AVRCFB Model
All predictionsWeek 2 · Sat Sep 12 · 11:15 PM
Away
Western Illinois
—
13p
#58Home
Wisconsin
0-0 · AVR 51.9
40p
WIU 3%97% WIS
Spread
WIS -27.0
Total
52
Moneyline
WIU—WIS—
Margin σ
14.1

Key players

Top-rated players, and who is out
Wisconsin
CBJavan Robinson
82.864/1427
SMarvin Burks Jr.
82.269/1427
LBMason Posa
79.659/878
QBColton Joseph
78.524/308
LBSebastian Cheeks
74.7108/878
RBAbu Sama III
69.754/514

Projected margin

80% between 10 and 44
-14-7-3+3+7+14PKWIS +27.095% interval: 4 to 5080% interval: 10.3 to 43.7+10+44WIU wins 3%WIS wins 97%

Scorelines

Brighter is likelier
most likely ≈ WIS 39–11 WIUWIS 35–35 WIU neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesWIS 39–32 WIU neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesWIS 42–28 WIU neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesWIS 46–25 WIU neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesWIS 49–21 WIU neighborhood · ~2.7% of outcomesWIS 53–18 WIU neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesWIS 56–14 WIU neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesWIS 60–11 WIU neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesWIS 63–7 WIU neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesWIS 32–32 WIU neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesWIS 35–28 WIU neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesWIS 39–25 WIU neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesWIS 42–21 WIU neighborhood · ~3.1% of outcomesWIS 46–18 WIU neighborhood · ~3.4% of outcomesWIS 49–14 WIU neighborhood · ~2.9% of outcomesWIS 53–11 WIU neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesWIS 56–7 WIU neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesWIS 60–4 WIU neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesWIS 28–28 WIU neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesWIS 32–25 WIU neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesWIS 35–21 WIU neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesWIS 39–18 WIU neighborhood · ~3.4% of outcomesWIS 42–14 WIU neighborhood · ~3.8% of outcomesWIS 46–11 WIU neighborhood · ~3.2% of outcomesWIS 49–7 WIU neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesWIS 53–4 WIU neighborhood · ~1.1% of outcomesWIS 56–0 WIU neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesWIS 25–25 WIU neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesWIS 28–21 WIU neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesWIS 32–18 WIU neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesWIS 35–14 WIU neighborhood · ~3.5% of outcomesWIS 39–11 WIU neighborhood · ~3.8% of outcomesWIS 42–7 WIU neighborhood · ~3.2% of outcomesWIS 46–4 WIU neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesWIS 49–0 WIU neighborhood · ~1.1% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)WIS 21–21 WIU neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesWIS 25–18 WIU neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesWIS 28–14 WIU neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesWIS 32–11 WIU neighborhood · ~3.1% of outcomesWIS 35–7 WIU neighborhood · ~3.4% of outcomesWIS 39–4 WIU neighborhood · ~2.9% of outcomesWIS 42–0 WIU neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)WIS 18–18 WIU neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesWIS 21–14 WIU neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesWIS 25–11 WIU neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesWIS 28–7 WIU neighborhood · ~2.6% of outcomesWIS 32–4 WIU neighborhood · ~2.8% of outcomesWIS 35–0 WIU neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)WIS 14–14 WIU neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesWIS 18–11 WIU neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesWIS 21–7 WIU neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesWIS 25–4 WIU neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesWIS 28–0 WIU neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)70635649423528totalPKWIS +14WIS +28WIS +42WIS +56margin →