AVRCFB Model
All rankings
Big Ten

Penn State

Nittany Lions0-07th in Big Ten
Beaver Stadium · University Park, PA · 106,572
Rank —
21
Rating
67.5
TeamStrong roster
OffenseQuarterback-driven, loaded at the skill spots
DefenseExperienced secondary

The season ahead

12 games scheduled

Schedule

12 games
WkOpponentWin probDateProjectedGame page
1
vs#83Marshall
99%
Sep 543-11p›
2
at#113Temple
94%
Sep 1239-18p›
3
vs#116Buffalo
98%
Sep 1941-13p›
4
vs#58Wisconsin
88%
Sep 2633-18p›
5
at#37Northwestern
59%
Oct 327-24p›
6
vs#10USC
37%
Oct 1027-32p›
7
at#13Michigan
30%
Oct 1723-30p›
9
vs#69Purdue
90%
Oct 3136-19p›
10
at#15Washington
32%
Nov 725-31p›
11
vs#54MinnesotaGovernor's Victory Bell
84%
Nov 1433-20p›
12
vs#48Rutgers
83%
Nov 2135-23p›
13
at#47Maryland
70%
Nov 2830-23p›

Profile

Team DNA

rank of 138
Personnel
#2275
Talent
#5070
Position groups2025 player ratings
QB4th
RB24th
WR34th
TE21st
DL93rd
LB48th
DB19th

Starting eleven

11 personnel
11 of 11 named6 ratedavg 70.63 top-252025 ratings
X71.0
B. Eskildsen
WR · JR50th
LT—
A. Donkoh
OL · JR
LG—
B. Riker
OL · SO
C—
C. Cousins
OL · JR
RG—
M. Goodman
OL · FR
RT—
T. Buhr
OL · JR
TE66.3
A. Rappleyea
TE · JR22nd
SL56.8
K. Howard
WR · SO145th
Z59.9
C. Sowell
WR · SR115th
QB90.1
R. Becht
QB · SR4th
RB79.7
C. Hansen
RB · SR24th

Roster

Core lineup

2025 ratings
Offense
QB
Rocco BechtSR
90.1
4th QB
RB
Carson HansenSR
79.7
24th RB
WR
Brett EskildsenJR
71.0
50th WR
WR
Chase SowellSR
59.9
115th WR
TE
Andrew RappleyeaJR
66.3
22nd TE
Defense
LB
Caleb BaconSR
71.4
129th LB
LB
Kooper EbelSR
69.3
154th LB
S
Marcus Neal Jr.JR
81.6
74th DB
CB
Daryus DixsonSO
80.3
89th DB
CB
Jahmir JosephFR
74.1
162nd DB

Injury report

5 out · 3 starters
out
Alex TatschLB
08-11
out
Alex ManskeQB
08-18
out
Eagles CBCB
08-21
out
OL commitOL
08-21
out
Penn State Football 2027 Commit
08-21
questionable
K. BrookinsWR
08-11
questionable
A. RappleyeaTE
08-19
questionable
B. EskildsenWR
08-19
questionable
B. KortovichTE
08-19
questionable
C. AlexanderTE
08-19
questionable
C. HansenRB
08-19
questionable
D. SheffeyRB
08-19
questionable
Z. RobinsonWR
08-19
questionable
Dallas VakalahiDL
08-25
questionable
Jeremiah CooperSstarter
08-25
questionable
Kooper EbelLBstarter
08-25
questionable
Tony RojasLBstarter
08-25
probable
James PeoplesDL
08-13
probable
Penn State receiverWR
08-18
probable
unknown
08-18

Ahead

From the full-season Monte Carlo

Playoff impact

0%–18% playoff odds, on these results

Ranked by how far the result is likely to move their playoff odds. A close game against a good team moves more than a near-certain win, even when losing that one would hurt more.

W6
vs#10USC
4% lose17% win
±3.1
likely move
in odds
38% to win
W10
at#15Washington
5% lose18% win
±2.9
likely move
in odds
34% to win
W7
at#13Michigan
5% lose18% win
±2.6
likely move
in odds
31% to win
W5
at#37Northwestern
4% lose13% win
±2.4
likely move
in odds
58% to win
W13
at#47Maryland
3% lose12% win
±1.8
likely move
in odds
69% to win
W12
vs#48Rutgers
3% lose11% win
±1.5
likely move
in odds
81% to win
W11
vs#54Minnesota
3% lose11% win
±1.5
likely move
in odds
82% to win
W4
vs#58Wisconsin
2% lose10% win
±1.3
likely move
in odds
86% to win