CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 2 · Sat Sep 12 · 3:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
EMU 8.5%91.5% MSU
Projected margin
MSU by 18.4
Projected total
53
80% outcome range
MSU 2 to MSU 39
Win probability
MSU 91.5%
FinalEMU 7 · MSU 35model had +18.4, off by 9.6

Current team profiles

Eastern Michigan
Michigan State

When Eastern Michigan has the ball

Passing

EMU offense
Higher-ranked profile
EMU offense
#84
MSU defense
#109
EPA comparison
0.16
#84
0.29
#109
Pass EPA

Rushing

EMU offense
Higher-ranked profile
EMU offense
#81
MSU defense
#88
EPA comparison
0.08
#81
0.08
#88
Rush EPA

Drive success

MSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
EMU offense
#98
MSU defense
#95
Success rates
41%
#98
43%
#95
Success rate
More metrics
0.06
#102
0.18
#114
EPA / play
1.13
#119
1.27
#90
Explosiveness
15%
#77
13%
#119
Havoc

When Michigan State has the ball

Passing

EMU defense
Higher-ranked profile
EMU defense
#103
MSU offense
#111
EPA comparison
0.27
#103
0.08
#111
Pass EPA

Rushing

EMU defense
Higher-ranked profile
EMU defense
#68
MSU offense
#110
EPA comparison
0.04
#68
0.00
#110
Rush EPA

Drive success

MSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
EMU defense
#91
MSU offense
#69
Success rates
42%
#91
44%
#69
Success rate
More metrics
0.13
#100
0.02
#117
EPA / play
1.23
#75
1.06
#133
Explosiveness
18%
#39
17%
#106
Havoc

Current key players

Eastern Michigan
QBNoah Kim
1187 yds · 8 TD · 3 INT
59.7298/729
DBMarty Collins
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
94.4
Coverage
64.2
Targets allowed
0
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Missed tackles
0
89.512/2969
DBDavion Williams
16 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
89.4
Coverage
81.0
Targets allowed
5
Rec allowed
3
Yards allowed
43
Passer rating allowed
127.5
Missed tackles
0
83.235/2969
RBBraydon Bennett
195 yds · 2 TD · 4.4 YPC
78.1106/1044
DBCaleb Dobbs
14 tkl · 6 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
76.4
Coverage
70.4
Targets allowed
27
Rec allowed
14
Yards allowed
185
Passer rating allowed
80.0
Missed tackles
2
71.9335/2969
WRKozy Isaac
5 rec · 86 yds · 2 TD
71.1226/2069
Availability reports · 11
  • Nick Devereaux · WRout · 2026-09-21

    Devereaux is laid up with an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.

  • Adon Turner · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Turner is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will suit up against Rockets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Bacori Minner · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Minner is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it is up in the air if he will take the field against Rockets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Brady Shelton · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Shelton is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it is up in the air if he will take the field against Rockets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • CJ Miller · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Miller is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will be active against Rockets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Jackson Holt · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Holt is managing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Rockets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Nate Lyman · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Lyman is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will be active against Rockets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Nazir Jones-Davis · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Jones-Davis is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will suit up against Rockets on Saturday, October 1

  • Nick Kinsey · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Kinsey is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will suit up against Rockets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Payton Kokaly · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Kokaly is managing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Rockets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Shawn Fishwick · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Fishwick is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it is up in the air if he will take the field against Rockets on Saturday, October 17th.

Michigan State
QBAlessio Milivojevic
851 yds · 3 TD · 3 INT
68.2181/729
LBDion Crawford
23 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
90.4
Coverage
68.0
Pressures
2
Pass-rush snaps
5
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
86.132/1796
LBCaleb Wheatland
19 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
55.6
Coverage
89.7
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
9
Missed tackles
6
Forced fumbles
1
77.8122/1796
WRBraylon Collier
2 rec · 23 yds · 0 TD
76.4103/2069
RBCam Edwards
304 yds · 3 TD · 4.8 YPC
74.1191/1044
SDevin Vaught
33 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
91.2
Coverage
58.1
Targets allowed
5
Rec allowed
2
Yards allowed
59
Passer rating allowed
124.2
Missed tackles
2
73.1271/2969
Availability reports · 3
  • Caleb Wheatland · LBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Wheatland is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Wildcats on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Cam Edwards · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Edwards is dealing with a knee injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Wildcats on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Cam Fancher · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Fancher exited the game with a knee injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Wildcats on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

EMU
MSU
vs
Offense
59.7
#133 of 138
QB
68.2
#109 of 138
76.0
#65 of 138
RB
72.8
#99 of 138
67.4
#116 of 138
WR
71.7
#65 of 138
63.7
#99 of 138
TE
70.8
#59 of 138
62.8
#115 of 138
OL
70.5
#49 of 138
Defense
76.8
#38 of 138
DL
72.3
#80 of 138
62.8
#137 of 138
LB
80.2
#19 of 138
77.5
#11 of 138
DB
66.7
#129 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Eastern Michigan
opponent
Michigan State
H-10.8
TOL#80
+10.0H
A-44.0
WIS#32
-28.0A