Passing
WASH offense
Higher-ranked profile
- WASH offense
- #55
- MSU defense
- #109
EPA comparison
0.27
#55
0.29
#109
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 11 · Sat Nov 14 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
WASH 70.4%29.6% MSU
- Projected margin
- WASH by 8.4
- Projected total
- 52
- 80% outcome range
- WASH 27 to MSU 10
- Win probability
- WASH 70.4%
Current team profiles
Washington
Michigan StateWhen Washington has the ball
Rushing
MSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- WASH offense
- #116
- MSU defense
- #88
EPA comparison
-0.02
#116
0.08
#88
Rush EPA
Drive success
WASH offense
Higher-ranked profile
- WASH offense
- #91
- MSU defense
- #95
Success rates
42%
#91
43%
#95
Success rate
More metrics
0.13
#76
0.18
#114
EPA / play
1.24
#68
1.27
#90
Explosiveness
14%
#52
13%
#119
Havoc
When Michigan State has the ball
Passing
WASH defense
Higher-ranked profile
- WASH defense
- #69
- MSU offense
- #111
EPA comparison
0.14
#69
0.08
#111
Pass EPA
Rushing
WASH defense
Higher-ranked profile
- WASH defense
- #29
- MSU offense
- #110
EPA comparison
-0.06
#29
0.00
#110
Rush EPA
Drive success
WASH defense
Higher-ranked profile
- WASH defense
- #67
- MSU offense
- #69
Success rates
40%
#67
44%
#69
Success rate
More metrics
0.00
#41
0.02
#117
EPA / play
1.16
#39
1.06
#133
Explosiveness
17%
#45
17%
#106
Havoc
Current key players
WashingtonQBDemond Williams Jr.
1327 yds · 8 TD · 3 INT
71.8140/729
SAlex McLaughlin
33 tkl · 3 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 70.7
- Coverage
- 88.8
- Targets allowed
- 8
- Rec allowed
- 5
- Yards allowed
- 89
- Passer rating allowed
- 100.5
- Missed tackles
- 5
84.527/2969
WRDezmen Roebuck
35 rec · 338 yds · 1 TD
75.1124/2069
SRahshawn Clark
13 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 69.6
- Coverage
- 75.9
- Targets allowed
- 13
- Rec allowed
- 6
- Yards allowed
- 64
- Passer rating allowed
- 29.0
- Missed tackles
- 1
74.8200/2969
TEBaron Naone
16 rec · 245 yds · 2 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 39.7
- Run blocking
- 50.0
- Penalties
- 1
73.855/1017
CBRamonz Adams Jr.
2 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 70.8
- Coverage
- 70.9
- Targets allowed
- 3
- Rec allowed
- 2
- Yards allowed
- 4
- Passer rating allowed
- 70.1
- Missed tackles
- 0
73.2267/2969
Availability reports · 5
- Jayden Limar · RBout · 2026-09-07
Limar will undergo surgery due to an upper body injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.
- Quaid Carr · RBout · 2026-09-07
Carr will undergo surgery due to an undisclosed injury, and he is without a definitive timetable for return.
- CJ Christian · Sout · 2026-10-03
Christian is sidelined due to achilles injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.
- Demond Williams Jr. · QBQues. · 2026-10-10
Williams is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will play against the Boilermakers on Friday.
- Christian Moss · WRQues. · 2026-09-20
Moss is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will play against Golden Gophers on Saturday, September 26th.
Michigan StateQBAlessio Milivojevic
851 yds · 3 TD · 3 INT
68.2181/729
LBDion Crawford
23 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 90.4
- Coverage
- 68.0
- Pressures
- 2
- Pass-rush snaps
- 5
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
86.132/1796
LBCaleb Wheatland
19 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 55.6
- Coverage
- 89.7
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 9
- Missed tackles
- 6
- Forced fumbles
- 1
77.8122/1796
WRBraylon Collier
2 rec · 23 yds · 0 TD
76.4103/2069
RBCam Edwards
304 yds · 3 TD · 4.8 YPC
74.1191/1044
SDevin Vaught
33 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 91.2
- Coverage
- 58.1
- Targets allowed
- 5
- Rec allowed
- 2
- Yards allowed
- 59
- Passer rating allowed
- 124.2
- Missed tackles
- 2
73.1271/2969
Availability reports · 3
- Caleb Wheatland · LBQues. · 2026-10-11
Wheatland is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Wildcats on Saturday, October 17th.
- Cam Edwards · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Edwards is dealing with a knee injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Wildcats on Saturday, October 17th.
- Cam Fancher · QBQues. · 2026-10-11
Fancher exited the game with a knee injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Wildcats on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
WASHWashington
MSUMichigan State
vs
Offense
71.8
#95 of 138
QB
Quarterback
68.2
#109 of 138
67.9
#129 of 138
RB
Running backs
72.8
#99 of 138
67.8
#111 of 138
WR
Receivers
71.7
#65 of 138
73.8
#43 of 138
TE
Tight ends
70.8
#59 of 138
67.3
#74 of 138
OL
Offensive line
70.5
#49 of 138
Defense
74.5
#58 of 138
DL
Defensive line
72.3
#80 of 138
69.8
#106 of 138
LB
Linebackers
80.2
#19 of 138
75.0
#35 of 138
DB
Secondary
66.7
#129 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Washington
opponent
Michigan State
Aaway-4.6
NEBNebraska#12-18.0Hhome
Aaway-12.7
OREOregon#8-18.4Hhome