
#72
Explosiveness
16%
#72
14%
#63
Havoc

Current key players

Wisconsin
QBRyan Hopkins
— yds · — TD · — INT
71.5144/729
LBMason Posa
40 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
91.5
Coverage
81.0
Pressures
6
Pass-rush snaps
29
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
89.216/1796
LBCooper Catalano
45 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
89.8
Coverage
76.1
Pressures
4
Pass-rush snaps
10
Missed tackles
4
Forced fumbles
0
86.827/1796
TEJacob Harris
13 rec · 238 yds · 3 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
71.7
Run blocking
77.1
Penalties
2
84.412/1017
WRTyrell Henry
26 rec · 339 yds · 1 TD
82.437/2069
SMatthew Jung
32 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
75.2
Coverage
75.5
Targets allowed
13
Rec allowed
10
Yards allowed
133
Passer rating allowed
76.8
Missed tackles
5
76.9131/2969
Availability reports · 4
  • Abu Sama III · RBQues. · 2026-10-03

    Sama III is nursing an upper body injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against UCLA on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Mason Lane · RBQues. · 2026-10-08

    Lane is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will play against UCLA on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Danny O'Neil · QBQues. · 2026-10-03

    O'Neil is managing a lower body injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against UCLA on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Jaylon Domingeaux · WRQues. · 2026-10-03

    Domingeaux is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against UCLA on Saturday, October 17th.

UCLA
QBNico Iamaleava
820 yds · 4 TD · 2 INT
64.9216/729
LBSammy Omosigho
38 tkl · 7.0 TFL · 3.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
91.7
Coverage
82.5
Pressures
11
Pass-rush snaps
42
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
3
90.78/1796
LBTrent Hendrick
7 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
78.7
Coverage
82.5
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
7
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
86.825/1796
RBWayne Knight
445 yds · 9 TD · 9.1 YPC
86.227/1044
DBTa'Shawn James
24 tkl · 2 PD · 3 INT
Player detail
Run defense
74.0
Coverage
84.8
Targets allowed
10
Rec allowed
6
Yards allowed
70
Passer rating allowed
41.7
Missed tackles
5
84.328/2969
DBDerrick Barksdale
12 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
72.5
Coverage
76.5
Targets allowed
18
Rec allowed
12
Yards allowed
110
Passer rating allowed
120.1
Missed tackles
3
77.7102/2969
Availability reports · 3
  • Mikey Matthews · WRout · 2026-09-21

    Matthews is dealing with a lower-leg injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.

  • Josh Phifer · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Phifer is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will suit up against Badgers on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Sam Yoon · OGQues. · 2026-10-11

    Yoon is sidelined with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will suit up against Badgers on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

WIS
UCLA
vs
Offense
71.5
#97 of 138
QB
64.9
#120 of 138
72.8
#100 of 138
RB
86.0
#7 of 138
71.6
#66 of 138
WR
74.0
#43 of 138
84.4
#12 of 138
TE
61.1
#110 of 138
72.3
#31 of 138
OL
69.3
#57 of 138
Defense
70.3
#103 of 138
DL
80.0
#16 of 138
86.8
#1 of 138
LB
84.2
#8 of 138
73.6
#48 of 138
DB
75.2
#31 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Wisconsin
opponent
UCLA
A+1.8
MD#72
+51.0A
H+28.0
MSU#62
+10.7H
A+3.0
PUR#67
+14.0H
H-9.8
USC#17
-5.7H
H+6.2
MINN#54
+5.0A