Passing
No comparison
- WIU offense
- —
- WIS defense
- #1
EPA comparison
—
-0.16
#1
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 2 · Sat Sep 12 · 7:15 PM ET
Forecast win probability
WIU 0.1%99.9% WIS
- Projected margin
- WIS by 45.6
- Projected total
- 60
- 80% outcome range
- WIS 24 to WIS 66
- Win probability
- WIS 99.9%
FinalWIU 9 · WIS 36model had +45.6, off by 18.6
Current team profiles
Western Illinois
WisconsinWhen Western Illinois has the ball
Rushing
No comparison
- WIU offense
- —
- WIS defense
- #63
EPA comparison
—
0.03
#63
Rush EPA
Drive success
No comparison
- WIU offense
- #91
- WIS defense
- #22
Success rates
41%
#91
35%
#22
Success rate
More metrics
0.10
#65
-0.12
#5
EPA / play
0.20
#63
0.96
#2
Explosiveness
—
16%
#72
Havoc
When Wisconsin has the ball
Passing
No comparison
- WIU defense
- —
- WIS offense
- #74
EPA comparison
—
0.21
#74
Pass EPA
Rushing
No comparison
- WIU defense
- —
- WIS offense
- #35
EPA comparison
—
0.19
#35
Rush EPA
Drive success
No comparison
- WIU defense
- #22
- WIS offense
- #105
Success rates
40%
#22
40%
#105
Success rate
More metrics
0.03
#23
0.17
#66
EPA / play
0.20
#46
1.47
#2
Explosiveness
—
15%
#74
Havoc
Current key players
Western IllinoisQBTanner Zolnosky
0 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
85.915/370
TEJamarion Davis
1 rec · 7 yds · 1 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 67.3
- Run blocking
- 59.9
- Penalties
- 0
85.31/526
LBJustin Buckner
28 tkl · 4.0 TFL · 3.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 75.0
- Coverage
- 62.3
- Pressures
- 19
- Pass-rush snaps
- 98
- Missed tackles
- 2
- Forced fumbles
- 0
82.825/1054
QBGage Sturgill
6 yds · 1 TD · 0 INT
80.240/370
LBNick Reinicke
44 tkl · 7.0 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 78.7
- Coverage
- 73.7
- Pressures
- 11
- Pass-rush snaps
- 52
- Missed tackles
- 4
- Forced fumbles
- 0
80.242/1054
QBKennedy McGill
1227 yds · 9 TD · 2 INT
78.649/370
WisconsinQBRyan Hopkins
— yds · — TD · — INT
71.5144/729
LBMason Posa
40 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 91.5
- Coverage
- 81.0
- Pressures
- 6
- Pass-rush snaps
- 29
- Missed tackles
- 2
- Forced fumbles
- 0
89.216/1796
LBCooper Catalano
45 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 89.8
- Coverage
- 76.1
- Pressures
- 4
- Pass-rush snaps
- 10
- Missed tackles
- 4
- Forced fumbles
- 0
86.827/1796
TEJacob Harris
13 rec · 238 yds · 3 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 71.7
- Run blocking
- 77.1
- Penalties
- 2
84.412/1017
WRTyrell Henry
26 rec · 339 yds · 1 TD
82.437/2069
SMatthew Jung
32 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 75.2
- Coverage
- 75.5
- Targets allowed
- 13
- Rec allowed
- 10
- Yards allowed
- 133
- Passer rating allowed
- 76.8
- Missed tackles
- 5
76.9131/2969
Availability reports · 4
- Abu Sama III · RBQues. · 2026-10-03
Sama III is nursing an upper body injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against UCLA on Saturday, October 17th.
- Mason Lane · RBQues. · 2026-10-08
Lane is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will play against UCLA on Saturday, October 17th.
- Danny O'Neil · QBQues. · 2026-10-03
O'Neil is managing a lower body injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against UCLA on Saturday, October 17th.
- Jaylon Domingeaux · WRQues. · 2026-10-03
Domingeaux is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against UCLA on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
WIUWestern Illinois
WISWisconsin
vs
Offense
85.9
#15 of 125
QB
Quarterback
71.5
#97 of 138
72.7
#57 of 126
RB
Running backs
72.8
#100 of 138
72.2
#32 of 126
WR
Receivers
71.6
#66 of 138
85.3
#1 of 124
TE
Tight ends
84.4
#12 of 138
61.8
#100 of 125
OL
Offensive line
72.3
#31 of 138
Defense
68.8
#85 of 126
DL
Defensive line
70.3
#103 of 138
78.7
#12 of 126
LB
Linebackers
86.8
#1 of 138
71.4
#63 of 126
DB
Secondary
73.6
#48 of 138