Passing
ORE offense
Higher-ranked profile
- ORE offense
- #41
- MSU defense
- #109
EPA comparison
0.32
#41
0.29
#109
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 12 · Fri Nov 20 · 8:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
ORE 88.1%11.8% MSU
- Projected margin
- ORE by 18.4
- Projected total
- 58
- 80% outcome range
- ORE 37 to MSU 0
- Win probability
- ORE 88.1%
Current team profiles
Oregon
Michigan StateWhen Oregon has the ball
Rushing
MSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- ORE offense
- #100
- MSU defense
- #88
EPA comparison
0.03
#100
0.08
#88
Rush EPA
Drive success
ORE offense
Higher-ranked profile
- ORE offense
- #60
- MSU defense
- #95
Success rates
44%
#60
43%
#95
Success rate
More metrics
0.17
#61
0.18
#114
EPA / play
1.32
#26
1.27
#90
Explosiveness
14%
#67
13%
#119
Havoc
When Michigan State has the ball
Passing
ORE defense
Higher-ranked profile
- ORE defense
- #34
- MSU offense
- #111
EPA comparison
0.05
#34
0.08
#111
Pass EPA
Rushing
ORE defense
Higher-ranked profile
- ORE defense
- #34
- MSU offense
- #110
EPA comparison
-0.04
#34
0.00
#110
Rush EPA
Drive success
ORE defense
Higher-ranked profile
- ORE defense
- #37
- MSU offense
- #69
Success rates
37%
#37
44%
#69
Success rate
More metrics
-0.03
#32
0.02
#117
EPA / play
1.21
#69
1.06
#133
Explosiveness
16%
#62
17%
#106
Havoc
Current key players
OregonQBDylan Raiola
413 yds · 5 TD · 0 INT
85.836/729
LBNasir Wyatt
4 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 64.7
- Coverage
- 61.2
- Pressures
- 10
- Pass-rush snaps
- 50
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
91.56/1796
LBDevon Jackson
23 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 83.3
- Coverage
- 81.0
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 11
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
83.553/1796
RBDierre Hill Jr.
184 yds · 3 TD · 4.4 YPC
82.752/1044
WRMessiah Hampton
14 rec · 142 yds · 2 TD
80.651/2069
TEKendre Harrison
4 rec · 53 yds · 1 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 71.5
- Run blocking
- 65.8
- Penalties
- 0
79.826/1017
Availability reports · 5
- Jeremiah McClellan · WRout · 2026-09-21
McClellan is sidelined due to a foot injury, and there is no timetable for recovery.
- Iverson Hooks · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Hooks is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will face the Cornhuskers on Saturday, October 17th.
- D. Moore · QBQues. · 2026-10-11
Moore is dealing with a concussion injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against the Cornhuskers on Saturday, October 17th.
- Dillon Gresham · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Gresham is hampered by a neck injury, and it has yet to be established if he will be active against the Cornhuskers on Saturday, October 17t
- Simeon Price · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Price is nursing due to an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will play against the Cornhuskers on Saturday, October
Michigan StateQBAlessio Milivojevic
851 yds · 3 TD · 3 INT
68.2181/729
LBDion Crawford
23 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 90.4
- Coverage
- 68.0
- Pressures
- 2
- Pass-rush snaps
- 5
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
86.132/1796
LBCaleb Wheatland
19 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 55.6
- Coverage
- 89.7
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 9
- Missed tackles
- 6
- Forced fumbles
- 1
77.8122/1796
WRBraylon Collier
2 rec · 23 yds · 0 TD
76.4103/2069
RBCam Edwards
304 yds · 3 TD · 4.8 YPC
74.1191/1044
SDevin Vaught
33 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 91.2
- Coverage
- 58.1
- Targets allowed
- 5
- Rec allowed
- 2
- Yards allowed
- 59
- Passer rating allowed
- 124.2
- Missed tackles
- 2
73.1271/2969
Availability reports · 3
- Caleb Wheatland · LBQues. · 2026-10-11
Wheatland is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Wildcats on Saturday, October 17th.
- Cam Edwards · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Edwards is dealing with a knee injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Wildcats on Saturday, October 17th.
- Cam Fancher · QBQues. · 2026-10-11
Fancher exited the game with a knee injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Wildcats on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
OREOregon
MSUMichigan State
vs
Offense
85.8
#34 of 138
QB
Quarterback
68.2
#109 of 138
81.3
#27 of 138
RB
Running backs
72.8
#99 of 138
72.9
#49 of 138
WR
Receivers
71.7
#65 of 138
79.8
#25 of 138
TE
Tight ends
70.8
#59 of 138
73.7
#22 of 138
OL
Offensive line
70.5
#49 of 138
Defense
75.9
#47 of 138
DL
Defensive line
72.3
#80 of 138
84.4
#7 of 138
LB
Linebackers
80.2
#19 of 138
73.2
#55 of 138
DB
Secondary
66.7
#129 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Oregon
opponent
Michigan State
Hhome+10.7
NEBNebraska#12-18.0Hhome
Hhome+14.1
MICHMichigan#23-12.3Aaway
Hhome+12.2
NUNorthwestern#16-8.9Hhome
Hhome+12.7
WASHWashington#45-8.4Hhome
Aaway+10.9
ILLIllinois#47-1.0Hhome
Hhome-2.0
UCLAUCLA#24-10.7Aaway