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Big Ten

Michigan State

Spartans2-415th in Big Ten
Spartan Stadium · East Lansing, MI · 75,005
TeamOvermatched · underachieving the roster
OffensePoor attackweak point: explosiveness, 133rd
DefensePoor defenseweak point: generating pressure, 119th

The season

Best win
W 30-20 vs #80 Toledo
Wk 1 · Sep 4 · model had 52%
Worst loss
L 37-38 vs #47 Illinois
Wk 6 · Oct 10 · lost as a 51% favorite

Schedule

model 5/6 straight up

Opponent ranks use the selected season's current or final board.

  1. Week 1 · Sep 4
    vsToledo
    W 30–20
    Win chance 52%Model margin +0.6Game details
  2. Week 2 · Sep 12
    vsEastern Michigan
    W 35–7
    Win chance 91%Model margin +18.4Game details
  3. Week 3 · Sep 19
    atNotre Dame
    L 10–27
    Win chance 4%Model margin -23.1Game details
  4. Week 4 · Sep 26
    vsNebraska
    L 13–31
    Win chance 38%Model margin -4.3Game details
  5. Week 5 · Oct 3
    atWisconsin
    L 3–31
    Win chance 36%Model margin -4.8Game details
  6. Week 6 · Oct 10
    vsIllinois
    L 37–38
    Win chance 51%Model margin +0.2Game details
  7. Week 7 · Oct 17
    vsNorthwestern
    Win chance 25%Model margin -8.9Game details
  8. Week 8 · Oct 24
    atUCLA
    Win chance 21%Model margin -10.7Game details
  9. Week 10 · Nov 7
    atMichigan
    Win chance 18%Model margin -12.3Game details
  10. Week 11 · Nov 14
    vsWashington
    Win chance 27%Model margin -8.4Game details
  11. Week 12 · Nov 21
    vsOregon
    Win chance 9%Model margin -18.4Game details
  12. Week 13 · Nov 28
    atRutgers
    Win chance 47%Model margin -1.2Game details

Profile

Team DNA

rank of 138
Offense efficiency
23
#120 of 138
Defense efficiency
20
#117 of 138
Efficiency
#1170.02
EPA / play
#1140.18
#1110.08
Pass
#1090.29
#1100.00
Rush
#880.08
#6944%
Success
#9543%
Big plays & havoc
#1331.06
Explosive
#901.27
#10617%
Havoc
#11913%
Position groupsby overall player grade
QB109th
RB99th
WR65th
TE59th
OL49th
DL80th
LB19th
DB129th

Roster

Core lineup

overall grade
Offense
QB
Alessio MilivojevicSO
851 yds · 3 TD · 3 INT
68.2
181st QB
RB
Cam EdwardsSR
304 yds · 3 TD · 4.8 YPC
74.1
191st RB
WR
Braylon CollierFR
2 rec · 23 yds · 0 TD
76.4
103rd WR
WR
Charles TaplinFR
3 rec · 65 yds · 1 TD
70.3
258th WR
TE
Kai RiosSR
4 rec · 35 yds · 0 TD
70.8
79th TE
Defense
LB
Dion CrawfordSR
23 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
86.1
32nd LB
LB
Caleb WheatlandSR
19 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
77.8
122nd LB
S
Devin VaughtJR
33 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
73.1
271st DB
CB
Keshawn WilliamsSO
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
67.7
632nd DB
CB
Tre BellSR
13 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
65.1
847th DB

Injury report

3 listed
Ques.
Caleb WheatlandLB

Wheatland is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Wildcats on Saturday, October 17th.

77.810-11
Ques.
Cam EdwardsRB

Edwards is dealing with a knee injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Wildcats on Saturday, October 17th.

74.110-11
Ques.
Cam FancherQB

Fancher exited the game with a knee injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Wildcats on Saturday, October 17th.

49.810-11

Past seasons

Year by year
-1.1 points since 2022
405060708064.2202253.7202356.9202463.12025
2022 64.22023 53.72024 56.92025 63.1

2025

4-8
D-I rank
#59
Rating
63.1
Listed games · 12
WWWLLLLLLLLW
295 pts scored359 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs Western MichiganW 23–6
  2. W2 vs Boston CollegeW 42–40
  3. W3 vs Youngstown StateW 41–24
  4. W4 at USCL 31–45
  5. W6 at NebraskaL 27–38
  6. W7 vs UCLAL 13–38
  7. W8 at IndianaL 13–38
  8. W9 vs MichiganL 20–31
  9. W10 at MinnesotaL 20–23
  10. W12 vs Penn StateL 10–28
  11. W13 at IowaL 17–20
  12. W14 vs MarylandW 38–28

2024

5-7
D-I rank
#87
Rating
56.9
Listed games · 12
WWWLLLWLLLWL
232 pts scored313 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs Florida AtlanticW 16–10
  2. W2 at MarylandW 27–24
  3. W3 vs Prairie View A&MW 40–0
  4. W4 at Boston CollegeL 19–23
  5. W5 vs Ohio StateL 7–38
  6. W6 at OregonL 10–31
  7. W8 vs IowaW 32–20
  8. W9 at MichiganL 17–24
  9. W10 vs IndianaL 10–47
  10. W12 at IllinoisL 16–38
  11. W13 vs PurdueW 24–17
  12. W14 vs RutgersL 14–41

2023

4-8
D-I rank
#99
Rating
53.7
Listed games · 12
WWLLLLLLWLWL
191 pts scored340 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs Central MichiganW 31–7
  2. W2 vs RichmondW 45–14
  3. W3 vs WashingtonL 7–41
  4. W4 vs MarylandL 9–31
  5. W5 at IowaL 16–26
  6. W7 at RutgersL 24–27
  7. W8 vs MichiganL 0–49
  8. W9 at MinnesotaL 12–27
  9. W10 vs NebraskaW 20–17
  10. W11 at Ohio StateL 3–38
  11. W12 at IndianaW 24–21
  12. W13 vs Penn StateL 0–42

2022

5-7
D-I rank
#54
Rating
64.2
Listed games · 12
WWLLLLWLWWLL
293 pts scored329 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs Western MichiganW 35–13
  2. W2 vs AkronW 52–0
  3. W3 at WashingtonL 28–39
  4. W4 vs MinnesotaL 7–34
  5. W5 at MarylandL 13–27
  6. W6 vs Ohio StateL 20–49
  7. W7 vs WisconsinW 34–28
  8. W9 at MichiganL 7–29
  9. W10 at IllinoisW 23–15
  10. W11 vs RutgersW 27–21
  11. W12 vs IndianaL 31–39
  12. W13 at Penn StateL 16–35