CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 8 · Sat Oct 24 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
USC 73.6%26.4% WIS
Projected margin
USC by 9.8
Projected total
55
80% outcome range
USC 28 to WIS 9
Win probability
USC 73.6%

Current team profiles

USC
Wisconsin

When USC has the ball

Passing

WIS defense
Higher-ranked profile
USC offense
#6
WIS defense
#1
EPA comparison
0.55
#6
-0.16
#1
Pass EPA

Rushing

WIS defense
Higher-ranked profile
USC offense
#81
WIS defense
#63
EPA comparison
0.08
#81
0.03
#63
Rush EPA

Drive success

USC offense
Higher-ranked profile
USC offense
#8
WIS defense
#22
Success rates
52%
#8
35%
#22
Success rate
More metrics
0.31
#14
-0.12
#5
EPA / play
1.21
#85
0.96
#2
Explosiveness
10%
#9
16%
#72
Havoc

When Wisconsin has the ball

Passing

WIS offense
Higher-ranked profile
USC defense
#126
WIS offense
#74
EPA comparison
0.37
#126
0.21
#74
Pass EPA

Rushing

WIS offense
Higher-ranked profile
USC defense
#56
WIS offense
#35
EPA comparison
0.02
#56
0.19
#35
Rush EPA

Drive success

USC defense
Higher-ranked profile
USC defense
#77
WIS offense
#105
Success rates
41%
#77
40%
#105
Success rate
More metrics
0.14
#103
0.17
#66
EPA / play
1.32
#110
1.47
#2
Explosiveness
12%
#124
15%
#74
Havoc

Current key players

USC
QBJayden Maiava
1744 yds · 15 TD · 3 INT
90.321/729
WRTrent Mosley
13 rec · 255 yds · 4 TD
89.87/2069
RBKing Miller
493 yds · 3 TD · 5.2 YPC
77.9114/1044
WRCorey Simms
12 rec · 178 yds · 1 TD
77.283/2069
TEMark Bowman
21 rec · 204 yds · 2 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
76.4
Run blocking
52.7
Penalties
1
74.549/1017
CBElbert Hill IV
3 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
69.1
Coverage
70.1
Targets allowed
11
Rec allowed
7
Yards allowed
79
Passer rating allowed
115.3
Missed tackles
1
70.9389/2969
Availability reports · 9
  • Corey Simms · WRout · 2026-10-02

    Simms is sidelined due to knee injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.

  • Terrell Anderson · WRout · 2026-10-09

    Anderson has been sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and a timetable for return/recovery has yet to be established.

  • Kilian O'Connor · OGout · 2026-08-11

    O'Connor has been sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.

  • Deshonne Redeaux · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Redeaux is nursing an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Badgers on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Mark Bowman · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Bowman is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Badgers on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Kendarius Reddick · SQues. · 2026-10-11

    Reddick is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Badgers on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Roderick Tezeno · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Tezeno is dealing with a foot injury, and it remains to be seen if he will suit up against Badgers on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Romero Ison · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Ison is dealing with a foot injury, and it remains to be seen if he will suit up against Badgers on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Sam Huard · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Huard is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will suit up against Badgers on Saturday, October 24th.

Wisconsin
QBRyan Hopkins
— yds · — TD · — INT
71.5144/729
LBMason Posa
40 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
91.5
Coverage
81.0
Pressures
6
Pass-rush snaps
29
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
89.216/1796
LBCooper Catalano
45 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
89.8
Coverage
76.1
Pressures
4
Pass-rush snaps
10
Missed tackles
4
Forced fumbles
0
86.827/1796
TEJacob Harris
13 rec · 238 yds · 3 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
71.7
Run blocking
77.1
Penalties
2
84.412/1017
WRTyrell Henry
26 rec · 339 yds · 1 TD
82.437/2069
SMatthew Jung
32 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
75.2
Coverage
75.5
Targets allowed
13
Rec allowed
10
Yards allowed
133
Passer rating allowed
76.8
Missed tackles
5
76.9131/2969
Availability reports · 4
  • Abu Sama III · RBQues. · 2026-10-03

    Sama III is nursing an upper body injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against UCLA on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Mason Lane · RBQues. · 2026-10-08

    Lane is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will play against UCLA on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Danny O'Neil · QBQues. · 2026-10-03

    O'Neil is managing a lower body injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against UCLA on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Jaylon Domingeaux · WRQues. · 2026-10-03

    Domingeaux is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against UCLA on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

USC
WIS
vs
Offense
90.3
#20 of 138
QB
71.5
#97 of 138
77.6
#51 of 138
RB
72.8
#100 of 138
81.0
#7 of 138
WR
71.6
#66 of 138
74.5
#39 of 138
TE
84.4
#12 of 138
77.8
#6 of 138
OL
72.3
#31 of 138
Defense
77.9
#25 of 138
DL
70.3
#103 of 138
67.7
#122 of 138
LB
86.8
#1 of 138
68.1
#117 of 138
DB
73.6
#48 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

USC
opponent
Wisconsin
H+19.6
MD#72
+1.8A
A+5.7
UCLA#24
-6.7A
A+8.0
PSU#43
+4.0A
A+7.0
RUTG#89
+8.1H