Passing
MD defense
Higher-ranked profile
- WIS offense
- #74
- MD defense
- #65
EPA comparison
0.21
#74
0.12
#65
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 11 · Sat Nov 14 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
WIS 55.0%45.0% MD
- Projected margin
- WIS by 1.8
- Projected total
- 52
- 80% outcome range
- WIS 20 to MD 17
- Win probability
- WIS 55.0%
Current team profiles
WisconsinMarylandWhen Wisconsin has the ball
Rushing
WIS offense
Higher-ranked profile
- WIS offense
- #35
- MD defense
- #84
EPA comparison
0.19
#35
0.07
#84
Rush EPA
Drive success
MD defense
Higher-ranked profile
- WIS offense
- #105
- MD defense
- #86
Success rates
40%
#105
42%
#86
Success rate
More metrics
0.17
#66
0.08
#78
EPA / play
1.47
#2
1.20
#55
Explosiveness
15%
#74
16%
#74
Havoc
When Maryland has the ball
Passing
WIS defense
Higher-ranked profile
- WIS defense
- #1
- MD offense
- #125
EPA comparison
-0.16
#1
-0.01
#125
Pass EPA
Rushing
WIS defense
Higher-ranked profile
- WIS defense
- #63
- MD offense
- #72
EPA comparison
0.03
#63
0.10
#72
Rush EPA
Drive success
WIS defense
Higher-ranked profile
- WIS defense
- #22
- MD offense
- #106
Success rates
35%
#22
40%
#106
Success rate
More metrics
-0.12
#5
0.03
#112
EPA / play
0.96
#2
1.25
#60
Explosiveness
16%
#72
14%
#45
Havoc
Current key players
WisconsinQBRyan Hopkins
— yds · — TD · — INT
71.5144/729
LBMason Posa
40 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 91.5
- Coverage
- 81.0
- Pressures
- 6
- Pass-rush snaps
- 29
- Missed tackles
- 2
- Forced fumbles
- 0
89.216/1796
LBCooper Catalano
45 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 89.8
- Coverage
- 76.1
- Pressures
- 4
- Pass-rush snaps
- 10
- Missed tackles
- 4
- Forced fumbles
- 0
86.827/1796
TEJacob Harris
13 rec · 238 yds · 3 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 71.7
- Run blocking
- 77.1
- Penalties
- 2
84.412/1017
WRTyrell Henry
26 rec · 339 yds · 1 TD
82.437/2069
SMatthew Jung
32 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 75.2
- Coverage
- 75.5
- Targets allowed
- 13
- Rec allowed
- 10
- Yards allowed
- 133
- Passer rating allowed
- 76.8
- Missed tackles
- 5
76.9131/2969
Availability reports · 4
- Abu Sama III · RBQues. · 2026-10-03
Sama III is nursing an upper body injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against UCLA on Saturday, October 17th.
- Mason Lane · RBQues. · 2026-10-08
Lane is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will play against UCLA on Saturday, October 17th.
- Danny O'Neil · QBQues. · 2026-10-03
O'Neil is managing a lower body injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against UCLA on Saturday, October 17th.
- Jaylon Domingeaux · WRQues. · 2026-10-03
Domingeaux is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against UCLA on Saturday, October 17th.
MarylandQBCardell Williams
63 yds · 1 TD · 0 INT
91.87/729
WRZymear Smith
— rec · — yds · — TD
88.411/2069
WRChris Durr Jr.
42 rec · 461 yds · 4 TD
79.959/2069
LBStephen Dean III
3 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 79.3
- Coverage
- 62.3
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 2
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
75.0184/1796
DBJamare Glasker
16 tkl · 4 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 78.1
- Coverage
- 71.9
- Targets allowed
- 23
- Rec allowed
- 12
- Yards allowed
- 166
- Passer rating allowed
- 72.0
- Missed tackles
- 5
74.0228/2969
LBTrey Reddick
19 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 68.2
- Coverage
- 68.2
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 8
- Missed tackles
- 4
- Forced fumbles
- 0
72.1288/1796
Availability reports · 4
- Zahir Mathis · LBout · 2026-08-13
Mathis is battling with a leg injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season.
- Cardell Williams · QBQues. · 2026-10-11
Williams is dealing with an Undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Knights on Saturday, October 17th.
- Lavon Johnson · DLQues. · 2026-10-11
Johnson is dealing with an undisclosed injury,, and it is undetermined if he will face against the Knights on Saturday, October 17th.
- Daniel Leahy · KQues. · 2026-10-11
Leahy is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Knights on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
WISWisconsin
MDMaryland
vs
Offense
71.5
#97 of 138
QB
Quarterback
91.8
#7 of 138
72.8
#100 of 138
RB
Running backs
70.1
#118 of 138
71.6
#66 of 138
WR
Receivers
80.8
#9 of 138
84.4
#12 of 138
TE
Tight ends
61.1
#111 of 138
72.3
#31 of 138
OL
Offensive line
68.8
#62 of 138
Defense
70.3
#103 of 138
DL
Defensive line
74.5
#59 of 138
86.8
#1 of 138
LB
Linebackers
72.5
#84 of 138
73.6
#48 of 138
DB
Secondary
67.5
#122 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Wisconsin
opponent
Maryland
Aaway-6.7
UCLAUCLA#24-51.0Hhome
Aaway+4.0
PSUPenn State#43-13.2Hhome
Hhome-9.8
USCUSC#17-19.6Aaway
Aaway+3.0
PURPurdue#67-1.4Aaway
Hhome+8.1
RUTGRutgers#89+3.7Hhome