Passing
UCLA defense
Higher-ranked profile
- MSU offense
- #111
- UCLA defense
- #5
EPA comparison
0.08
#111
-0.12
#5
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 8 · Sat Oct 24 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
MSU 25.4%74.6% UCLA
- Projected margin
- UCLA by 10.7
- Projected total
- 55
- 80% outcome range
- MSU 8 to UCLA 29
- Win probability
- UCLA 74.6%
Current team profiles
Michigan StateUCLAWhen Michigan State has the ball
Rushing
UCLA defense
Higher-ranked profile
- MSU offense
- #110
- UCLA defense
- #1
EPA comparison
0.00
#110
-0.24
#1
Rush EPA
Drive success
UCLA defense
Higher-ranked profile
- MSU offense
- #69
- UCLA defense
- #5
Success rates
44%
#69
32%
#5
Success rate
More metrics
0.02
#117
-0.20
#1
EPA / play
1.06
#133
1.23
#74
Explosiveness
17%
#106
21%
#11
Havoc
When UCLA has the ball
Passing
UCLA offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MSU defense
- #109
- UCLA offense
- #98
EPA comparison
0.29
#109
0.12
#98
Pass EPA
Rushing
UCLA offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MSU defense
- #88
- UCLA offense
- #12
EPA comparison
0.08
#88
0.26
#12
Rush EPA
Drive success
UCLA offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MSU defense
- #95
- UCLA offense
- #44
Success rates
43%
#95
46%
#44
Success rate
More metrics
0.18
#114
0.20
#46
EPA / play
1.27
#90
1.23
#72
Explosiveness
13%
#119
14%
#63
Havoc
Current key players
Michigan StateQBAlessio Milivojevic
851 yds · 3 TD · 3 INT
68.2181/729
LBDion Crawford
23 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 90.4
- Coverage
- 68.0
- Pressures
- 2
- Pass-rush snaps
- 5
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
86.132/1796
LBCaleb Wheatland
19 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 55.6
- Coverage
- 89.7
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 9
- Missed tackles
- 6
- Forced fumbles
- 1
77.8122/1796
WRBraylon Collier
2 rec · 23 yds · 0 TD
76.4103/2069
RBCam Edwards
304 yds · 3 TD · 4.8 YPC
74.1191/1044
SDevin Vaught
33 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 91.2
- Coverage
- 58.1
- Targets allowed
- 5
- Rec allowed
- 2
- Yards allowed
- 59
- Passer rating allowed
- 124.2
- Missed tackles
- 2
73.1271/2969
Availability reports · 3
- Caleb Wheatland · LBQues. · 2026-10-11
Wheatland is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Wildcats on Saturday, October 17th.
- Cam Edwards · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Edwards is dealing with a knee injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Wildcats on Saturday, October 17th.
- Cam Fancher · QBQues. · 2026-10-11
Fancher exited the game with a knee injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Wildcats on Saturday, October 17th.
UCLAQBNico Iamaleava
820 yds · 4 TD · 2 INT
64.9216/729
LBSammy Omosigho
38 tkl · 7.0 TFL · 3.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 91.7
- Coverage
- 82.5
- Pressures
- 11
- Pass-rush snaps
- 42
- Missed tackles
- 2
- Forced fumbles
- 3
90.78/1796
LBTrent Hendrick
7 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 78.7
- Coverage
- 82.5
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 7
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
86.825/1796
RBWayne Knight
445 yds · 9 TD · 9.1 YPC
86.227/1044
DBTa'Shawn James
24 tkl · 2 PD · 3 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 74.0
- Coverage
- 84.8
- Targets allowed
- 10
- Rec allowed
- 6
- Yards allowed
- 70
- Passer rating allowed
- 41.7
- Missed tackles
- 5
84.328/2969
DBDerrick Barksdale
12 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 72.5
- Coverage
- 76.5
- Targets allowed
- 18
- Rec allowed
- 12
- Yards allowed
- 110
- Passer rating allowed
- 120.1
- Missed tackles
- 3
77.7102/2969
Availability reports · 3
- Mikey Matthews · WRout · 2026-09-21
Matthews is dealing with a lower-leg injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.
- Josh Phifer · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Phifer is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will suit up against Badgers on Saturday, October 17th.
- Sam Yoon · OGQues. · 2026-10-11
Yoon is sidelined with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will suit up against Badgers on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
MSUMichigan State
UCLAUCLA
vs
Offense
68.2
#109 of 138
QB
Quarterback
64.9
#120 of 138
72.8
#99 of 138
RB
Running backs
86.0
#7 of 138
71.7
#65 of 138
WR
Receivers
74.0
#43 of 138
70.8
#59 of 138
TE
Tight ends
61.1
#110 of 138
70.5
#49 of 138
OL
Offensive line
69.3
#57 of 138
Defense
72.3
#80 of 138
DL
Defensive line
80.0
#16 of 138
80.2
#19 of 138
LB
Linebackers
84.2
#8 of 138
66.7
#129 of 138
DB
Secondary
75.2
#31 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Michigan State
opponent
UCLA
Aaway-28.0
WISWisconsin#32+6.7Hhome
Hhome-18.4
OREOregon#8+2.0Aaway
Aaway-12.3
MICHMichigan#23-4.2Aaway
Hhome-1.0
ILLIllinois#47+3.2Hhome