Passing
MSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MSU offense
- #111
- RUTG defense
- #128
EPA comparison
0.08
#111
0.38
#128
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 13 · Sat Nov 28 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
MSU 47.3%52.7% RUTG
- Projected margin
- RUTG by 1.2
- Projected total
- 57
- 80% outcome range
- MSU 17 to RUTG 20
- Win probability
- RUTG 52.7%
Current team profiles
Michigan State
RutgersWhen Michigan State has the ball
Rushing
MSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MSU offense
- #110
- RUTG defense
- #122
EPA comparison
0.00
#110
0.19
#122
Rush EPA
Drive success
MSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MSU offense
- #69
- RUTG defense
- #124
Success rates
44%
#69
46%
#124
Success rate
More metrics
0.02
#117
0.23
#127
EPA / play
1.06
#133
1.24
#78
Explosiveness
17%
#106
12%
#125
Havoc
When Rutgers has the ball
Passing
RUTG offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MSU defense
- #109
- RUTG offense
- #41
EPA comparison
0.29
#109
0.32
#41
Pass EPA
Rushing
MSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- MSU defense
- #88
- RUTG offense
- #121
EPA comparison
0.08
#88
-0.03
#121
Rush EPA
Drive success
RUTG offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MSU defense
- #95
- RUTG offense
- #56
Success rates
43%
#95
45%
#56
Success rate
More metrics
0.18
#114
0.11
#86
EPA / play
1.27
#90
1.34
#18
Explosiveness
13%
#119
15%
#79
Havoc
Current key players
Michigan StateQBAlessio Milivojevic
851 yds · 3 TD · 3 INT
68.2181/729
LBDion Crawford
23 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 90.4
- Coverage
- 68.0
- Pressures
- 2
- Pass-rush snaps
- 5
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
86.132/1796
LBCaleb Wheatland
19 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 55.6
- Coverage
- 89.7
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 9
- Missed tackles
- 6
- Forced fumbles
- 1
77.8122/1796
WRBraylon Collier
2 rec · 23 yds · 0 TD
76.4103/2069
RBCam Edwards
304 yds · 3 TD · 4.8 YPC
74.1191/1044
SDevin Vaught
33 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 91.2
- Coverage
- 58.1
- Targets allowed
- 5
- Rec allowed
- 2
- Yards allowed
- 59
- Passer rating allowed
- 124.2
- Missed tackles
- 2
73.1271/2969
Availability reports · 3
- Caleb Wheatland · LBQues. · 2026-10-11
Wheatland is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Wildcats on Saturday, October 17th.
- Cam Edwards · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Edwards is dealing with a knee injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Wildcats on Saturday, October 17th.
- Cam Fancher · QBQues. · 2026-10-11
Fancher exited the game with a knee injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Wildcats on Saturday, October 17th.
RutgersQBAJ Surace
475 yds · 6 TD · 4 INT
65.6208/729
TEKam Anthony
2 rec · 22 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 76.6
- Run blocking
- 77.5
- Penalties
- 0
90.22/1017
WRKJ Duff
33 rec · 628 yds · 7 TD
87.416/2069
RBAntwan Raymond
469 yds · 4 TD · 5.3 YPC
74.8179/1044
DBKaj Sanders
12 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 73.3
- Coverage
- 70.6
- Targets allowed
- 3
- Rec allowed
- 2
- Yards allowed
- 23
- Passer rating allowed
- 89.6
- Missed tackles
- 2
72.6297/2969
DBDK Gilley
19 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 67.7
- Coverage
- 72.0
- Targets allowed
- 2
- Rec allowed
- 2
- Yards allowed
- 12
- Passer rating allowed
- 91.7
- Missed tackles
- 3
72.3314/2969
Availability reports · 5
- Kevin Levy · CBout · 2026-09-17
Levy is battling with an undisclsoed injury, and he will be out of the lineup against USC on Saturday.
- Dylan Lonergan · QBout · 2026-10-04
Lonergan is dealing with an head injury, and there is no timetable for his return.
- Antwan Raymond · RBQues. · 2026-09-30
Raymond is dealing with undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will be available Saturday against the Indiana.
- Famah Toure · WRQues. · 2026-09-11
Toure is nursing with a knee injury, and it is unknown if he will play against the USC on Saturday, September 19th.
- Dino Kaliakmanis · WRQues. · 2026-09-26
Kaliakmanis is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and he is not projected to suit up against USC on Sunday.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
MSUMichigan State
RUTGRutgers
vs
Offense
68.2
#109 of 138
QB
Quarterback
65.6
#118 of 138
72.8
#99 of 138
RB
Running backs
72.3
#104 of 138
71.7
#65 of 138
WR
Receivers
71.5
#69 of 138
70.8
#59 of 138
TE
Tight ends
90.2
#2 of 138
70.5
#49 of 138
OL
Offensive line
75.6
#14 of 138
Defense
72.3
#80 of 138
DL
Defensive line
71.5
#91 of 138
80.2
#19 of 138
LB
Linebackers
65.5
#133 of 138
66.7
#129 of 138
DB
Secondary
69.5
#105 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Michigan State
opponent
Rutgers
Aaway-28.0
WISWisconsin#32-8.1Aaway
Hhome-8.9
NUNorthwestern#16-15.7Aaway
Hhome-18.0
NEBNebraska#12-11.9Hhome
Aaway-12.3
MICHMichigan#23-8.5Hhome