Passing
NEB offense
Higher-ranked profile
- NEB offense
- #47
- MSU defense
- #109
EPA comparison
0.28
#47
0.29
#109
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 4 · Sat Sep 26 · 5:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
NEB 62.5%37.5% MSU
- Projected margin
- NEB by 4.3
- Projected total
- 51
- 80% outcome range
- NEB 24 to MSU 14
- Win probability
- NEB 62.5%
FinalNEB 31 · MSU 13model had -4.3, off by 13.7
Current team profiles
Nebraska
Michigan StateWhen Nebraska has the ball
Rushing
NEB offense
Higher-ranked profile
- NEB offense
- #3
- MSU defense
- #88
EPA comparison
0.33
#3
0.08
#88
Rush EPA
Drive success
NEB offense
Higher-ranked profile
- NEB offense
- #36
- MSU defense
- #95
Success rates
48%
#36
43%
#95
Success rate
More metrics
0.31
#14
0.18
#114
EPA / play
1.38
#14
1.27
#90
Explosiveness
13%
#37
13%
#119
Havoc
When Michigan State has the ball
Passing
NEB defense
Higher-ranked profile
- NEB defense
- #7
- MSU offense
- #111
EPA comparison
-0.10
#7
0.08
#111
Pass EPA
Rushing
NEB defense
Higher-ranked profile
- NEB defense
- #63
- MSU offense
- #110
EPA comparison
0.03
#63
0.00
#110
Rush EPA
Drive success
NEB defense
Higher-ranked profile
- NEB defense
- #18
- MSU offense
- #69
Success rates
34%
#18
44%
#69
Success rate
More metrics
-0.02
#35
0.02
#117
EPA / play
1.36
#120
1.06
#133
Explosiveness
19%
#28
17%
#106
Havoc
Current key players
NebraskaQBAnthony Colandrea
1142 yds · 13 TD · 2 INT
91.110/729
RBJamal Rule
333 yds · 5 TD · 7.9 YPC
86.229/1044
LBDerek Wacker
5 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 81.4
- Coverage
- 76.8
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 2
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
86.133/1796
LBOwen Chambliss
26 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.5 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 77.0
- Coverage
- 83.4
- Pressures
- 4
- Pass-rush snaps
- 16
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
83.057/1796
CBAndrew Marshall
13 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 76.6
- Coverage
- 76.4
- Targets allowed
- 17
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 13
- Passer rating allowed
- 34.7
- Missed tackles
- 1
77.7104/2969
CBVictor Evans III
12 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 71.0
- Coverage
- 73.4
- Targets allowed
- 11
- Rec allowed
- 6
- Yards allowed
- 46
- Passer rating allowed
- 65.0
- Missed tackles
- 0
73.1269/2969
Availability reports · 3
- Riley Van Poppel · DLQues. · 2026-10-10
Van Poppel is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will play against the Oregon on Saturday, October 17th.
- Larry Miles · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Miles is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will face Oregon on Saturday, October 17th.
- Carter Nelson · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Nelson is dealing with an undisclosed injury, but it is yet to established if he will play against the Oregon on Saturday, October 17th.
Michigan StateQBAlessio Milivojevic
851 yds · 3 TD · 3 INT
68.2181/729
LBDion Crawford
23 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 90.4
- Coverage
- 68.0
- Pressures
- 2
- Pass-rush snaps
- 5
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
86.132/1796
LBCaleb Wheatland
19 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 55.6
- Coverage
- 89.7
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 9
- Missed tackles
- 6
- Forced fumbles
- 1
77.8122/1796
WRBraylon Collier
2 rec · 23 yds · 0 TD
76.4103/2069
RBCam Edwards
304 yds · 3 TD · 4.8 YPC
74.1191/1044
SDevin Vaught
33 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 91.2
- Coverage
- 58.1
- Targets allowed
- 5
- Rec allowed
- 2
- Yards allowed
- 59
- Passer rating allowed
- 124.2
- Missed tackles
- 2
73.1271/2969
Availability reports · 3
- Caleb Wheatland · LBQues. · 2026-10-11
Wheatland is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Wildcats on Saturday, October 17th.
- Cam Edwards · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Edwards is dealing with a knee injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Wildcats on Saturday, October 17th.
- Cam Fancher · QBQues. · 2026-10-11
Fancher exited the game with a knee injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Wildcats on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
NEBNebraska
MSUMichigan State
vs
Offense
91.1
#11 of 138
QB
Quarterback
68.2
#109 of 138
83.2
#18 of 138
RB
Running backs
72.8
#99 of 138
69.6
#86 of 138
WR
Receivers
71.7
#65 of 138
67.3
#79 of 138
TE
Tight ends
70.8
#59 of 138
71.7
#41 of 138
OL
Offensive line
70.5
#49 of 138
Defense
77.8
#27 of 138
DL
Defensive line
72.3
#80 of 138
79.3
#25 of 138
LB
Linebackers
80.2
#19 of 138
71.6
#74 of 138
DB
Secondary
66.7
#129 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Nebraska
opponent
Michigan State
Aaway+11.9
RUTGRutgers#89-1.2Aaway
Hhome+4.6
WASHWashington#45-8.4Hhome
Aaway-10.7
OREOregon#8-18.4Hhome
Aaway+2.9
ILLIllinois#47-1.0Hhome