Passing
ND defense
Higher-ranked profile
- WIS offense
- #74
- ND defense
- #34
EPA comparison
0.21
#74
0.05
#34
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 1 · Sun Sep 6 · 7:30 PM ET · neutral site
Forecast win probability
WIS 8.5%91.5% ND
- Projected margin
- ND by 21.9
- Projected total
- 48
- 80% outcome range
- ND 1 to ND 42
- Win probability
- ND 91.5%
FinalWIS 13 · ND 41model had +21.9, off by 6.1
Current team profiles
WisconsinNotre DameWhen Wisconsin has the ball
Rushing
ND defense
Higher-ranked profile
- WIS offense
- #35
- ND defense
- #2
EPA comparison
0.19
#35
-0.23
#2
Rush EPA
Drive success
ND defense
Higher-ranked profile
- WIS offense
- #105
- ND defense
- #9
Success rates
40%
#105
33%
#9
Success rate
More metrics
0.17
#66
-0.09
#11
EPA / play
1.47
#2
1.20
#65
Explosiveness
15%
#74
23%
#3
Havoc
When Notre Dame has the ball
Passing
WIS defense
Higher-ranked profile
- WIS defense
- #1
- ND offense
- #8
EPA comparison
-0.16
#1
0.54
#8
Pass EPA
Rushing
ND offense
Higher-ranked profile
- WIS defense
- #63
- ND offense
- #19
EPA comparison
0.03
#63
0.24
#19
Rush EPA
Drive success
ND offense
Higher-ranked profile
- WIS defense
- #22
- ND offense
- #3
Success rates
35%
#22
53%
#3
Success rate
More metrics
-0.12
#5
0.36
#4
EPA / play
0.96
#2
1.15
#107
Explosiveness
16%
#72
10%
#9
Havoc
Current key players
WisconsinQBRyan Hopkins
— yds · — TD · — INT
71.5144/729
LBMason Posa
40 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 91.5
- Coverage
- 81.0
- Pressures
- 6
- Pass-rush snaps
- 29
- Missed tackles
- 2
- Forced fumbles
- 0
89.216/1796
LBCooper Catalano
45 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 89.8
- Coverage
- 76.1
- Pressures
- 4
- Pass-rush snaps
- 10
- Missed tackles
- 4
- Forced fumbles
- 0
86.827/1796
TEJacob Harris
13 rec · 238 yds · 3 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 71.7
- Run blocking
- 77.1
- Penalties
- 2
84.412/1017
WRTyrell Henry
26 rec · 339 yds · 1 TD
82.437/2069
SMatthew Jung
32 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 75.2
- Coverage
- 75.5
- Targets allowed
- 13
- Rec allowed
- 10
- Yards allowed
- 133
- Passer rating allowed
- 76.8
- Missed tackles
- 5
76.9131/2969
Availability reports · 4
- Abu Sama III · RBQues. · 2026-10-03
Sama III is nursing an upper body injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against UCLA on Saturday, October 17th.
- Mason Lane · RBQues. · 2026-10-08
Lane is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will play against UCLA on Saturday, October 17th.
- Danny O'Neil · QBQues. · 2026-10-03
O'Neil is managing a lower body injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against UCLA on Saturday, October 17th.
- Jaylon Domingeaux · WRQues. · 2026-10-03
Domingeaux is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against UCLA on Saturday, October 17th.
Notre DameQBCJ Carr
1197 yds · 13 TD · 1 INT
92.45/729
LBKyngstonn Viliamu-Asa
13 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 91.2
- Coverage
- 72.0
- Pressures
- 8
- Pass-rush snaps
- 19
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
92.14/1796
SLuke Talich
14 tkl · 1 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 83.1
- Coverage
- 88.3
- Targets allowed
- 9
- Rec allowed
- 8
- Yards allowed
- 55
- Passer rating allowed
- 52.5
- Missed tackles
- 1
89.611/2969
WRDevin Fitzgerald
1 rec · 20 yds · 0 TD
87.020/2069
RBJonaz Walton
228 yds · 0 TD · 5.8 YPC
84.542/1044
SJoey O'Brien
9 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 72.6
- Coverage
- 80.3
- Targets allowed
- 4
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 12
- Passer rating allowed
- 77.1
- Missed tackles
- 0
80.656/2969
Availability reports · 4
- Quincy Porter · WRout · 2026-09-28
Porter is sidelined due to knee injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.
- Kyngstonn Viliamu-Asa · LBQues. · 2026-10-11
Viliamu-Asa is nursing with a thumb injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Cougars on Saturday, October 17th.
- Leonard Moore · CBQues. · 2026-10-10
Moore is dealing with a concussion injury, and it has yet to be established if he will play against BYU on Saturday, Saturday 17th.
- Blake Hebert · QBQues. · 2026-10-11
Hebert is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Cougars on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
WISWisconsin
NDNotre Dame
vs
Offense
71.5
#97 of 138
QB
Quarterback
92.4
#5 of 138
72.8
#100 of 138
RB
Running backs
83.8
#15 of 138
71.6
#66 of 138
WR
Receivers
82.3
#5 of 138
84.4
#12 of 138
TE
Tight ends
59.4
#126 of 138
72.3
#31 of 138
OL
Offensive line
67.2
#77 of 138
Defense
70.3
#103 of 138
DL
Defensive line
83.8
#3 of 138
86.8
#1 of 138
LB
Linebackers
80.0
#22 of 138
73.6
#48 of 138
DB
Secondary
80.1
#2 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Wisconsin
opponent
Notre Dame
Aaway+3.0
PURPurdue#67+39.0Aaway
Hhome+28.0
MSUMichigan State#62+17.0Hhome